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Astros Sweep Pirates and Baseball Gods Approve: Playoff Odds 9/12/08

The Astros swept the Pirates in a four game set and the baseball gods worked their magic to ensure that everything that wasn't in the Astros control went perfectly. While the Astros are currently depending on other teams to their bidding for them, they've been taking care of their end of the bargain for the last nine games. Their latest series sweep over the Pirates, coupled with a Phillies routing of Ben Sheets, and Rich Harden making easy work of the Cardinals has the Astros sitting 3 games behind Milaulkee as we all buckle down for Hurricane Ike. We remain static in the elimination column at 13, sharing our second place tie with the Phillies. Should the Phightin' Phils sweep the Brewers and the Astros take Sunday's possible double header from the Cubs, both teams would find themselves a game out of the NL Wild Card lead.

So what has this done for our Wild Card odds? Let's first just get a pretty picture of the NL Wild Card standings:

National League Wild Card Standings

Milwaukee 83 64 .564 0 Lost 1
Houston 80 67 .544 3 Won 6
Philadelphia 80 67 .544 3 Won 1
St. Louis 78 68 .534 4.5 Lost 0

(updated 9.12.2008 at 9:05 AM CDT)

To the odds:

Report Wild Card
BPro Unadjusted
BPro Schedule Adjusted
Cool Standings
SCS Weighted
SCS 50/50

The increases are dramatic. The biggest raw change of this week, by far. Crazily enough, we have a better shot at the Wild Card than the Phillies, but I suppose that probably has to do with their equally strong odds of winning their division. The trend we've seen this week is clear though: the more we keep winning, the bigger our odds increase.

Per usual, here are the match-ups du jour:

Next Game

Milwaukee Brewers
@ Philadelphia Phillies

Friday, Sep 12, 2008, 6:05 PM CDT
Citizens Bank Park

Manny Parra vs Cole Hamels

Mostly cloudy. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-15 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 75.

Complete Coverage >

Next Game

St. Louis Cardinals
@ Pittsburgh Pirates

Friday, Sep 12, 2008, 6:05 PM CDT
PNC Park

Joel Pineiro vs Paul Maholm

Mostly cloudy with a 70-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing out to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 70.

Complete Coverage >

Cole Hamels takes his filthy 180:47 K:BB to the mound to face off against Manny Parra (another of my fantasy guys I will gladly root for the get creamed), Parra who has been either ON or OFF this season -- my fingers, and I assume your's, are crossed for the latter.

Maholm is another of my fantasy guys (yes, I know...too many NL Central guys) and to counteract my benevolence for both Sheets and Parra getting shelled, I hope that he has a wicked outing against the Red Birds so that we can just put them in our rear-view mirror.

Hurricane Ike is coming, be safe and if you have power, stay tuned to the internet to keep up with the Wild Card race -- preferably here..