The following are some of the best comments taken from the threads of the Crawfish Boxes from last week.
We Love us Some Pina
There once was a man from Pawtucket,
Who purchased 3 games worth of ducats,
To see a well-coiffed Houston Astro,
Who once knew Fidel Castro,
From an island far south of Nantucket.
An Ode to La Pina?
Who’s Worse, Ken Giles or Bud Selig?
We have ascertained
Selig spelled backwards is Giles, haven’t we?
This poll is closed
We Love the Rangers
Just noticed the Mall Cops laid down again for the A’s...we need this win...
heard it was more doggy style than missionary.
On UZR and DRS
It’s not just errors committed that cause problems for Defensive metrics. Nearly all such metrics are based largely on the number of opportunities a player gets. Bregman has a total of just 370 chances in his 1,229 innings across all four positions. Matt Chapman, who currently leads the league in UZR at 3b, has had 426 chances in 1,114 innings. Yet Matt Chapman has a fielding rate of .960 (17 errors, 10 throwing) to Bregman’s .964 (11 errors, 9 throwing) at 3B this year.
Why would that happen? Simple: Houston pitching has 1470 Ks in 140 games (best in MLB). Oakland pitching has 1079 in 141 (26th in MLB). The Astros currently rank 20th in UZR as a team. The Athletics rank first. Chapman gets more opportunities to post defensive counting stats than any other 3B in MLB.
Absolutely. Total chances would play into it for sure.
But again in my examples of Mike Moustakas and Alex Bregman you have this:
Moose (2017) – 312
Bregman (2018) – 308 (at 3B)
Roughly the same number of chances.
That’s fine - some players have more chances to make plays.
Just like some players have more PAs than others, because they play on better offensive teams (and the lineup turns over more), they hit higher in the order, or one player simply plays less, because of injuries, because of platoons or defensive replacements, etc.
That doesn’t cause a problem for defensive metrics any more than it causes a problem for offensive metrics.
We can foray into haikus too
Gift of an unsigned Brady
Stares and we stare back
Who Lost J. D. Martinez?
Not all on Bo Porter
You can blame this on Sig Mejdal. Ya’ll gotta get the facts right! There was an article released last month which explained it all, finally.
Mejdal said the odds of JD or any 26 y.o., turning it around with a new swing, were astronomically low.
Blame this one on the FO decision making sciences, but that same FO used that same process to find some hidden gems, overall. Take the good with the bad. To me the biggest mistake was missing on Kris Bryant.
But oh well…he wanted more money than Appel.
But Luhnow personally promised Martinez that he would get a chance to show if it worked
And Porter gave him very few reps in Spring Training
Im telling you it mainly was a FO call,
not all Porter. He was a puppet and deserved to get fired. from the article:
”He thought they had agreed. They hadn’t. The algorithms developed by Sig Mejdal, a former blackjack dealer and NASA rocket scientist who was Luhnow’s chief data man, indicated that the probability that a player who was already 26, and who couldn’t run or field particularly well, would get better was vanishingly small. And Porter, eager to move ahead with younger outfielders, had little interest in giving Martinez the opportunity to demonstrate his new swing. He got just 18 at bats in the spring, half in pinch-hit appearances that prevented him from continuing the rhythm he had begun in Venezuela. “That’s not an opportunity,” Martinez says. “That’s an opportunity to fail.”
Which is why it’s great that we have Hinch. Astroball’s premise was discovering that fine line between analytics and “gut” feeling. Porter, obviously didn’t have it.
Show me where Luhnow “personally promised”, JD
nothing in the article mentions that so im curious where you got that info, Bilbos. JD was the only one who made a promise!
”Luhnow knew who he was. Martinez was the new hitter he had promised he had become, and who hadn’t had an opportunity to show it. What did we just do? thought Luhnow.”
You’re right, we can’t say Luhnow definitively promised Martinez another look.
