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Around SBN: More Televised Winter Baseball, Please

Game Hero/WPA, 38 - 38

Chad Qualls/Trever Miller/Fernando Nieve
  • Combined 4 IP, 2 H, 0 BB, 0 ER

Everyone following knew the 'Stros were done as soon as it went extras, because Qualls was gonna pitch as crappily as had Springer Wheeler and Lidge. It was fait accompli.

Well, Qualls changed your mind pretty quickly: what was left of the pen was going to do the best they could to hold the fort until Houston could score.

Miller shocked 80% of Houston when he struck out Thome, and Nieve I don't think was too bothered, at least from his results.

Miller worked Thome up and inside, but Qualls and Nieve were down to everyone, and two of our most home run-prone pitchers were obviously determined not to leave anything up and out.

And then we got a break. . . .

Win Expectancy Chart

click to open larger version in new window

Top Five Astros
Qualls   0.366
Everett    0.310
Nieve   0.265
Oswalt   0.210
Bruntlett   0.208
Bottom Four Astros
Burke -0.132
Biggio -0.162
Ausmus -0.454
Lidge -0.477
 
Top Three White Sox
Iguchi   0.456
Jenks   0.156
Uribe   0.054

This was an important one, but more to the point, would have been a backbreaking loss. The team got disappointing performances from many key players, yet still found a way to win.

Despite the huge lead given back, I think this is a positive, maybe even a major positive.

Events, as always, will let us know if I'm right.

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I was joking
with a buddy that after two consecutive games with grand slams, the chances were pretty good that we'd give up another one yesterday.  i nearly lost it when Iguchi hit that one.  you can talk about the resiliency of continuing to fight into extra innings and grabbing the win, but that one felt as much like a loss as a win can possibly feel.

earlier in the game, when we were up 9-1, i was feeling glad that even after dropping the two previous games in stomach turning fashion, we were on national TV with Mitchell and Morgan as witnesses, shutting down the big bad White Sox and smacking around their vaunted pitching staff.  maybe they were carving out a little respect for themselves, only to see Springer and Lidge validate every 'stros bashers opinion of them.  even with a win, we're laughably the team that blew an 8-run lead after the 7th.

last year when we were suffering, i was so confident that we really weren't as bad as we looked.  this year we're still in better shape than we were this time last year, but i'm just not sure we're any better than we look.  very frustrating.  hopefully these guys can prove me wrong.

by littlevisigoth on Jun 26, 2006 10:13 AM CDT reply actions  

Poor Roy
That is now his 6th "quality start" in which he has either gotten a no decision or a loss.  11 of his 15 starts have been of the quality variety, but only 5 of those have yielded him a win.

He hasn't been his dominant self this year, but he should be on his way to his 3rd consecutive 20-win season, but for games like this when the rest of his team isn't holding up their end of the deal.

by littlevisigoth on Jun 26, 2006 2:45 PM CDT reply actions  

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