I've made no secret of my affection for Rendon. He's a local prospect, coming from a program I've always liked. He's a phenomenal hitter when he's healthy and has all the things you want out of a college bat; power, plate discipline, quick wrists.
Looking at Rendon's swing, you can easily imagine him winning a Triple Crown in the future. He's that good. He may not have the pure power potential of a George Springer or even Mikie Mahtook, but Rendon's capable of hitting 30-35 homers in the pros with a .320 batting average and a .400 on-base percentage.
How is he not going No. 1 overall?
Oh, yeah, all the injuries. Teams hate risk. It's the worst part of prospecting, since there's so much of it. A very few percentage of players that a team spends millions of dollars on actually show any return in the majors. That's why the Pirates seem to be shying away from Rendon. It's not that his talent has dropped; they just like the lowered risk of a guy like Gerritt Cole or Danny Hultzen.
Make no mistake, though, Rendon is the most talented player in this draft. If he can't play third base, he moves to a corner outfield spot and makes 5-10 All-Star teams. Just click through to that video breakdown from Project Prospect. They compare his wrists to Hank Freakin' Aaron! Suffice it to say I'm on the Anthony Rendon Bandwagon.
Well, if his injuries limit him in the field, he'll be a left fielder/first base-type who has a career like Lyle Overbay. His floor also could be like Justin Smoak's, in that he's limited defensively and his hitting shows flashes in the minors but doesn't appear to translate to the majors (yet). Still, because of his polish, Rendon's floor is higher than any other hitter in this draft.
The sky is literally the limit here. What comparison do you want to make? Hank Aaron? Roberto Clemente? Mike Schmidt? He's got a chance to be as good a hitter as any of those guys, but I wonder if his defense/injuries will force his ceiling down a bit to somewhere like Rusty Staub. I think the Mariners would be okay with that.
Will thepick him? If so, where?
Not even close. If Rendon falls out of the top 2, I'll eat my hat.
Where is he projected to go right now?
Keith Law had him at No. 2 to the Mariners.
Jonathan Mayo had him at No. 2 to the Mariners.
Perfect Game USA had him at No. 2 to the Mariners
Bibliography (Scouting Reports and video)
Below the jump
The 6-foot, 190-pounder has tremendous strength in his hands and wrists, uncanny hand-eye coordination and exceptional strike-zone discipline. Teams have pitched around him all season, and he was the runaway NCAA Division I leader with 66 walks. His bat speed and ability to barrel balls give Rendon more usable power than any player in the draft, with scouts projecting the righthanded hitter to bat .300 with 25-30 homers a year in the major leagues.