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200+ Astros Prospects, by the Numbers

The Crawfish Boxes staff rated 224 Astros farmhands during the process of developing their Top 30. Here is how all of those players fared.

Bob Levey/Getty Images

Last week was TCB Prospect Week, during which we unveiled our Astros Top 30 prospects list.  Our method in creating this list was to collect in a spreadsheet the subjective rankings of all of our writers who felt qualified to participate.  We then averaged the scores to get our final ranking.  Tiebreakers were discussed internally to get a final ranking within the Top 30, but their scores were not changed.

The grading scale is below, with the intention of matching John Sickels' letter grade scale from minorleagueball.com.

  • 10 (A+) - A mythical prospect. A unicorn. Babe Ruth. Cy Young himself.
  • 9 (A) - Worthy of considering among pro baseball's Top 5 prospects
  • 8 (A-) - Top 25
  • 7 (B+) - Top 50
  • 6 (B) - Top 100
  • 5 (B-) - Guys outside the Top 100, but likely to have decent careers.
  • 4 (C+) - generally speaking, should reach the major leagues.  Might be a great player, might not play much at all.
  • 3 (C) - Has a skill or two that looks like it would translate to the majors, but also some traits that will hold him back if not addressed
  • 2 (C-) - There's a glimmer of hope there, but typically these prospects don't reach the majors.
  • 1 (Non-prospect) - Stranger things have happened than a 1 reaching the majors, but significant deficiencies will probably prevent it
  • 0 (Non-prospect) - either we don't see a path to the majors under any circumstances, or nobody rated the player due to lack of information.

Below, for discussion purposes, I've compiled a list of the 224 players who were considered for this evaluation.  Please understand that grading prospects is an in-the-moment subjective opinion based on whatever information the evaluator chooses to use or has access to.  There is not one player on this list that the TCB staff recommends should give up on his dream of the big leagues.  Rather this is an attempt to (as objectively as possible while still recongizing the subjectivity of the whole activity) give fans a snapshot of the Astros' farm through our eyes.

The Variance and Vote Counts are provided for background information.  A player with a high variance means that the authors' grades were in less agreement with each other than a player with lower variance.  Typically, the high-variance players were younger guys for whom scouting reports and performance results have not matched, or players who only received a couple of votes.  Players with lower vote counts are more prone to having an inaccurate rating or ranking due to fewer inputs.

If you are a parent or relative - these rankings aren't personal (well, except for Aaron West, who has been on our podcast and routinely wins our annual popularity contest, but also, he's awesome), and we wish all of these players long and successful careers.

Without further ado, for your consideration and mockery:

