FanPost

Ed Wade - The Trade Edition

 

Ed Wade has made a total of 19 trades since becoming General Manager of the Houston Astros in 2007. I decided to look at these trades from a WAR perspective and try to determine how many of these trades Wade ended up winning. Not all of the trades are created equal as some involved including cash, draft pick compensation, and additional trades with an acquired player, which makes some of the trades difficult to measure.

 

1.)    Astros send Brad Lidge and Eric Bruntlett to the Phillies for Michael Bourn, Geoff Geary, and Mike Costanzo in November of 2007

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Phillies

Brad Lidge

1 Year

2.2

N/A

N/A

N/A

2.2

Phillies

Eric Bruntlett

2 Years

0.1

-0.9

N/A

N/A

-0.8

Totals

N/A

 

2.3

-0.9

N/A

N/A

1.4

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Michael Bourn

3.5 Years

0.2

4.9

4.8

3.3

13.2

Astros

Geoff Geary

2 Years

0.5

-0.4

N/A

N/A

0.1

Astros

Mike Costanzo

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Totals

N/A

 

0.7

4.5

4.8

3.3

13.3

 

As far as WAR is concerned this trade was by far Ed Wade’s best as GM of the Astros thus far. The trade centered on Lidge and Bourn, and saw the Astros trade 1 year of Lidge for 5 years of Bourn. In hindsight we can see that the Astros were the clear-cut winners, but after the 08 season the perception was that this trade was lopsided in the Phillies favor. Brad Lidge rebounded from a down season with the Astros, and rode his perfect save streak all the way to a 3 year extension with the Phillies. Bourn meanwhile struggled mightily in his first season with the Astros, and even though he showed glimpses of his future self at times, he was nowhere near the star he eventually turned out to be.

Result: Astros win

 

 

2.) Astros send Luke Scott, Troy Patton, Dennis Sarfate, Matt Albers, and Mike Costanzo to the Orioles for Miguel Tejada in December of 2007.

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Orioles

Luke Scott

4 Years +

2.2

1.2

2.7

0

6.1

Orioles

Matt Albers

3 Years

0.3

0.8

0.2

N/A

1.3

Orioles

Troy Patton

2 Years +

N/A

N/A

0

0.1

0.1

Orioles

Dennis Sarfate

2 Years

0.2

0

N/A

N/A

0.2

Orioles

Mike Costanzo

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Totals

N/A

 

2.7

2

2.9

0.1

7.7

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Miguel Tejada

2 Years

3.4

2.8

N/A

N/A

6.2

Totals

N/A

 

3.4

2.8

N/A

N/A

6.2

 

Looking at the WAR production of this trade shows that the Orioles received more production out of the package of players that the Astros sent them than the Astros did in 2 years of Miguel Tejada. The only 2 serviceable players so far in this trade for the Orioles were Luke Scott and Matt Albers, and only Luke Scott and Troy Patton are still with the Orioles organization. On the Astros side Tejada is long gone now, but had 2 pretty good seasons with the Astros. Overall this trade was pretty fair for both sides as both teams received something they needed.

Result: Astros lose

 

3.)    Astros send Chad Qualls, Chris Burke, and Juan Gutierrez to the Diamondbacks for Jose Valverde

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Diamondbacks

Chris Burke

1 Year

-0.1

N/A

N/A

N/A

-0.1

Diamondbacks

Chad Qualls

2.5 Years

2.1

1.1

0.1

N/A

3.3

Diamondbacks

Juan Gutierrez

3 Years +

N/A

1.4

-1

0

0.4

Totals

N/A

 

2

2.5

-0.9

0

3.6

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Jose Valverde

2 Years

0.8

0.6

N/A

N/A

1.4

Totals

N/A

 

0.8

0.6

N/A

N/A

1.4

 

This is one of those trades that surprised me when I looked at the results. Jose Valverde was pretty solid in his 2 year stint with the Astros, but as good as he was Chad Qualls was better. Even though Chad Qualls outperformed Jose Valverde in terms of WAR those 2 years, I don’t think Qualls would have been able to step into the closer’s role for the Astros and perform as good as Valverde did. Also worth mentioning is that not all trades are created equal, and this is one of them. The Astros offered Valverde arbitration and received 2 compensation draft picks taking the promising Mike Foltynewicz and Mike Kvasnicka, which could add value to the Astros side of the trade if either of these two turn into decent major leaguers.

