FanPost

ALL The Astros Prospects


Forewarning: this is an extremely long post.

I am a big fan of John Sickels' work over at Minor League Ball. One thing I have always thought would be neat is if he refined his grading system to include ceiling and floor to give a better idea of what type of player each prospect was. I recently had some free time and nerdily spent it re-grading every prospect in Houston's minor league system. I split the grading into ceiling, floor, and overall. The results are below. Some notes on the grading scale (it is similar to Sickels but has meaningful variances):

A+: An A+ ceiling is basically an unlimited ceiling. A prospect with an A+ grade could end up in the Hall of Fame. No prospect would ever get an A+ floor grade, and I can't imagine a realistic scenario in which a prospect would get an A+ overall grade.

A: "A" grade prospects are the best of the best. These players are expected to be perennial all-stars. Again, no prospect has an A floor grade (the highest floor grade I can imagine realistically ever giving would be a B-), and only in extremely rare circumstances would I give a player an A overall grade.

A-: Elite prospects, an A- ceiling means a prospect has a chance to be an excellent major leaguer, either a middle of the order hitter or top of the rotation pitcher. An A- grade overall would mean a prospect is a likely future All-Star and is usually reserved for only a handful of MLB prospects each year.

B+: B+ guys are still elite prospects. It reflects an above average regular position player or a #2 or good #3 SP or elite closer.

B: An average everyday player, Middle of the rotation (MoR) starting pitcher or average closer.

B-: A below average regular, really good bench/platoon player, back of the rotation pitcher, or setup man. A player with a B- or higher floor grade is very likely to reach the majors, hence those floor grades usually being reserved for prospects with experience in the upper minors.

C+: A solid platoon/bench player but not an everyday regular, a fringe setup man or good middle reliever. A player with a C+ grade floor is likely to reach the majors.

C: A bench player or middle reliever. Prospects with a C grade floor indicates fair bust potential and usually have about a 50/50 shot of reaching the majors.

C-: A below average bench player, "AAAA" player, or generally a fringy major leaguer. A player with a C- floor usually has a 30-50% chance of reaching the big leagues.

F: An F grade is only given as a floor grade for prospects that are highly unlikely to reach the majors. Less than 1/10 players given this grade will see time in the bigs.

A note about Ceiling: Of course any player can be a hall of famer. But the ceiling grade reflects the best case scenario with any meaningful probability.

A note about floor: FLOOR GRADES IGNORE INJURY RISK. Injuries can derail any player. Hence, players with high injury risk may be overrated in this grading system. The floor grade is based on talent/tools/proximity to the majors. It represents the worst case scenario with any meaningful probability, barring injury. Speaking of 'barring injury', you will see this phrase repeated throughout, but just assume that all grade descriptions include this caveat.

A note about overall grades: The overall grades are admittedly inconsistent. In some cases they reflect what I feel is the most likely outcome for the player. In others, they reflect the midpoint of the floor and ceiling. Either way, the overall grade simply represents a value that can be used to compare prospects to one another.

On to the grades:

Rk

Pos

Player

Ceiling

Floor

Overall

Note

1

SS

Carlos Correa

A+

B-

A-

True superstar potential and his most likely outcome is a good SS that makes a few All-Star games. Can field, hit, hit for power. Speed questionable but not a glaring weakness. Could probably play SS for Houston right now and be above replacement level. Barring injury, he will see time as a regular SS in the next 2 years.

2

RHP

Mark Appel

A

B-

B+

Has potential to be a rotation anchor that is a fine opening day starter but probably lacks the ceiling of a dominant ace. Likely outcome is a good #3. Could probably pitch in the majors right now without embarrassing himself and barring injury will be in Houston by next year.

3

OF

George Springer

A

B-

B+

If not for the swing and miss he would be a potential superstar. But his power/speed/defense combo means he has legit star potential. MLB ready and is probably 1 of the 5 best hitters in the system right now, so he could slot in the middle of the lineup tomorrow. Worst case scenario he strikes out too much to play everyday but his defense keeps him in the league as a fringe regular that keeps getting chances. Most likely outcome is as a plus defensive everyday OF with plus power and speed but strikeout problems.

