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Houston Astros - Playoff Chances

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These numbers come directly form www.baseballprospectus.com.  How they got these numbers is by running a simulation of the final games of the season 1 million times and taking the stats from that simulation.

If the percentages from that simulation are accurate, then the Astros have...

  • .00958% chance to be the NL Champions
  • .38338% chance to be the Wild Card Champions
  • .39296% chance to make the playoffs

So basically what it's saying is the chances of us making the playoffs are slim... SEE THIS IS WHY I'M NOT A STATS GUY!!!!!!  Well, this isn't really a stats thing... more of a probability thing... but you get my point.