2015 TCB Prospect Rankings

Name Age Level Rank Score Average Grade Var. Vote Count
A.J. Reed* 22 AA 1 7.8 B+ 0.29 10
Alex Bregman 21 A+ 2 7.35 B+ 0.17 10
Francis Martes 20 AA 3 7.15 B+ 0.06 10
Joseph Musgrove 23 AA 4 6.85 B 0.34 10
Kyle Tucker 18 RK 5 6.6 B 0.27 10
Michael Feliz 22 AA 6 6.3 B 0.23 10
Colin Moran* 23 AAA 7 6.25 B 0.29 10
Daz Cameron 18 RK 7 6.25 B 0.24 10
Tyler White 25 AAA 9 5.85 B- 0.45 10
Derek Fisher* 22 A+ 10 5.6 B- 0.16 10
David Paulino 21 A+ 11 5.5 B- 0.17 10
Tony Kemp* 24 AAA 12 4.95 C+ 0.30 10
J.D. Davis 22 A+ 13 4.85 C+ 0.67 10
Jason Martin* 20 A 13 4.85 C+ 0.39 10
Brendan McCurry 23 AA 13 4.85 C+ 0.34 10
Jon Kemmer* 25 AA 16 4.8 C+ 0.34 10
Tyler Heineman# 24 AAA 17 4.75 C+ 0.35 10
Miguelangel Sierra 18 RK 18 4.7 C+ 0.40 10
Akeem Bostick 20 A+ 19 4.65 C+ 0.39 10
Aaron West 25 AA 20 4.6 C+ 0.43 10
Teoscar Hernandez 23 AA 20 4.6 C+ 0.21 10
Max Stassi 24 AAA 22 4.45 C+ 0.19 10
Jonathan Arauz 17 RK 23 4.4 C+ 0.43 10
Jamie Ritchie 22 A+ 23 4.4 C+ 0.43 10
Chase McDonald 23 A+ 25 4.3 C+ 0.29 10
Andrew Aplin* 24 AAA 26 4.2 C+ 0.40 10
Trent Thornton 22 A- 27 4.167 C+ 0.06 9
Nestor Muriel 17 RK 28 4.111 C+ 0.05 9
Matt Duffy 26 AAA 29 4.1 C+ 0.66 10
Kyle Smith 21 AA 29 4.1 C+ 0.21 10
Mike Hauschild 25 AAA 31 3.95 C 0.36 10
Jandel Gustave 23 AA 31 3.95 C 0.30 10
Nolan Fontana* 24 AAA 31 3.95 C 0.14 10
James Hoyt 28 AAA 34 3.9 C 1.77 10
Garrett Stubbs 22 A 35 3.889 C 0.24 9
Franklin Perez 18 RK 36 3.875 C 0.34 8
Chris Devenski 25 AAA 37 3.85 C 0.50 10
Alfredo Gonzalez 23 AA 37 3.85 C 0.39 10
Juan Robles 18 A 39 3.813 C 0.14 8
Wander Franco 19 A 40 3.75 C 0.35 10
Riley Ferrell 22 RK 41 3.722 C 0.38 9
Rogelio Armenteros 19 A 41 3.722 C 0.19 9
Patrick Sandoval 19 RK 43 3.667 C 0.31 9
Dean Deetz 22 A 43 3.667 C 0.25 9
Jordan Jankowski 26 AAA 45 3.65 C 0.28 10
Ralph Garza 21 A- 46 3.625 C 0.34 8
Asher Wojciechowski 25 AAA 47 3.55 C 0.53 10
Bobby Wernes 21 A- 48 3.5 C 0.57 8
Brock Dykxhoorn 21 A 49 3.4 C 0.49 10
Brady Rodgers 25 AAA 49 3.4 C 0.21 10
Danry Vasquez* 21 AA 51 3.35 C 0.56 10
James Ramsay* 23 A+ 51 3.35 C 0.45 10
Conrad Gregor* 23 AA 51 3.35 C 0.28 10
Bryan Muniz 22 A 54 3.313 C 0.21 8
Mott Hyde 23 A+ 55 3.286 C 0.32 7
Nick Tanielu 23 A 55 3.286 C 0.24 7
Reymin Guduan* 23 AA 55 3.286 C 0.24 7
Derick Velazquez 20 A- 55 3.286 C 0.07 7
Frankeny Fernandez 19 RK 59 3.25 C 0.43 8
Osvaldo Duarte 19 RK 59 3.25 C 0.43 8
Andy Pineda* 17 RK 59 3.25 C 0.28 6
Ronnie Mitchell* 24 A+ 59 3.25 C 0.14 8
Joe Sclafani# 25 AAA 63 3.222 C 0.07 9
Scott Weathersby 24 A- 64 3.214 C 0.32 7
Jake Buchanan 26 AAA 65 3.2 C 1.07 10
Thomas Shirley* 27 AAA 66 3.188 C 1.50 8
Johnny Sewald 22 A- 66 3.188 C 0.07 8
Anthony Hermelyn 22 A- 68 3.167 C 1.17 6
Kevin Chapman* 26 AAA 68 3.167 C 0.56 9
Yeyfry Del Rosario 21 A- 68 3.167 C 0.27 6
Orlando Marquez 18 RK 71 3.125 C 0.06 4
Bryan Radziewski* 23 A+ 71 3.125 C 0.05 8
Troy Scribner 24 AA 73 3.083 C 0.24 6
Travis Ballew 24 AAA 73 3.083 C 0.24 6
Chris Cotton* 25 AAA 75 3.071 C 1.04 7
Joan Mauricio* 18 RK 75 3.071 C 0.29 7
Kyle Westwood 24 AA 75 3.071 C 0.20 7
Juan Minaya 25 AAA 75 3.071 C 0.04 7
Brian Holberton* 23 A+ 75 3.071 C 0.04 7
Michael Freeman 24 AA 80 3 C 0.50 8
Daniel Aquino 19 RK 80 3 C 0.50 6
Roberto Pena 23 AA 80 3 C 0.42 7
Junior Garcia* 19 RK 80 3 C 0.17 4
Ryan Deemes 22 A- 80 3 C 0.13 5
Danny Reynolds 24 AA 80 3 C 0.00 6
Carlos Hiraldo 19 RK 80 3 C 0.00 6
Edgardo Sandoval 19 RK 80 3 C 0.00 5
Hector Perez 19 RK 80 3 C 0.00 5
Ihan Bernal 19 RK 80 3 C 0.00 5
Marcos Almonte 19 RK 80 3 C 0.00 5
Myles Straw 21 RK 80 3 C 0.00 5
Tyler Brunnemann 24 AA 80 3 C 0.00 7
Trent Woodward# 23 AAA 80 3 C 0.00 5
Wilson Amador 17 RK 80 3 C 0.00 4
Kent Emanuel* 23 AA 95 2.938 C- 0.39 8
Edison Frias 25 AA 96 2.917 C- 0.94 6
