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Predictions, Projections, Prognostications

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Good news:  the 2007 PECOTA projections have been released by Baseball Prospectus.

They made me promise not to give it all away, but I didn't think they'd mind if I showed you OBP and SLG for guys likely to play in the majors in '07:

2007 PECOTA Projections of OPS for Astros Hitters
Name OBP SLG OPS
Lance Berkman .421 .573 .994
Carlos Lee .359 .530 .889
Morgan Ensberg .374 .484 .858
Luke Scott .353 .495 .848
Brooks Conrad .345 .493 .838
Hunter Pence .338 .489 .827
Jason Lane .331 .475 .806
Chris Burke .348 .452 .800
Mike Lamb .338 .461 .799
Eric Munson .314 .448 .762
Craig Biggio .322 .413 .735
Mark Loretta .341 .388 .729
Charlton Jimerson .287 .434 .721
Humberto Quintero .304 .397 .701
Eric Bruntlett .323 .369 .692
Hector Gimenez .307 .385 .692
Adam Everett .302 .385 .687
Josh Anderson .311 .357 .668
Eli Iorg .278 .376 .654
Orlando Palmeiro .298 .336 .634
Brad Ausmus .296 .294 .590

For comparison, when Baseball Think Factory had released their ZIPS projections in November, they had seen Berkman at a .972 OPS, and Morgan at .844.

So I guess I have to say that I like this set of prognostications.

Which reminds me: I was wondering whether something like the "Community Projections" you see here and there across the blogosphere might work here. I was even wondering whether we could turn it into some kind of a contest with a prize to be awarded from my vast trove of Astro baseballcardiana.

Let me know what you think . . . .