Last night was embarassing. We looked every bit the part of the team that many people have claimed to have been vastly over achieving for the last two months and were due for a crash back down to earth. Hurricane or no Hurricane, tough road series or no tough road series, the Astros, at some point, are going to have get over the hand they've been dealt and play it. They just looked awful last night which is a mirror imagine of their previous three nights. As a result of all of this, are chances of making the play offs have been decimated, especially since the Mets, the Brewers, and Marlins all won last night, leaving the NL Wild Card race looking like this:
Four games out and an elimination number that has been cut down to 8, with 11 games to play, means that the Astros cannot lose anymore this season and the other teams have to help us by losing games. We're exactly where we were at the end of 2006, when every night you had to pray that the Cards would find away to screw it up and then hope that we'd eek out a win. The only difference is that team had Roger, Andy, and Roy. As of late, however, our pitchers have been in a habit of letting the game get out of hand real quick. Aside from considering the all reliever rotation today, we should also consider remembering how to hit the baseball -- Lance Berkman I'm looking at you.
I fully believe that this team could easily real of the wins necessary to take the NL Wild Card. Our schedule from here on out consists of:
- 1 More game against the Marlins
- 3 in Pittsburgh -- a team that would probably get beat by the Express at this point.
- 3, at home, against the Reds -- our personal whipping boys or at least Roy's and Lance's.
- 3, at home, against the Braves.
Report | Wild Card | |
BPro Unadjusted |
1.32076% | |
BPro Schedule Adjusted |
2.33740% | |
Cool Standings |
1.5% | |
SCS Weighted |
1.5% | |
SCS 50/50 |
2.0% |
Here's a chart of how all the possible combinations of season finishes could impact our odds of making the playoffs (From Sports Club Stats Weighted Version):
These last two losses have really hampered our shot at making the playoffs, but you gotta believe. The title of the chart should be "You Can't F*#K Up Anymore."
Here are the match-ups you will be rooting against today:
Johan is a CHUMP, we all know that. Tim Redding...(please baseball gods, throw us a bone)
Bush-league for Harden, we can rest assured on that one.
He was good the last time out, let's just hope it wasn't a fluke. I here Scott Olsen hates America and babies.