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Tim Kurkjian - "Astros to have 300 loses in the next 3 season."

I generally think of Tim Kurkjian as a good baseball analysis. With the recent trades he has the Astros as 100 game losers the next 4 years. How do you'll think about the recent trades? How is Carlos Lee still here? I guess no one wants Lee. He's the only known "star" left on this squad.

10 months ago P5140017_-_copy_tiny Ryan2907 6 comments 0 recs  | 

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300 losses over 3 years is an exaggeration IMO. The Astros may or may not have 100 losses in 2012. Personally, I think the team can avoid it. But I can see an argument for saying it will happen. I think the Astros will have improved enough at the ML level to be reasonably decent by 2013. Some factors which are likely to prevent consecutive 100 loss seasons from 2012 – 2014: (1) statistical regression; (2) the NL Central; (3) pressure on ownership to prevent an outcome like that. If the Astros were move to the AL in 2013…well, that might change my outlook.

by clack on Aug 2, 2011 12:14 PM CDT reply actions  

I think the Astros will have over 100 losses this season and probably next season as well. I don’t think they will in 2013. I think putting the over/under from 2011-2013 at about 300 losses seems reasonable because I think we will have over 200 losses this year and next year combined. However if he is suggesting that we will loses 300 games between 2012-2014 I think that is very unlikely.

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by OremLK on Aug 3, 2011 6:50 AM CDT up reply actions  

That is the way I took his comment “next three years,” meaning 2012-1014.

by clack on Aug 9, 2011 9:35 AM CDT up reply actions  

I dont see the suprise or the problem

this is honestly reasonable expection, say we put up something near 106 losses this season (possibly more) and then 103 next year, I think it is entirely probable that we will still be a losing club in 2013 and 91 losses would put us at 300 in three seasons.

It is not a awful thing either, we have a long way to go in building our talent level and not worrying too much or spending too many resources on the MLB club and focusing everything we have on building a strong base should be our focus.

by Crzycjunx76 on Aug 7, 2011 6:19 PM CDT reply actions  

Statistical regression makes it extremely unlikely, in my opinion. I’m not saying it can’t happen, but you are betting against the house.

by clack on Aug 9, 2011 9:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

Kurkjian

i dont see it happening and he should keep his mouth shut him and keith Law what does espn teach their employees to see the future. until i have proof that espn teaches its employees to see into the future i dont think he is as smart as he thinks he is.

by 31blur114 on Aug 20, 2011 2:45 AM CDT reply actions  

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