4

RHP

Mike Foltynewicz

A

B-

B+

Because of his fastball velocity, until he reaches his prime age range he will always have ace potential. He could be a setup man in Houston right now but his most likely outcome is that he continues to develop as a starter and ends up as a really good (if enigmatic) MoR SP or an elite closer. Barring injury he is at worst a late-inning reliever.

5

1B

Jonathan Singleton

A

C+

B+

Stock is down but still has the potential to be a perennial all-star 1B. Can hit and hit for power while playing adequate defense at 1B. Given his pedigree he will get an extended chance to establish himself in the big leagues, so his floor is Brett Wallace's career. I think his most likely outcome is as a really good 1B that falls just short of 'star player'.

6

RHP

Lance McCullers, Jr.

A-

C+

B

Another fireballer that will reach the majors barring injury, even if he only pans out as a middle reliever. Doesn't have ace potential but his ceiling is a #2 on a playoff team. His most likely outcome is that he continues to start until he reaches the majors at which point he becomes a closer.

7

OF

Delino DeShields Jr.

A-

C

B

To me his speed and onbase skills mean he has a really good chance of reaching the majors. Yes, he could totally bust but I think the odds are against it. He has potential to be an excellent leadoff man that sports average CF defense or excellent LF defense. Really though, I see him as a guy that plays everyday in his prime without ever becoming a true star.

8

OF

Domingo Santana

A-

C

B

Can hit for power and has a cannon arm for RF. Speed is not good but isn't a glaring weakness. Strikes out a lot. The K's give him a really high bust potential but in my eyes that is mitigated by his arm, which makes him more than a bat-only player, so for now I'd say it's 50/50 that he reaches the majors. If everything goes right he will hit 30 HR, gun baserunners down from RF, and strike out just enough to frustrate folks, but still make a few all-star games. His most likely outcome is a high power, good arm, high strikeout player that gets an extended audition but never gets entrenched.

9

RHP

Vincent Velasquez

B+

C+

B-

Stock is on the rise and he has the ceiling to be a really good MoR SP on a playoff team but I am probably lower than most on VV. Barring injury I think the odds favor him reaching the majors, even if only for a short time. I think his most likely outcome is as a setup man that gets a least 1 audition as a closer.

10

LHP

Josh Hader

A

C-

B-

One of the widest ranges of outcomes in the system. I actually think he has the potential to be an ace, but there is a significant chance that he busts completely. Everything looks good so far: high k/9, limits runs, bb/9 isn't horrible, lefthanded, and excellent age:league. He did k fewer and walk more in A ball, but it's a big step up and he got traded mid-season. The midpoint of his floor/ceiling is a back end starter, but I don't think that's his most likely outcome as I see him more as a boom-or-bust type.

11

OF

Andrew Aplin

A-

C

B-

Probably the prospect I am most irrationally optimistic about. I think with his defense he could be a decent 4th OF in Houston RIGHT NOW. Ceiling would be a gold-glove CF with 10 HR, 20 SB and an OPS in the mid-700s. I think his most likely outcome is a really good 4th OF that you don't mind if he has to play everyday.

12

3B

Rio Ruiz

A-

C-

B-

High bust potential here, he very well could never play in the majors if he doesn't develop (and that ignores injury risk completely). But there is also potential for him to be a very good starting 3B that gets on base (.330+ OBP), has good power (15+ HR) and good defense. His age and mixed reviews on his defense make him hard to pin down, so I think he is probably another boom-or-bust type, but the midpoint of his outcomes is a 3B that gets an extended audition and ends up as a bench bat.

13

RHP

Michael Feliz

A-

C-

B-

High ceiling, low floor, but I don't think he is a boom or bust type. He has potential to be just short of an ace, but that's only if everything turns out perfectly. He has bust potential and there's a greater than 50/50 chance he never reaches the big leagues, but if I had to guess I'd say barring injury he ends up as a solid late inning reliever or back-end starter.