Result: Astros lose, although they could technically win the trade if Folty and Kvasnicka make it to the majors

 

4.)    Astros send Josh Anderson to the Braves for Oscar Villareal

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Braves

Josh Anderson

1 Year

0.8

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.8

Totals

N/A

N/A

0.8

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.8

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Oscar Villareal

0.5 Years

-1.1

N/A

N/A

N/A

-1.1

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

-1.1

 

No, Josh Anderson did not do great things for the Atlanta Braves, and yes he did become redundant after the Michael Bourn trade, but the Oscar Villareal trade turned out to be a bust.

Result: Astros lose

 

5.)    Astros send Matt Cusick to the Yankees for Latroy Hawkins

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Yankees

Matt Cusick

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

 

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Latroy Hawkins

0.5 Years

0.8

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.8

Totals

N/A

 

0.8

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.8

 

These types of trades are where Ed Wade really shines. He has a knack for picking up embattled players and receiving some value out of them. Hawkins who was struggling with the Yankees came to Houston where he was solid for the rest of the season. The Astros then signed him to an extension in the offseason rewarding him for a solid season. Meanwhile Matt Cusick never made it to the majors for the Yankees, and is no longer with their organization.

Result: Astros win

 

6.)    Astros send Chad Reineke to the Padres for Randy Wolf

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Padres

Chad Reineke

0.5 Years

0.1

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.1

Totals

N/A

 

0.1

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.1

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Randy Wolf

0.5 Years

1

N/A

N/A

N/A

1

Totals

N/A

 

1

N/A

N/A

N/A

1

 

Similarly to the Latroy Hawkins trade the Randy Wolf trade was equally as successful for the Astros. The Astros received some much needed rotation help for the second half of the 08 season, and did so at the expense of Chad Reineke who only pitched briefly for the Padres in 08 without experiencing a whole lot of success.

Result: Astros win

 

7.)    Astros send Drew Sutton to the Reds for Jeff Keppinger

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Reds

Drew Sutton

0.75 Years

N/A

0.1

0.2

N/A

0.3

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

0.1

0.2

N/A

0.3

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Jeff Keppinger

2.5 Years

N/A

0.6

2.1

0.9

3.6

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

0.6

2.1

0.9

3.6

 

After filling the super utility role in 09, Keppinger stepped in for Kaz Matsui and was solid for the rest of the season. Drew Sutton played briefly for the Reds in 09-10, and experienced some success, but not enough to measure up to Jeff Keppinger. Adding to the potential value of that trade is the fact that Keppinger was recently traded to the Giants this year for starter Henry Sosa and reliever Jason Stoffel. Sosa has already made his debut with the Astros, and depending on what kind of impact he makes at the major league level depends on how valuable this trade ends up being.

Result: Astros win

 

8.)    Astros send Robert Bono, Luis Bryan, and Rule 5 pick (Jorge Jimenez) to the Marlins for Matt Lindstrom

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Marlins

Robert Bono

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Marlins

Luis Bryan

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Marlins

Jorge Jimenez

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Matt Lindstrom

1 Year

N/A

N/A

0.3

N/A

0.3

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

0.3

N/A

0.3

 

Another marginal trade made by Wade, the Matt Lindstrom trade started out looking very promising until injury and ineffectiveness slowed down Lindstrom. Robert Bono is now 23 years old and at AA for the Marlins, and Luis Bryan is 21 in low A ball, so both could still crack the major leagues but it is unlikely. Lindstrom was traded in the offseason for 2 “prospects” so it is possible that the Astros could still receive some value on this trade, but the chances of either Jonnathan Aristil or Wes Musick making the majors is very slim.

