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Analyzing The Extra 2%: Who Is Andrew Friedman?

Again, we're looking at the excellent book by Jonah Keri. In case you missed the first article, here's a rundown on what I'm doing: 

 

Jonah Keri is a good writer. I've enjoyed his stuff for years and was intrigued by his announcement that he'd be publishing a book on the Tampa Bay Rays. That book, The Extra 2%, came out in March of this year.

Why do I bring this up? Since Jim Crane has professed an admiration for how the Rays run their show and that persistent rumors link the Rays' GM Andrew Friedman with Houston, I wanted to get a behind-the-scenes look at the organization through the book. It's a quick read, under 300 pages, and I'd recommend it to anyone who's following new trends in baseball.

I had lots to take away from the book, but I don't want to dump it all in one article, so I'm breaking this up into three different ones, each focusing on a different aspect of the book and how it relates to Houston.

Today, we'll look at what makes Andrew Friedman a good GM. After the jump, let's focus on what we know and don't know about the talented Tampa Bay executive.

Star-divide

First of all, there is a lot we don't know about Friedman. Since owner Stuart Sternberg took over, putting Friedman and Co. in place, the Tampa Bay franchise has been a pretty closed book. Keri relates an anecdote that when Josh Kalk was hired to be a statistical analyst, the Rays didn't want him revealing anything about where he was going or which organization hired him. They kept him off the main directory and tried to conceal everything about him.

Thinking about that, it's very hard for to know exactly what's going on in Tampa Bay's front office. Trade negotiations are played very close to the vest along with signings and everything else. Basically, any leaks about potential trades happen because of the other teams or the agents for players. So, we have to judge Friedman on what we know. With that in mind, let's run through his biggest strengths.

One: He finds talent at the margins - Ben Zobrist. Aki Iwamura. Carlos Pena. Sean Rodriguez. Dioner Navarro. Grant Balfour. J.P. Howell. Kyle Farnsworth. All players with flaws who Friedman picked up and put in a position to maximize what they're good at. It's a very useful skill and one of the fundamental tenets Billy Beane espouses in Moneyball. It's also one of the strengths of a former Astros GM, Gerry Hunsicker.

Evaluating talent isn't always about finding the next superstar. It's about finding useful players who can play for cheap. It's in finding the Mike Lamb's, the Billy Spiers' of the world to help push a contender over the top. If Friedman has this skill, he'll always be able to use his budget well.

Two: He hires good people and lets them work - I mentioned that he brought in Josh Kalk, but that's not the only person Friedman's baseball side has brought in to do good work. They also brought in a sports psychologist to work with players like Carlos Pena. The kinds of people Friedman has brought in help emphasize the organizational philosophy that Friedman set. 

That is never more evident than in his hiring of Joe Maddon. The Tampa Bay skipper was a little outside the box, but everyone who knew him thought he'd be a great major league boss. He's unusual, but he fits exactly into the system Tampa Bay has set up, using advanced stats to better run the team. Friedman can't take credit for what Maddon's done with the young players, but he does get credit for hiring Maddon and putting him in position to succeed.

Three: He takes a proactive approach to negotiations - The Evan Longoria contract is one of the best in baseball. It was negotiated before Longoria was even called up to the majors and guaranteed his salary (at a huge bargain to Tampa Bay) for years to come. 

It's an innovative approach, but it's also fraught with peril. However, it shows how forward-thinking Friedman can be about his assets. Teams like Pittsburgh are even starting to follow suit. Isn't that what we've been asking Houston to do for years? Not spend more, but spend more wisely?

Conclusion: Friedman doesn't have special skills that make him better than any other GM in baseball. He doesn't have magical talent evaluations that make him better than Ed Wade from Day One. The biggest strength of Friedman is that he has a philosophy for the organization and carries it through to all levels of the team. With all these skills, can you see why Crane might like Friedman? He's analytical, which Crane wants to be. He's fiscally innovative, which Crane also wants to be (apparently). He also hires good people and lets them work, another trait near and dear to Crane. There may be other people with these same skills, but Friedman has a track record to really be an asset to a new owner.