Martinez “thought” they had a promise. Astroball does say it was Porter who wanted to give more opportunity to Grossman, Hoes and Krauss at Martinez’ expense. It also says that Luhnow blamed Porter “for not providing someone like J. D Martinez enough at bats for the organization to make an informed decision at him,” which played a part in his dismissal.
Speaking of the Ones That Got Away
Also is the Laureano trade officially a huge mistake now?
Right now Laureano would be a great player for the Astros
Playing CF and sending Reddick to the bench
If Laureano was still in the Astros system
He’d probably still be in the minors moving from CC to Fresno.
What seemed like a pretty minor deal in the off-season has had a fairly large impact on the Astros season this year though with Laureano helping drive the A’s on our tail.
We just need to keep the A’s in the rear view mirror and hope Brandon Bailey develops into a useful piece of his own in the future.
No, he wouldn’t.
EVERY team has regrets. Every team.
I’m old enough to remember Joe Morgan leaving the Astros and becoming a Hall of Famer for the Reds. I’d still like to have JD Martinez. I would be richer than Bill Gates if I had a nickel for every time I heard somebody say (regardless of team) “Every time we get rid of a player he goes on to be a star for someone else.” And I’ve been following baseball for almost 60 years.
I wouldn’t say it was a mistake
Who’s to say he would be same player here as he is with the A’s? Playing time is so limited here that he might not have flourished in that environment.
But with the A’s organization, he had a chance to make the big club sooner. That can be a shot in the arm for a player’s career. Also, a trade can fuel a player’s desire to get better in order to prove that it was a mistake.
In general, sometimes the light doesn’t go on for some players until they’re traded. In my life, I’ve been fired from a couple of jobs. But the lessons I learned from those experiences helped me do my current job better. In the same way, players take the experience of being traded and use it to help in their development.
Remember that we didn’t trade him, because we believed that he would be a Rule 5 loss, but we didn’t want to protect him by adding him to the 40. Someone feel free to correct me, but keeping Laureano would have meant losing Deetz. Is there anyone else that we added to the 40 over the winter whose spot could have been used for Laureano?
Seems like quite a few people were asking similar questions about the Teoscar Hernandez trade a few months ago
But, unsurprisingly, those people haven’t said much lately as Teoscar has been sub-replacement in the second half.
I’d give it some time before making the trade “officially” a bust. I like Laureano, but he still looks like a solid 4th OF to me. Moreover, the reason for the trade was that there was no room on the 40-man, so any analysis would have to include the potential or likely loss of the player who was kept over Laureano. Likewise, Bailey still has potential as a player.
bilbos undefeated streak remains intact
This one is going in next weeks best comments column
It makes me wonder though if everyone will turn on you though when the winning streak ends...
(editor’s note: The streak is still intact. The game the umps in NY stole from us doesn’t count)
Here’s What a Fan in Boston Had to Say About US
Over the Monster
My favorite post:
Man I HATE to see all these Astro fans at Fenway but
I SUPER respect it. Gotta love clubs with good fans who turn up. (Like us.)
Bregman @ Mookie in his House
”Look at me… I’m the MVP now.”
Or Is Mookie the Real MVP?
A-Rod: One of the most underrated players in baseball is Mookie Betts…
Um? I’m gonna disagree with that. He plays for a media darling, his team leads baseball in wins, he’s leading baseball in BA and at the top of the MVP discussion.
Who’s underrating him?
I actually agree
I think he’s CLEARLY MVP. The fact that people think this is some sort of race clearly means people don’t realize how good of a season he’s having.
And I say that even though I LITERALLY LOVE Alex Bregman
We already know what happens when Sox score in the first inning....Astros win!
and when Sox don’t score in the first inning . . . Astros win!
And whether the Red Sox win or lose...
They have the momentum!
Josh James is Better Than Will Harris. Right? Right?
If the playoffs were tomorrow.
No. And I wouldn’t even be considering it. He’s pitched in 2 games at the MLB level. At this point, JJ is more shiny new toy than he is dominant reliever.
