Ah, July 15. A glorious day for reflection, casual misogyny and absolutely no televised sports. That lets us indulge
For those of you familiar with my work on this fine internet site, you'll know I love coming up with fake trades. The only thing I love more than making fake trades is pop culture references or casting a popular TV show with
This year is no exception. I've got some ideas on what the Astros will do by the end of this month, but first, I'd like to acknowledge that my former colleague, Mr.
I'm not a smart man. Mr. Perry is absolutely smarter than me. Yet, he couldn't be more wrong in his premise.
That's the real thrust of this article. It's not to throw out some fake trades, much as I'd enjoy it. What I want to do is lay out the strategy the Astros could be
See, it's not as linear a decision as it's been made to seem my the hot stove media. Sure, the Astros will be in the market for starting pitching. Sure, it makes sense that they'd go after Johnny Cueto and Cole Hamels. Those are two of the best pitchers on the market.
A common theme of sports talk radio (*ahem* Looking at you, Mr.
It makes sense, too. Since you are on this site, I assume you're an intelligent baseball fan who knows the modern trends. You've read Moneyball and Rob Neyer and Jonah Keri and understand what the sharps in baseball front offices are doing. It's all about team control, right? You don't make a trade unless you can control a player beyond this season.
Why, then, do so many reports show the Astros as having
No, he's not. No player is worth the scads of money they get on the open market. Even Max Scherzer, who's having a best-case season for the Nationals, may not be worth it in two years. So, what's going on?
I won't pretend to know how The Nerd Cave or Jeff Luhnow and David Stearns think. They, too, are much smarter than me. If we accept their connections to pending free agents, which also includes Jeff Smarzakldf;lajd and Scott Kazmir, then we have to figure out why they're doing this.
We know the Astros have a long-term plan.
Yet, that long-term plan shouldn't affect single seasons. Those are still special and unique. Houston may have gone into this year thinking they'd
If they're going to do this, what will they have to give up? Prospects and lots of them. Chris is absolutely correct in that. The price will be prohibitive.
Yet, the Astros also have a glut on the farm in one particular area: Rule 5-eligible players. That issue from last winter isn't going away. They lost a few guys last time around that had value.
What if Houston's interest in pending free agents is really about what they have to sell? By sending these about-to-be-added 40-man guys off, or players who they might get bumped off the 40-man this winter, they spend prospect capital on something tangible for this season and extract value out of a player or players who might leave anyway.
Other GMs aren't stupid. But Luhnow isn't trying to buy Clayton Kershaw for magic beans. If he gives Walt Jocketty
If you didn't like Houston losing DDJ for nothing, you'd want to see Houston do this. They might even lose Cueto or whoever to another team in free agency. That's fine too. That half-season is still worth something and that MLB value is worth more than the potential value of guys they might lose in the Rule 5 this winter.