14

RHP

Aaron West

A-

C-

B-

Another one I'm higher than most on. In a perfect world he shocks prospectors and is a ToR guy. AA will tell a lot and I expect him to succeed. Still there is bust potential until we see how he does in Corpus. Midpoint outcome is as a back end starter or setup man.

15

C

Max Stassi

B+

C

B-

Has already had a fairly successful big-league audition after a breakout year in AA so I consider him a pretty high-floor player. If all goes well he could end up as an above average starting catcher with a good power/defense combo, but worst case scenario (barring injury-haha) he will have a least a few seasons as a backup catcher.

16

OF

Preston Tucker

B+

C-

B-

I am lower on Tucker than most on this site mostly because I tend to be lower on players that are limited defensively since it automatically means high bust potential. If Tucker doesn't continue to tear the cover off the ball in the upper minors he will never reach the big leagues. But his best case scenario is really good: a 25+ HR guy that can hold his own in the corner OF and doesn't strike out a lot. Midpoint outcome for now is a guy that sees a few years as a DH.

17

RHP

Kyle Smith

B+

C-

B-

The next tier of pitching prospects in an insanely deep system. Would easily be a Top 10 prospect for most teams. Gets dinged for size and the fact that his numbers have gotten worse as he's moved up. But still could be a good #3 in a perfect world. Moderate bust potential, would not put money on him making an impact. Mid point of outcomes is backend starter/setup man.

18

RHP

Asher Wojciechowski

B

C

B-

Recent injury was not a good sign as he is getting older and needs to go ahead and get to the majors. Still MoR potential and (again, barring injury--assuming he recovers quickly from his current lat pull) is likely to get to Houston this year and at least get a cup of coffee.

19

RHP

Nick Tropeano

B

C

B-

Stock is down but another very good prospect getting buried by deep farm. In terms of rating, he is a healthier, younger Wojo that is a little further from the majors.

20

RHP

Andrew Thurman

B

C

B-

Probably underrated. Reports are that his velocity is way up and if that's true his stock will go up. Good chance of reaching the majors. Another MoR potential arm with a fairly high floor as a college guy drafted by Luhnow.

21

3B

Matt Duffy

B+

C-

C+

I am higher on Duffy than most (was not even graded by Sickels). 30+ HR potential, seemingly the ability to stick at 3B, and so far no big strikeout problems. That said, he was old for his league and didn't walk much. Unlikely to reach the majors but also has a chance to be an impact player. AA will tell us a lot this season.

22

OF/1B

Brandon Meredith

B+

C-

C+

Another one I think is underrated. Almost as good a prospect as Tucker and will apparently learn 1B this season. I feel like he has the athleticism to add some more power and his 900+ OPS in Lancaster is being wrongfully ignored. Numbers have improved as he has moved up. Only knocks are age and defensive limitations (along with possibly some elevated injury risk).

23

OF

Brett Phillips

B+

C-

C+

Really interesting prospect that won't get much attention until he spends a year in full-season ball. Stock will take a hit if he isn't assigned to QC next week. Playing a hunch here as he has not shown any HR power or speed. He has shown a good pension for getting on base. Based solely on seeing him in person a long time ago and scouting reports I think he can be an above average CF. High bust potential due to his lack of numbers, distance from the majors, and age, but all that is slightly mitigated by his athleticism. Probably only has a 1 in 3 chance of reaching the majors but it's easy for me to see him as a reserve OF. He is to me what Teoscar Hernandez is to everyone else.

24

LHP

Austin Nicely

B+

F

C+

At this point probably only about 20% chance of reaching the big leagues. Very young and far from Houston and there is not much to go on yet. But he is a lefty with a ton of upside and apparently Houston's scouts really loved him. Will be at least 2 years before we can have a good idea of what he is.

