FanPost

Umpire Tracking Project, c/o Adam Rosales

Welkebadcall1_medium

via yourkillinmesmalls.files.wordpress.com

I'm seeing umpires getting calls wrong over and over. Video replay could overturn most of these with about a 15 second review. My contention is that Selig does not want this because he wants to control when calls are missed, not for the reasons he says such as "no demand for it", it slows the game down, etc. What I would like to do is be able to track these missed calls for a sample of teams over the course of a season to see if it really just balances out for every team or what types of calls they are getting wrong for different teams. I think this would be a very interesting project and something we could all learn from.

There's not a ton of missed calls, I would say roughly two per week in games your team plays (roughly 30 across baseball), so this wouldn't take much time at all if you're already watching the games and noticing these things. I will provide all data and analysis at the end of the season.

What I would request here is if 2-3 people who are already watching all Astros games could just make a log of incorrect calls (not balls/strikes unless it's really egregious) either for or against the Astros, and just include the game situation (inning, outs, runners on, etc.) and the umpires involved (who got the call wrong, who could have intervened, etc.). These have to be calls where it is evident from replay that the call was wrong or it is a call that is very rare and inconclusive on replays (passing a runner on bases, interference on a run-down, etc.). These wrong and rare will be considered differently in the final analysis.

Ideally I would like to be able to do this for all 30 teams over a full season, but at least I am going to try to get 5 teams this year, then maybe expand to 30 next year.

This would be an example of what I'm looking for:

OAK at CLE

5/8 - Rosales bats in top 9th with 2 outs, bases empty, OAK trails 4-3. Rosales hits HR about 2 feet above yellow line off railing to tie the game, ball bounces back onto field, initially ruled a double. Umpires use video replay, determine inconclusive.

Umpires involved: HP--John Tumpane. 1B--Paul Nauert. 2B--Angel Hernandez. 3B--Doug Eddings.

Other examples of incorrect calls would include: all safe/out calls, fair/foul calls down the line, tagging/re-tagging bases on fly balls, bases awarded when the pitch did not hit the batter (i.e. Jeter faking his hand hurting from pitch), balks, etc. As a rule of thumb, if you're unsure, mark it down. I should stress that we need to track both calls for and against your team to determine the balance, so you have to be unbiased as far as admitting that they got a call wrong that helped you as well as all the ones they get wrong that go against you (those are the easy ones!).

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