It’s telling that Harris, who has a 2.70 xFIP, 4.62 K/BB, and has pitched 7 straight games without giving up a run yet he’s on no one’s list for the playoffs. Yet a rookie with 2 games pitched has everyone talking about whether he should be included (McHugh seems to be the one left off in order to make room for JJ).
James will have the rest of September to prove otherwise, and I’d give him plenty of innings to do it, but for me, he’s not in consideration. Not now, anyway.
They should keep him on the same schedule he had as a starter and use him 2 to 4 innings at a time.
still 3 weeks to decide and it depends who we’re playing at the time and we need more data
But Will Harris has a 6.23 ERA in 2018 vs Bos, NYY, OAK, and Cleveland. Actually only success he had was against the A’s. He has a career ERA of 3.99 vs all teams. I know ERA isnt the perfect stat but its what I calculated.
Peacock hasnt been good VS those teams either…a 7.20 era in 10 ip this year. Plus, does cleveland KO a lot? Do they hit the hard stuff or not? Do we have an advantage vs CLE since they havent seen James yet?
My guess is yes, you will see James on the roster and not Harris for the first series.
Well, it’s not like the only info to base this decision on is James’ 2 ML games pitched.
McCann BB...do you PH Kemp for Reddick here? I would...
I would have.
Apparently Hinch disagrees.
Not much advantage in that. Both LHBs.
Though Reddick has done nothing lately.
Did you miss Kemp’s RBI 2B yesterday?
there is the Golden Rule to consider:
Thou Shalt Not Second-Guess Hinch.
well they let MR. automatic out bat
Josh Reddick doubles
You were saying...
Was Altuve out because he was tagged by Laces?
It’s explicitly stated in the rule book
Page 150 of 2018 rulebook
”A TAG is the action of a fielder in touching a base with his body while holding the ball securely and firmly in his hand or glove; or touch- ing a runner with the ball, or with his hand or glove holding the ball (not including hanging laces alone), while holding the ball securely and firmly in his hand or glove.”
They put that laces rule in in 2016 and actually featured Altuve in the video introducing the rule showing an example of Altuve tagging by dragging some hanging laces across a runner.
One Fan Thought the Astros’ loss in Boston Last Sunday was due to a Lack of Fire? AU contraire
All this talk about the tag
Look at the difference in the way Laureano reacted when he got the reversal that cost us the game vs OAK, as opposed to Altuve sitting on his bum, shaking his head and walking back dejected. Where is the fire in that little man gone?!? Is it the obvious comfortability of the big contract, etc?
He was the epitome of biting nails, constant motion, bleeding Beltran dry of information, running around arms waving. Where is that guy, and his equally intense friend, Correa?
All Jose has to do is get up and argue his case.
I’m hoping it won’t matter in the grand scheme, but before this season began, the national media asked, ‘will Astros still have the fire to win another one?’ It’s a legitimate question today.
Posted by ................on Sep 10, 2018 | 8:54 AM reply rec flag
So review comes down to how strenuous a protest you put up to a call?
After watching this series I don’t know how anyone’s takeaway could be to question the Astros’ competitive fire.
Game 1 – Down late they battled back to take a win in a game they were shut down by David Price.
Game 2 – Go down early but claw back with some good at bats against a guy who has been solid for the Sox all year. Bullpen is great in holding the lead.
Game 3 – Again fall behind early and respond immediately. Boston goes up with a huge 3 run bomb to make it 5-1. Again claw back in scoring 4 runs and have a very good chance to steal the game late.
They played their asses off against one of the two best teams in all of baseball. I think questioning their “heart” seems like misdirected criticism.
Unfortunately, the world is full of dumb fan takes that relate any loss to a lack of fire/heart.
Altuve protest would do nothing
same with Hinch; after replay Hinch can’t even come out of the dugout to discuss it. But, what a terrible mofo call.