Result: Astros win

 

9.)     Astros send Roy Oswalt and cash to the Phillies for JA Happ, Jonathan Villar, and Anthony Gose. Anthony Gose is then traded to the Blue Jays for Brett Wallace.

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Phillies

Roy Oswalt

1 Year +

N/A

N/A

2

1.1

3.1

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

2

1.1

3.1

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

JA Happ

1 Year +

N/A

N/A

0.8

0.1

0.9

Astros

Jonathan Villar

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

 

Astros

Anthony Gose

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

 

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

0.8

0.1

0.9

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Blue Jays

Anthony Gose

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Brett Wallace

1 Year +

N/A

N/A

0

-0.2

-0.2

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

0

-0.2

-0.2

 

There’s really no way of judging how this trade will turn out, but early returns favor the Phillies. How much value the Astros receive in this trade depends largely on whether or not JA Happ and Brett Wallace can overcome there struggles this year, and go on to being serviceable major league players for a good portion of their service time with the Astros. The value the Phillies receive also depends on whether or not they decide to pick up Roy Oswalt’s option for 2012. The return on this trade seems lower than what you would expect for trading a player of Oswalt’s caliber, but extenuating circumstances did not give Wade any leverage in trading his disgruntled ace. When you take into account the amount of money the Astros sent the Phillies along with the possibility that the Phillies pick up Oswalt’s option, it seems unlikely that the Astros will come out on top in this trade.

Result: Too early to tell, but so far does not look good

 

10.)                        Astros send Lance Berkman and cash to the Yankees for Mark Melancon and Jimmy Paredes

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Yankees

Lance Berkman

0.5 Years

N/A

N/A

0

N/A

0

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

0

N/A

0

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Mark Melancon

1 Year +

N/A

N/A

0.3

0.5

0.8

Astros

Jimmy Paredes

0.10 Year +

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.3

0.3

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

0.3

0.8

1.1

 

Never mind the fact that Berkman returned to form this year, but the Astros traded half a season of Berkman for youngsters Mark Melancon and Jimmy Paredes. Berkman went on to be a replacement level player down the stretch for the Yankees while Melancon has been solid thus far, and Paredes has posted positive value thus far in his brief time in the majors. This trade has the potential to be very lopsided in the Astros favor if Mark Melancon continues to be successful and Jimmy Paredes develops into a solid major leaguer.

Result: Astros win

 

11.)                        Astros send Pedro Feliz to the Cardinals for David Carpenter

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Cardinals

Pedro Feliz

0.5 Years

N/A

N/A

-0.5

N/A

-0.5

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

-0.5

N/A

-0.5

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

David Carpenter

0.5 Years +

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

0

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

0

 

The fact that Ed Wade was able to get anything back for Pedro Feliz with the way he played last year was an accomplishment in itself. The fact that he received a reliever with good velocity and decent upside is very impressive. Carpenter was seemingly rushed to the majors this season with the Astros early bullpen struggles, but he has been pretty solid for the most part this year. Already considered a win for the Astros, this trade could become lopsided considering the amount of team control the Astros received, and how serviceable Carpenter can become.

Result: Astros win

 

12.)                        Astros send cash to the Reds for Enerio Del Rosario

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Reds

Cash

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Totals

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Enerio Del Rosario

0.5 Years +

N/A

N/A

0

-0.2

-0.2

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

0

-0.2

-0.2

 

This was another relatively insignificant trade, but the Astros received another decent looking young arm that has shown a little promise. Even if Enerio Del Rosario turns out to be a bust, the fact that the Astros didn’t give up anything significant makes this trade a low risk type of deal.

Result: Insignificant trade, but I suppose the Astros win

 

13.)                        Astros send Felipe Paulino to the Rockies for Clint Barmes

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Rockies

Felipe Paulino

0.5

N/A

N/A

N/A

-0.1

-0.1

Totals

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

-0.1

-0.1

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Clint Barmes

0.5 Years +

N/A

N/A

N/A

2.4

2.4

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

2.4

2.4

 

Disregard the fact that Paulino seems to have finally put it all together with the Royals this year after being released by the Rockies. Paulino possesses the type of arm that you should never give up on as witnessed with his turnaround with the Royals, but he had seemingly ran out of chances with the Astros organization. Clint Barmes has been solid defensively all season and has been average offensively. Basically, the Astros won this trade with Rockies, good pickup by the Royals.