25

LHP

Jandel Gustave

B+

F

C+

Can throw a baseball 100 mph with his left hand. That said, he is entering his 4th pro season and hasn't even reached A ball. Obvious control problems. His assignment next week will have a significant impact on his stock. Lottery ticket, but it's a Powerball, not a scratch-off.

26

LHP

Luis Cruz

B

C

C+

Stock way up after a good season and getting added to 40 man. May have turned a corner; K/9 has increased as he's moved up. Gets dinged for height as he's only 5'9". At this point I'd give him a pretty high floor grade since he is on the 40 man and dominated AA and appeared to hold his own this spring against big leaguers. I'll be surprised if he doesn't at least get a cup of coffee. But I have a hard time seeing him as more than a MoR guy, and even that is best case scenario. Probably a middle reliever.

27

C

Tyler Heineman

B

C

C+

Polished player with a decent bat at an up-the-middle position. I think he has a good shot at reaching the majors. Good defensive reputation, popped 13 HR last year. Solid regular potential. Most likely a better than average backup catcher.

28

RHP

Brady Rodgers

B

C

C+

Not in the high velocity group but has steadily progressed and had success. Good k/bb #'s. MoR potential, likely to get at least a cup of coffee, most likely a decent reliever/spot starter.

29

OF

Danry Vasquez

B

F

C+

High potential but not as high as some think and has a high bust potential. Limited to corners (probably LF) so if his bat doesn't get a lot better he will never reach the majors. That said, his age (20) leaves all his ceiling of a good corner OF still possible. Not boom or bust since I don't see much boom but wide range of outcomes.

30

SS

Luis Reynoso

B

F

C+

My sleeper pick. Not really even on anyone else's radar at this point. Stock should shoot up if he is assigned to QC next week and proceeds to hold his own. With his tools I think he has potential to be a plus defensive SS with enough bat to play every day. Super duper high bust potential, probably about 10% chance of reaching majors.

31

2B/SS

Ronald Torreyes

B-

C

C+

Very interesting that after digging in I rank Torreyes above Fontana. Elite contact tool, rarely strikes out, and I think he has defense to at least back up at SS. OBP has fallen as he's moved up but he is very young and may have been rushed. Dinged for size. If he maximizes himself he is a fringe regular, maybe an Altuve with less speed. I think he has a better than 50/50 shot of reaching the majors and see his likely outcome as a bench infielder.

32

SS/2B

Nolan Fontana

B-

C

C+

Stock has slowly fallen since he was drafted. Elite walk tool and decent defense but those are countered by other flaws. Never going to bring power, has sported odd low averages and hasn't really sported much speed. But if he can stick at SS or show enough to backup everywhere, he should reach the majors (barring injury). Fringe regular/supersub upside, likely a utility player.

33

LHP

Kent Emanuel

B-

C-

C+

Kind of forgotten for a recent 3rd rd pick. Could move quickly and LHP is one area where the system isn't totally stacked (Cruz and Hader are the only LHP that both rank ahead of him and are closer to majors). Moderate bust potential but has a decent shot to reach majors; solid #4 SP upside. Maybe a Dallas Keuchel outcome?

34

C

Carlos Perez

B-

C-

C+

His stock fell after he struggled offensively in AAA but I still think he has a lot of value. At his age he should keep improving and already at AAA it won't take much for him to get called up. Getting passed in the Rule 5 was a ding and lowered his floor grade but I think the ceiling is still there to be a fringe regular catcher and can easily envision him making out a long career as a backup.

35

OF

Austin Wates

B-

C-

C+

His injury last year was bad timing. Without it he may already be in Houston in place of Hoes or Grossman. Has been pretty consistent in the minors with high averages and OBP. I could see him as a poor defensive CF or LF with plus range that slashes .280/.340/.380, but that's about his ceiling. 50/50 shot of reaching bigs since the depth in the minors may have others passing him up.

After those prospects, there is a large group of C grade guys that I follow. All are unlikely to reach the majors but are worth commenting on. They are grouped by position.

Pos

Player

Ceiling

Floor

Overall

Note

1B

Bobby Borchering

B

F

C

Was a 1st round pick for a reason. At this point looks like a bust but until he reaches peak age or is released he will be on the watch list.