This is a bad take
They didn’t screw us on the call because Altuve didn’t react violently enough. They clearly thought the call was going their way (see reaction from dugout after call was made)
Will Justin Verlander be Another Astro in the Hall of Fame?
I hope verlander retires an astro and goes into the HOF as an astro
Both may be longshots
Wouldn’t surprise me
if at some point he worked out a cameo appearance return to Detroit to end his career. That would be fitting.
No way he won’t go in as a Tiger
He’ll go into the Hall of Fame as a Tiger.
That said, I also hope he ends his career here.
what if he wins a cy young and mvp here with two more world series?
will he still go in as a tiger?
He spent 12 years in Detroit.
well maybe he will play here for 9 more years
He did say
He wants to play till 45
hold my beer….
AT TCB We Respect LGBT (I think)
And if Reddick and Correa were having years that they’re capable of
We’d be on pace for 110 wins.
(Assuming that those extra runs pretty much do away with the bad record in 1 run games)
If my aunt had balls she’d be my uncle.
these days your aunt can be both
I’m convinced you’re a terrible person
well I could have told you that
Sign Bregman Now!
Needs an extension ASAP. Retire an Astro.
Alot of team control left. Doesnt make sense right now
Yes, I agree with this.
Many of us were clamoring to give Correa a 10/$250M a few years ago. We might be glad Crane didn’t overreact. This is not to say I don’t think Correa will be a great player, but back injuries are not something to be taken lightly and this could be a lingering problem throughout his career.
Correa is a bad analog
Sure he’s an Adonis-like specimen of baseball athleticism, but has he ever put it together and stayed healthy for a season? Bregman doesn’t have those warts. What about this season appears to be a fluke? His excellent approach and command of the strike zone? Nope, totally real. His power? Power is a skill that continues to grow up to age 26-27 and once you flash it, you have it. Check. Slick fielding…. uh huh.
Correa May end up being worth a 10/250M contract at some point in his career. He is that physically gifted. I do know that Bregs is actually already worth that, and he should be our top priority if we are looking to lock in our core. That’s assuming that the 60% increase on my season tix is going to actually go towards payroll. Still not sure on that one.
Posted by htownhomer on Sep 11, 2018 | 2:53 AM up reply rec (1) flag
Tie breaker rules...
If one game is needed to break a tie for a playoff berth between two teams, it will be played on the Monday after the scheduled end to the regular season, hosted by the team that won the season series against the other. That applies to determining a division championship whether or not the losing team would still qualify as a Wild Card.
Home-field advantage is determined first by head-to-head records, then by the higher winning percentage in intradivision games. If a further tiebreaker is needed, it’s the best winning percentage in the last half of intraleague games.
Determining Home-Field Advantage in Two-Team Tiebreakers
1. Head-to-head winning percentage during the regular season.
2. Higher winning percentage in intradivision games.
3. Higher winning percentage in intraleague games.
4. Higher winning percentage in the last half of intraleague games.
5. Higher winning percentage in the last half plus one intraleague game, provided that such additional game was not between the two tied clubs. Continue to go back one intraleague game at a time until the tie has been broken.
Correa continues to struggle
Hinch should consider having Devo pitch to Carlos in bp
one guy is sure to regain his confidence.
Jesus people. Somehow Astros fans are so out of touch. World Series…check. Back to Back 95-100 win seasons…check. Young, talented core of likable players…check. One of the top 5-7 or so managers in the game….check. Highly touted farm system with lots of talent across the board….check.
What the hell else is there to be so damn surly about all the freaking time.
we dont have 27 championships
And we don’t have momentum.
Posted by Jlh071974 on Sep 13, 2018 | 10:26 AM up reply rec flag
Where’s the headline that says
The Yankees are fighting for the 2nd Wild Card Spot
Or, LA Dodgers outside looking in
Here’s that headline
The byline is “Red Sox still have momentum.”
I am still stoked the Astros rolled into Fenway
and managed to overcome that momentum