Result: Astros win

 

14.)                        Astros send Matt Lindstrom to the Rockies for Wes Musick and Jonnathan Aristil

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Rockies

Matt Lindstrom

0.5 Years +

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.9

0.9

Totals

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.9

0.9

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Wes Musick

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Astros

Jonnathan Aristil

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

 

Can you say salary dump. Maybe Musick sees some time in the majors as a loogy, but more than likely neither of these players will see the majors. Wade sold low on Lindstrom, and by doing so lost this trade.

Result: Astros lose

 

15.)                        Astros send Albert Cartwright to the Phillies for Sergio Escalona

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Phillies

Albert Cartwright

0 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Totals

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Sergio Escalona

0.5 Years +

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.1

0.1

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

0.1

0.1

 

On the whole this deal seemed to be a pretty insignificant trade, but Escalona has been the most reliable lefty in the pen this year. Add to that the fact that Cartwright did not play any this year in the Phillies system, and score another one for Ed Wade and the Astros.

Result: Astros win

 

16.)                        Astros send cash to the Devil Rays for Joe Inglett

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Devil Rays

Cash (?)

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Totals

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

N/A

0

Team

Player Received

Service Time W/ Team

1st YR WAR 08

2nd YR WAR 09

3rd YR WAR 10

4th YR WAR 11

Total WAR Accumulated

Astros

Joe Inglett

0.15 Years

N/A

N/A

N/A

-0.3

-0.3

Totals

N/A

 

N/A

N/A

N/A

-0.3

-0.3

 

Insignificant trade that did not provide any positive value to the Astros.

Result: Astros lose

 

17.)                        Astros send Jeff Keppinger to the Giants for Henry Sosa and Jason Stoffel

 

This trade was considered to be a disappointment by many after it was made, but Henry Sosa’s performance after the trade has given Astros fans a reason to be hopeful. Ed Wade took a gamble here on previously well ranked prospect in Sosa while hoping that a change of scenery could do him some good. Even though he has already made it to the majors it will be a long time before we will know if he has what it takes to stick at the major league level, and also in the rotation as far as that goes. Jason Stoffel is a reliever who unlike Sosa has not fared all that well since the trade, but has a so-so shot of making it to the majors somewhere down the line.

 

18.)                        Astros send Hunter Pence to the Phillies for Jared Cosart, Jonathan Singleton, Josh Zeid, and a PTBNL

 

This has by far been one of the riskiest trades Ed Wade has made in his tenure as GM of the Astros. Wade traded for two high risk high reward type guys in Cosart in Singleton. Therefore this trade has the potential to be the best Wade has made, or it could be the biggest bust as well. This trade also still has a chance to get a little better depending on who the player to be named later is.

 

19.)                        Astros send Michael Bourn to the Braves for Jordan Schafer, Paul Clemens, Brett Oberholtzer, and Juan Abreu

 

Where the Hunter Pence trade was all risk, the Michael Bourn trade seemed to be pretty conservative. In Schafer the Astros get a major league ready centerfielder that still has a little upside who at the very least will provide solid defense at a premium position in a spacious ballpark. They also received 2 solid pitching prospects in Oberholtzer and Clemens who have experienced some success at every stop and seem to be a pretty safe bet at seeing some time in the majors.

 

Conclusion

 

Out of the 19 trades mentioned, according to WAR received, Ed Wade has won 10 of the trades, lost 5, and received a no decision on 4. Overall that’s not too bad considering the bad rap that Wade generally gets when it comes to trading. How the most recent trades shake out, including last year’s Roy Oswalt trade will go a long way in determining how good or bad Wade has been when it comes to making trades.

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