1B/DH

Telvin Nash

B

F

C

Elite power and that one tool keeps him on the list. Less than 5% chance he makes good. Wouldn't be surprised to see him released.

1B/C/DH

MP Cokinos

C+

F

C

Got on the radar with a hot pro start. But apparently worthless defensively and really hasn't shown the power to make him a legit 1B/DH prospect. AA will tell for sure. Probably doesn't have a lot of time.

1B/DH

Chase Davidson

B

F

C

Plus power and that one tool keeps him on the list. Less than 5% chance he makes good. Wouldn't be surprised to see him released.

1B/OF

Conrad Gregor

C+

C-

C

I am really low on him. Higher floor than the other C grade guys but I just can't see him being an impact player. He could end up making me look silly.

1B

Jack Armstrong Jr.

C+

F

C

Worth watching since if he had no potential they would have just released him. He was a lotto ticket when there was still a chance he could pitch, not sure what to call him now.

2B

Tony Kemp

C+

C-

C

Another one I'm really low on. A homeless man's Altuve. That said, his floor is higher than most of these other C grade prospects.

3B

Jonathan Meyer

C+

C-

C

Was tempted to make him a C+ since he should be only 1 good season away from a callup. Could end up being a plus defensive major league 3B but looking at his offensive track record it's really hard to see him as an everyday player even though he has been young pretty much the whole way. Has a rep as a really hard worker and physically there's no reason he can't succeed, so there is a possibility he breaks out but it is remote.

C

Jacob Nottingham

B

F

C

I really like him but he's so far away from the majors it will be 2 years at least before we know anything.

IF

Wilson Amador

B-

F

C

These DSL grades are based on signing bonuses and scouting reports at the time. Amador was a highly thought of but an injury lowered his bonus.

IF

Wander Franco

B-

F

C

There's a reason these guys get 6 figure bonuses.

IF

Joan Mauricio

B-

F

C

There's a reason these guys get 6 figure bonuses.

LHP

David Rollins

B-

C-

C

Another one I was tempted to grade as C+. Doesn't do anything flashy but still have potential to end up in a big league rotation.

LHP

Colton Cain

B

F

C

When he was first drafted by the Pirates I would have given him a solid B grade. His stock has fallen and he is now very unlikely to ever make a big league impact but the potential is still there given his age.

LHP

Christopher Lee

B-

F

C

Showed signs of improvement. Has physical tools and pedigree to be a good LHP. If he gets assigned to QC next week his stock will go up.

LHP

Chris Cotton

B-

F

C

Briefly considered making him a C+ but need to see a little more. Could really surprise.

LHP

Tom Shirley

B-

F

C

Injuries have kept him from ever really taking off but it will be a really good sign if he is assigned to AA next week, especially if he is put in the 8 man rotation. Has put up good #'s throughout and has the stuff to succeed, just needs to stay healthy, which looks like a long shot at this point. I was once much higher on him.

LHP

Randall Fant

B-

F

C

Another college draftee LHP that had success in short season. Like Cotton, his assignment will be telling and he is one that could surprise.

OF/1B

Ariel Ovando

B+

F

C

The guy once got $2.6M to play baseball. There's a reason for that. Until he is released or reaches peak age, we can dream.

OF

Leonardo Heras

B-

F

C

I am much lower on him than most. If he is limited to the corners, I don't see his bat ever playing up enough. He is also dinged for his size. That said, he is a much better prospect than Japhet Amador and worthy of everyday play in either AAA or AA this season.

OF

Ravel Santana

B-

F

C

Former Yankees Top 30 prospect. Injuries, visa issues, guy seems snakebit. Another one whose assignment will be telling. Since he hasn't been in camp, he probably won't reach full-season ball this year.

OF

Luis Payano

B-

F

C

Reportedly a plus athlete with plenty of D to stick in C. Very far away, need to see stateside.