On Monday, we'll look at if Friedman can be as successful in Houston as he was in Tampa Bay.

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The Zobrist thing

could that in any way have been predicted?

by AstroB on Aug 26, 2011 3:03 PM CDT reply actions  

15.1 bbWAR since start of 2009.

who would’ve thunk i when he was traded with Mitch Talbot for Aubrey Huff (sigh).

That’s really interesting, meeting this guru. I’m even more convinced now that the Zobrist thing was an entire fluke on Friedman’s part.

by AstroB on Aug 26, 2011 4:16 PM CDT up reply actions  

Well

I wouldn’t really say Zobrist is a monster hitter, or that such was the value they saw in him. I think they probably picked him up because of his combination of defensive value and versatility, and excellent plate discipline, and were pleasantly surprised with the his power production. And indeed, a very large portion of Zobrist’s value has come from his defense. Even if his career numbers were similar to 2010 (.238/.346/.353) his defense and baserunning would make him a valuable, and market-undervalued asset.

Being undervalued on the market also means that you can get guys much cheaper.

http://www.crawfishboxes.com

by OremLK on Aug 27, 2011 5:19 AM CDT up reply actions  

BP Podcast

Talks about Friedman and the Cubs position. Goldstein mentions that Friedman gets more credit for building Tampa’s system and that the real brains were still Hunsicker.

by Raidas77 on Aug 26, 2011 3:23 PM CDT reply actions  

Even if that's true

It shows Friedman knows who the right people are, and knows how to listen to them. At the major league level, he’s been able to do a lot with a little—particularly the thing David pointed out about them taking proactive approach to contract negotiations, and locking up players cheaply. Longoria’s contract is the obvious example, but Friedman also did it with Ben Zobrist, James Shields, Wade Davis. Three of these are fantastic contracts, the only one which looks just average is Davis’.

He notably didn’t lock up B.J. Upton, a decision which is looking pretty smart right now.

If he can find the right minor league guys, give them the resources they need to do their job, and pay mind to what they’re telling him, that coupled with his ML management savvy comes to an excellent GM.

http://www.crawfishboxes.com

by OremLK on Aug 27, 2011 5:15 AM CDT up reply actions  

Let’s just play it safe and replace Tal with Hunsicker and Wade with Friedman…problem solved!

by ntn on Aug 27, 2011 11:40 AM CDT up reply actions  

what about George Postolos

Follow my ramblings on Twitter .

by Timothy De Block on Aug 29, 2011 7:10 AM CDT up reply actions  

Could Hunsicker come in on short notice?

Also are the people in the front office the same as when he was here?
So I guess what I am asking is could we just slip Hunsicker in it takes until the winter meetings to get Crane approved?

by Nado2036 on Aug 26, 2011 3:32 PM CDT reply actions  

i doubt that would

or could happen, remember, drayton will still be an owner of the astros, even though he wont be a majority owner

http://www.youtube.com/ralph1933

by ralph1933 on Aug 26, 2011 3:58 PM CDT up reply actions  

I like Hunsicker

I have less doubt about him than I do Friedman

by Its Gonna Happen on Aug 26, 2011 4:21 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions  

Off topic...

But did the Astros pull Wandy off of waivers? And did Myers clear waivers? I don’t see his name on the players that cleared on MLBTR.

by ntn on Aug 27, 2011 11:47 AM CDT reply actions  

Wandy was claimed by the Rockies and pulled back

A deal couldn’t be reached, the Astros were reportedly asking for a top prospect and the Rockies were offering mediocre MLBers (Jason Hammel came up).

http://www.crawfishboxes.com

by OremLK on Aug 27, 2011 11:53 AM CDT up reply actions  

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