Elieser Hernandez 20 A 96 2.917 C- 0.24 6
Chris Murphy 23 A- 96 2.917 C- 0.24 6
Joshua James 22 A 96 2.917 C- 0.04 6
Sean McMullen* 23 A+ 100 2.9 C- 0.05 5
Alex Winkelman 21 A- 101 2.833 C- 0.17 6
Edgar Lorenzo 17 RK 102 2.75 C- 2.25 4
Erasmo Pinales 21 RK 102 2.75 C- 0.75 4
Tyson Perez 26 AAA 102 2.75 C- 0.25 4
David Mayfield 25 AA 102 2.75 C- 0.18 6
Dexture McCall 21 A- 102 2.75 C- 0.18 6
Jose Hernandez 20 A- 102 2.75 C- 0.18 6
Eric Peterson 22 A 102 2.75 C- 0.18 6
Kevin Comer 23 A+ 109 2.667 C- 0.57 6
Austin Nicely* 21 A- 109 2.667 C- 0.17 6
Rodrigo Ayarza# 20 RK 111 2.625 C- 0.06 4
Kevin McCanna 21 A- 112 2.6 C- 2.18 5
Albert Abreu 20 A- 112 2.6 C- 0.80 5
Hector Roa 20 A- 114 2.583 C- 0.24 6
Pat Porter 22 A- 114 2.583 C- 0.24 6
Antonio Nunez 22 A- 116 2.5 C- 0.75 5
Kristian Trompiz 20 A 116 2.5 C- 0.75 5
Connor MacDonald 19 RK 116 2.5 C- 0.20 6
Brooks Marlow 22 A- 116 2.5 C- 0.20 6
Brian Holmes* 24 AA 116 2.5 C- 0.17 7
Juan Fuente# 20 RK 116 2.5 C- 0.17 4
Keegan Yuhl 23 A+ 122 2.429 C- 0.87 7
Drew Ferguson 23 A 123 2.417 C- 0.24 6
Agapito Barrios 22 A 124 2.4 C- 0.43 5
Austin Chrismon 21 A- 124 2.4 C- 0.18 5
Ryan Bottger# 22 A 126 2.333 C- 0.27 6
Leonardo Heras* 25 AA 126 2.333 C- 0.17 6
Angel Heredia 22 A 128 2.3 C- 0.45 5
Diogenes Almengo 20 RK 128 2.3 C- 0.20 5
Edwin Medina 22 A+ 130 2.25 C- 0.25 4
Carlos Pizzolato 18 RK 130 2.25 C- 0.25 4
Joel Belboder 18 RK 130 2.25 C- 0.25 4
Jose Ramos 17 RK 130 2.25 C- 0.25 4
Reiny Beltre 17 RK 130 2.25 C- 0.25 4
Yhoan Acosta* 20 RK 130 2.25 C- 0.25 4
Matt Bower 21 A- 136 2.2 C- 0.20 5
Brauly Mejia 21 RK 136 2.2 C- 0.20 5
Robert Kahana 21 A- 138 2.167 C- 0.17 6
Andrew Walter 25 A+ 139 2.1 C- 0.05 5
Bobby Boyd* 22 A 139 2.1 C- 0.05 5
Bryan Abreu 17 RK 139 2.1 C- 0.05 5
Keach Ballard 23 A- 139 2.1 C- 0.05 5
Luis Ramirez 20 A- 143 2 C- 0.50 5
Enrique Chavez 19 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Gabriel Bracamonte 20 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Gabriel Valdez 18 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Jake Bowey* 19 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Jorge Martinez# 19 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Jose Rosario 20 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Joselo Pinales 19 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Vicente Sanchez* 19 RK 143 2 C- 0.00 4
Albert Minnis* 24 AA 152 1.9 Non-prospect 0.43 5
Aaron Mizell 22 A- 152 1.9 Non-prospect 0.05 5
Brett Booth 23 A 152 1.9 Non-prospect 0.05 5
Zac Grotz 22 A- 152 1.9 Non-prospect 0.05 5
Ramon Laureano 21 A 156 1.8 Non-prospect 0.33 5
Zach Davis* 24 A 156 1.8 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Jacob Dorris 22 AA 158 1.75 Non-prospect 1.58 4
Jose Fernandez 22 A 158 1.75 Non-prospect 0.58 6
Dylan James 23 RK 158 1.75 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Adam Whitt 22 A- 161 1.7 Non-prospect 0.45 5
Evan Grills* 23 A+ 161 1.7 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Anardo Peralta# 18 RK 161 1.7 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Andrew Thome 22 A 161 1.7 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Chan Moon# 24 AA 161 1.7 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Lachlan Madden 19 A 166 1.65 Non-prospect 0.43 5
Jose Montero 22 A 167 1.583 Non-prospect 0.64 6
Tanner Mathis* 23 A+ 168 1.5 Non-prospect 1.00 4
Edwin Villarroel* 19 RK 168 1.5 Non-prospect 1.00 4
Hayden Timberlake 18 RK 168 1.5 Non-prospect 1.00 4
Angel De Leon 18 RK 168 1.5 Non-prospect 0.25 5
Steve Naemark 25 A+ 168 1.5 Non-prospect 0.25 5
Hansel Paulino 18 RK 168 1.5 Non-prospect 0.17 4
Nestor Tejada* 18 RK 174 1.375 Non-prospect 2.90 4
