Everywhere that I’ve been reading that has discussed the Astros selection at 1.1 has focused on either replicating the Correa scenario or selecting Appel. The discussion goes that the Astros risked taking the cheapest of the equally rated top players in the 2012 draft in order to increase the available pool for later rounds. But in order to take Appel they would have to play straight up and give him slot. So, the discussion goes, that either they are going to take someone else to replicate the 2012 strategy or they are going to take Appel.
Why can’t they do a hybrid?
Appel turned down $3.8 million in 2012. He would have to fall to the 5th selection to get at least this amount. That means if he is drafted anywhere in the top 4 he should get more than he was offered in 2012. That is a win for both the agent and the player (not to mention actually getting a degree from Stanford). If, somehow, he fell all the way to the Twins at 4 he could still get $4,544,400; which is $7k better than last year. Not a bad year’s work.
Now turning to the Astros perspective, the Astros could offer more to Appel than the Cubs could offer at $7.05 million (Cubs $6,708,400 + just over 5%) and still have an extra $740k. I’m pretty sure that could get a pretty good guy who fell due to sign ability concerns.
Granted this isn’t 3 projected 1st rounders for the price of one; but it is Appel + 1.
That should be enough of a win-win for both.