RHP

Bobby Doran

B-

C-

C

One step away from the majors means I contemplated a C+. BoR potential, but with all this depth he will not get a ton of chances. Dinged for not getting taken in the Rule 5.

RHP

Jake Buchanan

B-

C-

C

One step away from the majors means I contemplated a C+. BoR potential, but with all this depth he will not get a ton of chances. Dinged for not getting taken in the Rule 5.

RHP

Jason Stoffel

C+

C-

C

One step away from the majors means I contemplated a C+. Setup man potential, but with all this depth he will not get a ton of chances. Dinged for not getting taken in the Rule 5.

RHP

Travis Ballew

C+

C-

C

Already has 1 plus pitch and sometimes that is enough to reach the bigs. But guys that start out as relievers in the minors are such long shots, especially if they don't move rapidly.

RHP

Adrian Houser

B-

F

C

Considered a C+ given his former draft status and age. But I need to see him in full-season. Could make a big jump into B grade territory with a break out.

RHP

Kyle Westwood

B-

F

C

Way outpitched his draft status and guys that have done that have been a mixed bag. Could make a huge jump if he does it again.

RHP

Kevin Comer

B-

F

C

Anyone drafted as high as he was will be on the watch list until they get old or released. Also showed some signs of life last season in TC.

RHP

Joseph Musgrove

B-

F

C

Anyone drafted as high as he was will be on the watch list until they get old or released. Didn't really show much last season. May be on his last leg.

RHP

David Paulino

B-

F

C

Part of the Veras trade so there was obviously something that go Luhnow's attention, and it was probably his high velocity. But he's hasn't pitched much in 3 pro seasons. Lotto ticket.

RHP

Reymin Guduan

B-

F

C

Can also throw 100 mph. Getting some mentions among the scouting community. His placement will speak volumes about where he is at. Could rise fast and far.

RHP

Krishawn Holley

B-

F

C

Kind of an enigma. Has only pitched intermittently but is young and when he has thrown he has had great success. Not sure what the deal is but another one whose placement will say a lot about his status.

RHP

Devonte German

B-

F

C

Another lottery ticket but was an overslot HS signee so there is upside. Got off to a pretty ugly pro debut. A long way away.

SS

Jiovanni Mier

C+

C-

C

I have a lot of hope for Mier. His defense is not a problem and his bat issues are mitigated by the fact that he has been oft-injured, young, and possibly rushed. That said, he is firmly in now or never territory. But it only takes 1 good season to get back on track and I can still envision a big league future for him. Obviously a very high bust potential and very unlikely to ever be a regular, but coudl easily end up as a backup SS.

UT

Victor Tavarez

B-

F

C

There's a reason these guys get 6 figure bonuses.

The 3rd of the 4 groups is the C- guys. They are essentially non-prospects, but for one reason they are slightly ranked above the true non-prospects

Pos

Player

Ceiling

Floor

Overall

Note (why they aren't quite a non--prospect)

1B

Edwin Gomez

C-

F

C-

Former 4th rd pick

1B

Yonathan Mejia

C-

F

C-

6 figure bonus

1B

Edward Santana

C-

F

C-

6 figure bonus

3B

Tyler White

C+

F

C-

800+ OPS in pro debut. If he is the 3B in QC this season he will have a chance to break out and get on the map for real.

3B

Darwin Rivera

C-

F

C-

6 figure bonus

C

Jonathan Matute

C

F

C-

6 figure bonus

IF

Chan Moon

C

F

C-

6 figure bonus. Needs a full season in A ball to show what he really is.

IF

Jose Fernandez

C+

F

C-

6 figure bonus. Derailed by PED suspension, career may be over.

IF

Jean Estrella

C

F

C-

6 figure bonus

IF

Kristian Trompiz

C

F

C-

6 figure bonus

IF

Arturo Michelena

C

F

C-

6 figure bonus

LHP

Brian Holmes

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

LHP

Junior Garcia

C+

F

C-

6 figure bonus

LHP

Edwin Villarroel

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

LHP

Patrick Urckfitz

C

F

C-

Good numbers

LHP

Mitchell Lambson

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

LHP

J.D. Osborne

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

OF

Chris Epps

C+

F

C-

Good numbers. Very underrated, hope he gets a chance in AA.