Jorge Perez 22 A 175 1.3 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Brandon McNitt 22 A- 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Cesar Carrasco 22 A- 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Juan Santos 20 A- 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Jordan Mills* 23 A+ 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Marc Wik* 23 A+ 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Ryan Thompson 23 A+ 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Carlos Sanabria 18 RK 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Jorge Guzman 19 RK 176 1.25 Non-prospect 0.25 4
Connor Goedert 22 RK 184 1.2 Non-prospect 2.70 5
Justin Ferrell 21 A 184 1.2 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Alexander Melendez 20 A- 184 1.2 Non-prospect 0.20 5
Ben Smith 22 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Gonzalo Sanudo 23 AA 187 1 Non-prospect 1.33 4
Devonte German 21 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.67 4
Octavio Acosta 25 AAA 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 4
Brian Pena 21 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 4
Jose Benjamin 18 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 4
Ford Stainback 22 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 3
Josue Uribe 20 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 3
Juan Cuevas 20 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 3
Luis Payano 19 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 3
Samil De Los Santos 21 RK 187 1 Non-prospect 0.00 3
Arturo Michelena 21 A- 198 0.833 Non-prospect 0.58 3
Ruben Castro* 19 A+ 199 0.75 Non-prospect 1.13 2
Abdiel Saldana 19 RK 200 0.667 Non-prospect 0.33 3
Adonis Pena 22 RK 200 0.667 Non-prospect 0.33 3
Alejandro Solarte* 21 RK 200 0.667 Non-prospect 0.33 3
Luis Reynoso 21 A 203 0.5 Non-prospect 0.50 2
Marlon Avea 22 A 203 0.5 Non-prospect 0.50 2
Bryan De La Cruz 19 RK 203 0.5 Non-prospect 0.50 2
Christian Correa 22 RK 203 0.5 Non-prospect 0.50 2
Luis Flores 28 AAA 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Luis Vasquez 22 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Makay Nelson 21 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Michael Richez 17 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Miguel Severino 21 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Moreno Polanco 21 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Randy Cesar 20 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Richard Gonzalez 20 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Salvador Montano 21 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Starlyn Taveras 21 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Starlyng Sanchez* 21 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Kevin Martir 21 A- 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Kolbey Carpetner 22 A- 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 0
Christopher Luciano 18 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Cristhopher Santamaria* 19 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Jared Cruz 20 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Jonathan Matute 18 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 1
Michael Martinez 22 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 0
David Schmidt 22 A- 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 2
Christian Powell 24 A+ 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 2
Frederick Tiburcio 23 AAA 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 2
Felix Lucas 17 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 2
Gerald Benzant 19 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 2
Justin Garcia 22 RK 207 0 Non-prospect 0.00 2