FanPost

Are Astros striking out too much?



Astros GM Jeff Luhnow said in the paper the other day that he would like to see the Astros' get their strike outs down. So would I, but is it realistic to expect that they can? I would assume Luhnow is familiar with the Astro player statistics and so must think they are striking out at an unusually high-- (and given the statistical nature of the game) temporary rate. But a look at the stats says it ain't so. Astros hitters (the current roster) struck out 21.1% of their ABs over their collective minor league careers. They have struck out 25.1% of their ABs over their collective major league careers, not much of a surprise since MiL stats are predictors of ML performance and ML performance tends to degrade some compared to a player's MiL record. This year when Luhnow says they are striking out too much they are striking out 26.2% of ABs and if we disaggregate Springer it is 25.1% or about what we would expect. So why is the GM expecting better things out of this roster? Oakland's current roster strikes out at a historic rate of 18.4% compared to their minor league record of 16.7%. If we want to reduce the SO rate we need some different players because these guys are not going to get better as a group. Why doesn't our GM know this? I am a long time LOYAL Astros fan, but I have some serious concerns about this owner and his management team. Luhnow's statement just but it in focus for me. What else are they missing?

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