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As we get closer to the 2020 season, I figured it would be fun to take a look at the projected stats for the different positions throughout our team and have everyone give their predictions and vote on whether they think the projections are high or low. I will put down Steamer predictions and use 1⁄2 their projected HR and WAR as they have it listed for a full season.
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1.) Yuli Gurriel - 1B
2019 - .298/.343/.541, 31 HR, 132 wRC+, 3.2 WAR
2020 Proj - .289/.332/.486, 11.5 HR, 116 wRC+, 0.8 WAR
Gurriel had a break out season last year but is on the wrong end of the aging curve so it will be interesting to see if his stats continue to hold/improve with additional experience in the league or if he regresses.
Poll
Will Yuli out perform his projections
This poll is closed
-
58%
Yes
-
9%
No
-
31%
Seems about right
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2. Jose Altuve - 2B
2019 - .298/.353/.550, 31 HR, 138 wRC+, 3.5 WAR
2020 Proj - .296/.361/.487, 12.5 HR, 127 wRC+ 2.15 WAR
Altuve had a “down” year by his standards, although he brought a lot more power into his game. It will be interesting to see if this is a change in his approach, and if he rebounds after recovering from his knee injury.
Poll
Will Altuve beat his projections?
This poll is closed
-
85%
Yes
-
4%
No
-
10%
Seems about right
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3.) Carlos Correa - SS
2019 - .279/.358/.568, 21 HR, 143 wRC+, 3.4 WAR
2020 proj- .273/.359/.519, 14.5 HR, 133 wRC+, 2.75 WAR
Correa tantalizes us year after year with his potential, as a fully healthy season could put him in the running for an MVP caliber year. The challenge has been his health, including some strange injuries (I mean a broken rib from a massage?). Will this be the year he puts it all together? Maybe a shorter season benefits him more than the others with additional recovery time and less time for potential injuries? At 25, he’s barely getting to start his prime.
Poll
Does Carlos Correa beat his 2020 projections?
This poll is closed
-
55%
Yes
-
15%
No
-
29%
Seems about right
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4.) Alex Bregman - 3B
2019 - .296/.423/.592, 41 HR, 168 wRC+, 8.5 WAR
2020 proj - .287/.396/.542, 16 HR, 150 wRC+, 3.2 WAR
Bregman had a legitimate argument for MVP last year, and although he fell just short of surpassing Mike Trout, he’s just 26 and entering his prime. Bregman seems determine to outwork anyone in his way and set the lofty goal of getting to a Bonds-esque 1.400 OPS.
Poll
Does Bregman beat his 2020 projections?
This poll is closed
-
75%
Yes
-
5%
No
-
18%
Seems about right
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5.) Martin Maldonado - C
2019- .213/.293/.378, 12 hr, 76 wRC+, 0.8 WAR
2020 Proj - .221/.287/.375, 5 hr, 77 wRC+, 0.75 WAR
Maldonado is a defensive specialist who has never been an overwhelming threat with the bat. At 33 years old, I’m not expecting a huge turn around in his offensive performance.
Poll
Will Maldonado beat the 2020 projections?
This poll is closed
-
14%
Yes
-
29%
No
-
56%
Seems about right
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6.) Garrett Stubbs - Back-up Catcher
2019 - .200/.282/.286, 0 HR, 57 wRC+ 0.0 WAR
2020 proj - .231/.302/.352, 1.5 HR, 77 wRC+, 0.2 WAR
Stubbs had 39 plate appearances last year as his first taste of the MLB, and unfortunately he didn’t exactly thrive. He’s had a roller coaster of offensive performances leaving hope but an unsure expectation for his performance going forward.
Poll
Will Stubbs out-perform the projections?
This poll is closed
-
36%
Yes
-
22%
No
-
41%
Seems about right
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7.) Aledmys Diaz - Utility
2019 - .271/.356/.467, 9 HR, 119 wRC+, 1.1 WAR
2020 proj - .261/.319/.442, 3 HR, 102 wRC+, 0.25 WAR
In still one of the more underrated moves that Luhnow made, the Astros added a previous All-Star with the ability to play shortstop who packs a potent bat. Diaz is in his prime and his performance last year was somewhat limited by a re-occurring hamstring injury.
Poll
Will Diaz outperform the projections?
This poll is closed
-
56%
Yes
-
9%
No
-
34%
Seems about right