RHP

Ross Seaton

C+

F

C-

Former 3rd rd pick. Anxious to see if he moves to the pen. Just one step away.

RHP

Matt Heidenreich

C+

F

C-

Former 4th rd pick. Looked good in AFL.

RHP

Harold Arauz

C+

F

C-

6 figure bonus. High on him.

RHP

Jordan Jankowski

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Mike Hauschild

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Gonzalo Sanudo

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Luis Ordosgoitti

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Daniel Minor

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Edison Frias

C+

F

C-

6 figure bonus

RHP

Samil De Los Santos

C+

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Jordan Mills

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Albert Minnis

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Jose Montero

C

F

C-

6 figure bonus

RHP

Troy Scribner

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Patrick Christensen

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Raul Rivera

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Kevin Ferguson

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Zach Morton

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Andrew Walter

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Juan Santos

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Gerardo Juarez

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Geronimo Franzua

C

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Tyler Brunnemann

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Richard Rodriguez

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Elieser Hernandez

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Carlos Vasquez

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Agapito Barrios

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

RHP

Robert Corniel

C-

F

C-

Good numbers

UT

Enrique Hernandez

C+

F

C-

Former 6th rd pick

UT

Felix Lucas

C+

F

C-

6 figure bonus

And finally, the non-prospects

Pos Player Ceiling Floor Overall Note (why they are a non-prospect)
1B Japhet Amador C- F F Fat, old, didn't get a 6 figure bonus.
1B Erik Castro C- F F Old
1B Connor MacDonald C- F F No pedigree, no data
2B Austin Elkins C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
3B Adam Nelubowich C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Brian Holberton C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Rene Garcia C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Roberto Pena C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Jobduan Morales C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Ricky Gingras C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Brett Booth C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Jake Rodriguez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Cristian Moronta C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Ryan McCurdy C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Brett Clements C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Alfredo Gonzalez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Marlon Avea C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Pedro Coa C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Oliver Toribio C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Brian Pena C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Jesus Bermejo C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
C Brauly Mejia C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Gregorio Petit C- F F Old
IF Joe Sclafani C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. Breakout was a mirage.
IF Brian Blasik C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Jack Mayfield C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Thomas Lindauer C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Andrew Simunic C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Chase McDonald C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Juan Santana C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Raoul Torrez C- F F Old
IF Jose Solano C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Alex Gonzalez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Jean Carlos Cortorreal C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Yoel Silfa C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
IF Daniel Aquino C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
LHP Darin Downs C- F F Graduated; surprised he didn't make the roster and should be a fine lefty reliever for the next few years.
LHP Rudy Owens C- F F Old; still some hope that he could be a BoR SP or lefty releiver but after the injuries and given his age he is a non-prospect from here on out.
LHP Alex Sogard C- F F Old; battled inconsistency and has been a reliever his entire minor league career. Some reason to believe he can still turn into a lefty reliever in the bigs but not sure he will get too many more chances.
LHP Wes Musick C- F F Old; I really liked him but age and the farm depth overcame him. Not even certain he is still in the system.
LHP Evan Grills C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree, could make me look silly as he is young and has some decent stuff.
LHP Eric Berger C- F F Old
LHP Blaine Sims C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree, could make me look silly.
LHP Theron Geith C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. Lunow traded .
LHP Ambiorix De Leon C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
LHP Sebastian Kessay C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
LHP Starlyng Sanchez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Teoscar Hernandez C- F F To me, his ceiling is a bench outfielder, and he has a huge bust probability. Don't see how that's a Top 20/ B grade prospect. Obviously taking a risk rating him as a non-prospect and he could make me look silly but this is what think of him.
OF Jason Martin C- F F To me, his ceiling is a bench outfielder, and he has a huge bust probability. Don't see how that's a Top 20/ B grade prospect. Obviously taking a risk rating him as a non-prospect and he could make me look silly but this is what think of him.
