Player By Player Trade Likelihood

I wish the Crane approval would get approved already so we can start seeing at least some type of direction. I agree that trades should definitely be made, because well, look at where the Astros stand. However, since the Astros have the added luxury of actually not having to move any of there major pieces due to still being under team control then Ed Wade should scratch and claw for the maximum value for these guys.

I also think that only one of each group should get traded. For instance either Wandy or Myers, or Pence or Bourn. Maybe moreso with Myers/Wandy because of how important pitching is. If both got traded, and the Astros went for true prospects and not major league ready guys then your looking at The Hyphen and Figgy finishing out the year in the rotation. The losses would mount which wouldn’t concern me because I could see the bigger picture, but think about the amount of innings a young bullpen would have to eat up, which could lead to a greater injury risk.

I am almost to the point where I think the Astros should hold on to Myers for now. Wandy has the most trade value and could restock our system more than what Myers could. This would benefit the Astros in two ways. For one the Astros keep a dependable arm in an otherwise unstable rotation outside of Norris (at this point can we depend on Happ, Lyles innings will need to be monitored at some point, and Aneury Rodriguez?) The second benefit of this is it may allow Myers numbers to stabilize. Right now some of his peripherals point to the fact that he has been unlucky, and if his luck changes in the second half then his trade value increases and maybe he could be moved in the offseason for a greater return. By then the Astros would have a better idea of what they have in Lyles, AnRod, and whatever other rotation pieces they obtain in any trade. Its definitely a risk because Myers could be worse than the first half of the season and your stuck with him when you could have got a marginal return, but I think the pluses of keeping Myers for now and trading Wandy outweigh the negatives.

Sorry for the rambling. Probably should have just made this another fan post.

Maybe Myers if someone wants him.

Also possibbly Wilton Lopez – given the market for relievers.

bourn I think goes to Atlanta. For Delgado or Minor. Heres why I think th .== Wade said himself Luis Durango, who they picked up on waivers from SD, is very Bourn-like – he can steal bases, bla bla, they got him to be a Bourn replacmeent or to platoon with Bourgeis when he falls off – which he probably will. Bourgeis that is. So I think they have ha d talks wtih Atlanta already and are going to pull the trigger which is cooooool by me.

Ok, so , Kepp? I hacvce no earhtly idea who they trade him to. But I think they trade Him, I think hes valuable and carries a High OBP and hiogh average. Thats valuable t a lot of teams plus he can play a lo t of positions. wsnAnd my wifes a bitch. Kepp will briing some decent enoughh prospects and It will be all gravy anf we will get a good prospect in retutrn . Maybe two,

sMyers? Shiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiit. Hes really screwed the ppoooch. Hasnt he? We cscrewed the pooch letting Arnsberhg go. And that might have affected his overall performance. Bur t That happens so we have to move on and hope we gcan get something of value for him. As a long reliever. Or a 5thh, possibly 4th stearter. Who do we look to for Myers? To trade>? I dont know. I dont know wholl want the guy. Maybe kNee York or Boston or even PPhilly. I think we could get back some B prospects like the Berkmansd trade which I didnit likem, BUt Pareseds is looking that much better now. Hes kicking ass in AA aand thats what maters. But Berkams is tstill my favorite playerte behind Bigg And Bags on the Stros for all time. I hope we can get saome basck some pitching forMyers.

Btw Im drulkk in case you didnt figure thatout.

I would keep Myers this year. He’s actually younger than Wandy and I think trading him now would be selling low. It’s not a bad idea to keep an innings eater on the rotation when breaking in other young pitchers.

Good article. I would put Keppinger at a 95% chance of getting traded, Bourn at a 50% chance, and Wandy 33% (player option complicates trading him).

Wade needs to make some magic happen and trade some of our vets. Thats everybody not named Pence. Wandy, Myers, Kepp, Bourn. We need to get more talent in the system because the draft alone is just a piece of what we need and we seem to have gone quiet on the IFA front.

I will be upset even moreso at this team, which is very hard to be, if they dont trade atleast Kepp, Bourn and Myers. Theres no reason not to. So get on it Wade.

Keppinger, a solid solid player that I would be excited to see go only to get Downs (Who, arguably, has a better ceiling) more regular playing time. He should bring us two B level prospects much like the Lindstrom trade.

Bourn, an outstanding defender and a great threat when he gets on base to score. Bourn has replacements in Bourgeois and that new guy who I’m to lazy to look up (Durango?) Bourn is a local guy, a fan favorite, and a premium athlete. If he could hit more he would be worth gutting your farm to get but as is he should bring back a top 5 system prospect and a B and a C level guy. Not a trade that would blow anybody away by hisself.

Wandy, an ace of most staffs when he is on is too much of a risk for teams to give up a ton of prospects for. He can be very dominant but he can also be very hittable at times which keeps him as a #2 starter at best without the consistancy. Wandy could fetch two top guys from a desperate club but with Ed handling the negotiations I think we’d probably see something like the Bourn return (1A, 1B, 1C).

Myers, a good #3 starter on a lot of teams, doesn’t bring dominant stuff anymore but can still dominate hitters with his placement and selection. Trading Myers now would be a bad move because he’s having a big down year and wouldn’t net much return. Its not going to hurt us to wait until next year to put him on the table because he could rebound closer to what he was last year and that would be something worth selling. Right now I see a Linstrom return of two B level prospects and nobody that would blow anybody away. Still for a deperate team there’s no harm in listening eh? As long as its JUST LISTENING….looking at you Wade! If you can’t get what you would have gotten for him last year turn it down.

The more I think about it, the more I feel like Wade is going to hold out for massive returns. I had someone I trust tell me “if Houston gets what they are asking for all of their major peices this season, they will have 10 of the top 100 prospects in baseball.”

There’s no reason to think that Wandy, Pence, and Bourn couldn’t bring in 2 top 100 types each, and I wouldn’t be shocked to see Myers and Keppinger bring in a fringe top 100 guy apeice.

And then minor pieces. Singleton also is probably pushing it. But we could get fringe guys to go along with Brown. Theres a possibility if Philly really wanted him we could get Brown and May or one of their other Clearwater guys.

Id love to trade Bourn to Atlanta and think one of their guys (MInor, Viz, Delgado, Beachy) could be had for him. CoCo Crisp is just not going to be enough. I think they want Bourn and they’ll give up one of those guys for him.

I can see us losing Kepp for sure, Wandy if he starts to pitch like he knows how and Bourn if a team coughs up enough. I doubt we trade Pence because he’s the only hope this team has left. I doubt we trade Myers because with what he has shown we wouldn’t get anything of value back and what’s the point of trading him then?

Regarding Bourn, isn’t Nyjer Morgan available somewhere, probably for cheaper?

said on his show tonight that he’s heard the Astros have had talks with all the playoff contending teams and so far the players that those contenders have been offering the Astros haven’t been very impressive. Sounds like the Astros’ potential trade partners are trying to lowball them, which is the direct opposite of what has been reported elsewhere about the Astros allegedly asking for too much.