So I was watching the HR Derby and thought to myself: “What would an all-Astro system HR Derby look like? Behold.
Just missed the cut (in order): Matt Dominguez
, Carlos Pena
, Brett Wallace
, J.D. Martinez
, Brandon Laird
, Jason Maxiell
Some of these guys simply don’t quite have enough power to compete with the top 8 (Martinez, Laird, Wallace), while others are either too young (Dominguez) or waaaay past their prime (Pena). Worthy candidates, but not quite in the same league.
First Round: Telvin Nash
, Preston Tucker
, Domingo Santana
, Jason Castro
Not a bad grouping, but Tucker and Santana are still years from developing their full power potential and thus aren’t likely to outpace some of the bigger boys in the system. Nash of course can belt some, but I imagine he doesn’t have all that much more raw power than any of these other seven guys, but simply takes bigger cuts in games. Could be wrong. Castro would be my pick to most likely surprise and advance out of here, as he slugged fairly well in college and is showing more power this year, but I’d have a hard time betting on him over the next few four.
Second Round: Marc Krauss
, Jonathan Singleton
Krauss can slug – ‘nuff said. This is as far as he could dream of advancing in this field, however, so well done for him. Singleton I’m sure raises some eyebrows, but I’ll go on record now saying that I question his true power potential. I have yet to read an expert who predicts 40-homer power here, and as good as I’m confident he will be I just don’t see Singleton blowing past the 30-homer mark with authority or regularity. I think of him more as a poor-man’s Joey Votto
, so no disrespect at all, but I have to think the last two guys have higher power ceilings.
Runner-up: Chris Carter
I don’t need to explain anything here, obviously. But a guy who swings and misses like Carter (cue Pedro Alvarez
comp.) is bound to swing his way in and out of funks pretty quickly, and with the Derby
structured the way it is I see him falling to a more consistent guy even with a slight power disadvantage. And that guy, of course, is:
WINNER: George Springer
Consider me fully on the bandwagon. I wasn’t sold on this pick two years ago, despite my preference for underrated/valued cold-weather bats. While it already looks like my man-crush on Bubba Starling
may have been poorly founded, and as badly as I wished we could have had the 7th pick to take Francisco Lindor
, I have to admit Springer has blown away everyone drafted below him, with the exception of Robert Stephenson
(and hopefully Joe Musgrove and Kevin Comer
). Always a potential 4+ tool guy, the power and speed have both gone to another level this year. Pull for Carter or Singleton if you like, but Springer would be my pick any day of the week.
Of course, we all know the real winner would be 27-year old Carlos Correa
in the midst of his historic 65-homer campaign toward the first of many MVP awards.