OF James Ramsey C- F F To me, his ceiling is a bench outfielder, and he has a huge bust probability. Don't see how that's a Top 20/ B grade prospect. Obviously taking a risk rating him as a non-prospect and he could make me look silly but this is what think of him.
OF Ronnie Mitchell C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. However, is interesting but in a non-prospect sort of way.
OF Tanner Mathis C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. However, is interesting but in a non-prospect sort of way.
OF Drew Muren C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. However, is interesting but in a non-prospect sort of way.
OF Jordan Scott C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. However, is interesting but in a non-prospect sort of way. Ed Wade once thought very highly of him.
OF Dan Gulbransen C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. However, is interesting but in a non-prospect sort of way.
OF Wallace Gonzalez C- F F Superior athlete but bad numbers looks like a bust
OF Adron Chambers C- F F old
OF Jake Bowey C- F F No pedigree, no data, recent Aussie signee
OF Hayden Timberlake C- F F No pedigree, no data, recent Aussie signee
OF Hector Roa C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree. However, is interesting but in a non-prospect sort of way.
OF Marc Wik C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Justin Gominsky C- F F Bad numbers ,no pedigree, plus athlete but injury history
OF Terrell Joyce C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Jon Kemmer C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Mesac Laguna C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Randy Cesar C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Osvaldo Duarte C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Ydarqui Marte C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Luis De La Rosa C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Alexander Melendez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
OF Jarico Reynoso C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Rayderson Chevalier C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Paul Clemens C- F F Graduated; would be a C+ guy and still hope for BoR or setup
RHP Austin Chrismon C- F F No pedigree
RHP Chris Munnelly C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Juan Hernandez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP David Martinez C- F F Old
RHP Ruben Alaniz C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree; he does have 1 plus pitch and age is still on his side so he could break out and make this write-off look really stupid.
RHP Frederick Tiburcio C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Brandon Culbreth C- F F He was a high school overslot so there is a bit of pedigree but hasn't done anything in 3 seasons and has had injury history.
RHP Jonas Dufek C- F F Broke out at the end of last season as a reliever in AA and the AFL but will need to do it over a full season to get on the radar after consecutive bust seasons.
RHP Jamaine Cotton C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree but is one to watch as I think he has improved over the last year.
RHP Justin Hess C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Alan Abreu C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Collin McHugh C- F F Old
RHP $Jose Cisnero C- F F Graduated; should be a solid AAAA or middle relief guy. Fairly young so there is hope for more.
RHP Chia-Jen Lo C- F F Graduated; at worst he will be back and forth but still could be a good setup guy and closer isn't out of the question.
RHP Josh Zeid C- F F Graduated; at worst he will be back and forth but still could be a good setup guy and closer isn't out of the question.
RHP Andrew Robinson C- F F Another one to watch but just hasn't done enough to get firmly on my radar. A non-prospect who is close enough to the majors that he could be a big leaguer without ever being a real prospect.
RHP Carlos Perdomo C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Chris Devenski C- F F Luhnow had to have acquired him for a reason but I don't see it.
RHP Ricky Martinez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Mike Dimock C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Lance Day C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Tyson Perez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Juan Minaya C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Jorge Perez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Murilo Gouvea C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Francis Ramirez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Erick Gonzalez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Gerardo Ramirez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Erasmo Pinales C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Juan Delis C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Victor Mesa C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Carlos Vasquez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Jesus Castillo C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Yhoan Acosta C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Cristopher Santamaria C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Yonquelys Martinez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Angel Heredia C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Joselo Pinales C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Moreno Polanco C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Tomas Lopez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
RHP Frankeny Fernandez C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
UT Nestor Tejada C- F F Bad numbers, no pedigree
UT Ruben Sosa C- F F Interesting that he has risen to AAA but really weak tools. May be one of those ballplayers that gets an inexplicable stint in the big leagues without ever really producing in the minors.
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