Predict May W-L & Run Diff. Competition

I remember in the days of the Astros.com message board, there would be a monthly thread in which people would enter predictions on record (W-L) and a number of runs scored / allowed. It was a fun process, with all of us keeping track through out the month looking at who was most accurate to date.

So I figured we could start it here, with each month, the winner being highlighted in the following month’s post.

The winner will be determined by the closest on W-L. In the event of a tie on W-L, we will award it to who was closest on Run Differential (you can just put in a +/- Run Differential if you don’t want to spell out runs scored - runs allowed.

In April, yours truly took the Champion belt, edging out Orlandocepeda by the narrowest of margins.

This is the first month with data from the previous month. Let’s take a look at our May competition

RS/G means Runs Scored per Game and RA/G means Runs Allowed per game.

Twins - 2 Games - 17-10, 5.2 RS/G, 4.6 RA/G

Angels - 2 Games - 13-17, 4.7 RS/G, 4.8 RA/G

Royals - 3 Games - 9-20, 4.6 RS/G, 5.4 RA/G

Rangers - 4 Games - 14-14, 5.9 RS/G, 5.6 RA/G

Tigers - 3 Games - 13-14, 3.5 RS/G, 4,3 RA/G

Red Sox - 3 Games - 13-17, 4.5 RS/G, 5.4 RA/G

White Sox - 4 Games - 12-14, 5.0 RS/G, 5.5 RA/G

Red Sox - 3 Games - 13-17, 4.5 RS/G, 5.4 RA/G

Cubs - 3 Games - 15-12, 5.5 RS/G, 4.5 RA/G

A’s - 1 Game - 14-18, 4.5 RS/G, 4.9 RA/G

Totals - 28 Games

**CORRECTION: I originally missed the Sunday game from the Rangers when putting this together **

9 Games vs (teams over .500) vs 19 Games vs (teams under .500) - 32.1% Over .500

Compared to last month, this appears to be a much easier month. The Red Sox of course are a huge variable, they went from one of the strongest teams in the AL to well in the bottom 3rd. Inexplicably, the advanced stats don’t show it was just due to bad luck or run sequencing.

In addition to just the W-L and Run Differential, put in a fun prediction - these are not counted in the scoring - make them crazy and fun! If you have any recommendations to improve this for next month, please feel free to add them! Predictions must be in before the first pitch of the month!

These were my guesses for April - feel free to use this format: I’ll post my prediction within the comments.

Prediction: 18-12, 175 Runs Scored, 145 Runs Allowed

Fun Predictions: Correa is BACK (pun intended), Kemp keeps on Kempin’ - making it harder by the day to not make him a starter, The Astros have 3 starters with an ERA under 3. Gerrit Cole signs an extension.