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Astros For the NL Wild Card

If the Astros are going to get back into this Wild Card chase, they need to beat bad teams... well, they did that against the Reds, sweeping the 4 game series and need to do that again this week, starting with a 4 game series against the Giants.  A lot of people think the Astros have no chance to get back into the Wild Card... I am one to disagree with that assessment.  (don't get me wrong... it's a long shot at best)The Astros have 45 games left this season and sit 8 1/2 games out of the Wild Card race...  The Brewers are 8 1/2 games ahead of us and the Cardinals are 5 1/2 games ahead of us.  I am pretty confident that when all things are said and done... we are at least ahead of the Cardinals.  Now the Brewers on the other hand...  that's going to be a tough one.

Now for the Astros gaining the Wild Card Crown...  like I said, 45 games which equals to about 7 more weeks of baseball.  Let's simplify this some... 7 weeks, 8 1/2 games behind... that's just over 1 game / week that we need to gain on the Brewers to get in a race for the Wild Card. Shouldn't be too hard right?...  right??  Well... we'll see.  The Astros have been playing very good baseball lately(8-2 out of the last 10), but then again... the Brewers have as well(8-2 out of the last 10).  But stranger things have happened... The Astros could continue to stay hot and win another 4-5 games in a row and the Brewers could hit a drought and lose 4 or 5 in a row... all it would take is one bad stretch for them, and a good stretch for us and we could be back in this. 

The Brewers start a 3 game series tomorrow(they beat the Nat's today to finish a 4 game sweep) in San Diego after just sweeping the Nationals out of town in a 4 game series.  The Astros start a 4 game series tonight at home against the Giants, after just going into Cincy and sweeping the Reds in a 4 game series.  After the Padres, the Brewers have a 3 game series against the Dodgers and then go home to face us in a 3 game series. The Dodgers are much better now than they have been all season(the Manny Ramirez factor) and I'm calling for the Dodgers to win the NL west...  so I think the Dodgers have a very good chance at beating the Brewers 2 out of 3 games.  The Astros should be able to at least win the next 2 series(I consider the Astros a better team than the D-backs)... So out of the next 7 games for the Astros, I expect us to come out of it with at least 5-2 record.  I think the Brewers will win the series against the Padres(winning 2 out of 3) and then lose the series against the dodgers(winning 1 of 3).  That puts the Astros with a 5-2 record in the 7 games before facing the Brewers, and the brewers at a 4-3 record in the last 7 games before facing us. 

That would be 1 game off the 8 1/2 that the Astros need to make up with the Brewers...  1 Week... 1 game off the lead... that's about all it's going to take for us to get back into this.  

Pretty simple aye?