Scouting the Redhawks: The Pitchers
I think the title should read Scouting the RedHawks: Jordan Lyles, because that was the main event. The Oklahoma City pitching staff is still nothing that stands out like the lineup. The lineup is quietly a strong lineup, but the pitching staff only has a few impressive arms, and even fewer real prospects. To be honest, I think the manager feels the same as he seemed to use the same few pitchers every night. Both Fernando Rodriguez and Jose Valdez pitched multiple innings on Tuesday and came in to pitch on one nights rest on Thursday. But, since then he's lost his closer in Jose Valdez, and judging by the game threads, ya'll seem to be fans of his.
As I said before, I'm not a scout. But, I am pretty confident in my abilities to evaluate pitchers as whether or not they'll be major leaguers and how well they'll do. It's a little easier to do at this level because they are just a step away. It's a little more difficult as you get further down the ladder and into amateurs. At the lower levels, you can get by with pure stuff or outstanding control/command. But, as you move up, they both have to improve. At this level, you can still get by without either one being great, but you've have to have developed them a good bit. Pitchers are facing top prospects and guys who have major league experience, you can't make too many mistakes.
After the jump, I evaluate what I saw as well as comments from a scout on Lyles. Plus, as an added bonus, I've got a clip of a few warm-up pitches from Lyles.
Henry Villar
I showed up late to his outing, so I didn't even see a full inning of his two inning start. I said last year that I wasn't a fan of moving him to the rotation in AA. He had a little success from the rotation but he is struggling this year. He has some good stuff but he doesn't induce enough groundouts to be a rotation candidate in my opinion. From what I remember and few reports that I've seen, he uses his changeup a lot along with his fastball. He obviously can have success with it, thats how he has moved all the way up to the majors. He has the stuff and he can control it, but the command is lacking. He gets it in the zone but can't pinpoint his location. He's leaving it higher in the zone and the quad-A lineup of Nashville (sorry Ol' Pete) took advantage of it.
Villar was out of uniform Thursday night and was in the stands with the gun and I got a chance to talk with him briefly. He's a very laid back guy and not cocky at all. He was very appreciative letting him know that there are fans out there who know who he is and are cheering for his success.
Gustavo Chacin
I'm not real big on the guy. I know a few of ya'll like him. To me he's a situational lefty. I like him better than the name that shall not be mentioned, that manned the LOOGY role in Houston last year. So, thats good that we have a guy in AAA who is better than him. He had success when I saw him, he wasn't what I would call dominant, yet effective. His stuff isn't the best, but when he's on he can command his pitches.
Ryan Roland-Smith
Hyphen is very similar to Chacin in that the stuff isn't great but can control his pitches, at times. Hyphen left a lot of his pitches up and had trouble commanding his stuff. I'd be more comfortable with Chacin right now as a reliever call up.
Sergio Escalona
You all saw his side-arm delivery in ST and know that he gives a different look. His fastball does have good movement because of that delivery. He may not get this sink others might, but his horizontal movement is solid. He may still need a little more work before his gets his shot in Houston.
Casey Fien
I mentioned in a recap that his results could be misleading. His stuff is good. He throws hard, very hard. He really makes the mitt pop. But, have you ever heard the phrase, "wildly effective?' Thats Fien. He can get the ball in the strike zone, but I honestly don't think he knows where it's going. The majority of his pitches looked good, until you noticed that the catcher was having to really work to catch the balls. But, because his stuff is hard, he got a lot of swing throughs. I like his stuff and if he can command them, we'll be talking about a late-inning pitcher. But, he's got work to do.
Fernando Rodriguez
If anyone else gets called up to work in the major league bullpen, this has to be the guy. He doesn't throw as hard as Fien or Jose Valdez, but he has good movement on his breaking ball and can command it the majority of the time. He is fairly efficient in his pitch counts which allows him to pitch two or three innings at times. I really like this pitcher. I don't know exact velocities, but I'd say a low 90's fastball.
Jose Valdez
I don't know much more than ya'll know now. Mid 90's fastball that he gets low in the zone along with a power curve that he can also pound the bottom of the strike zone with. He consistently gets his pitches in the lower half and his stuff is hard enough that he can get swing throughs against hitters with slower bat speeds.
Jordan Lyles
The moment you all have been waiting for. He had one rough inning where a few pitches missed a little high that were taken advantage of. The big one though came on a pitch down and in I believe, that Brenden Katin took deep. The scout we talked to doesn't really know what happened with that pitch, but he honestly didn't care about that pitch. Those things will happen on occasion.
He worked primarily 89-92 with the 89 being the two-seamer and the 91-92 being his four-seam. For the most part he worked low with the two-seam and occasionally going up with the four-seam. His changeup, as always, was solid and got a few swing throughs. But, the main pitch I want to talk about is his curve. OremLK mentioned last year that his curve was night and day from when he was drafted and in Lexington. The old loopy curve is gone and its now a sharp break. It also looks like it comes in a lot harder than it used to. I think there were only a few good swings on it the whole night. The ball was consistently diving underneath bats and making hitters look silly. The command of it at times can still lack as there were a few curves that he threw high out of the zone, but they still were sharp breaks. I asked the scout if he like the curve and his simple response was a grin and an "oh yeah, it was good."
As for his rough spots this season, I wouldn't be surprised if they were coming off of his mistake curves up in the zone that are being capitalized on. It's unusual for guys his age to be able to completely command a curve or any other breaking ball, for that matter. There's no reason to worry about it at this point. Shamus brought up a good point yesterday in that he could be working particular pitches right now, and that seems very likely. He threw several pitches back to back throughout the night which indicates he could be doing exactly that.
Jordan Lyles.wmv (via bparker11)
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Thanks for the report.
By the way, I think Valdez throws a split finger—-at least he has at the major league level. The ball in the dirt which produced two outs (K and out on runner trying advance home) against the Mets was a splitter. JD referred to it as a splitter and fangraphs classifies it as a split finger.
by clack on Apr 21, 2011 12:14 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
Baseball America Q&A
Zachary Levine links a Q&A session with BA’s Callis, who says that the Astros moved Lyles too fast:
Jordan Lyles struggled at AAA to end the year last year & is off to a rough start this year. Did the Astros bump him from AA a little prematurely?
Jim Callis: It looks like it. I don’t think they’re doing irreversible harm, but I never understood the rush. He was 19 when they promoted him to Triple-A last year, and the Astros aren’t going to contend any time in the near future. Sending him to Double-A in 2010 was aggressive enough.
by clack on Apr 21, 2011 1:24 PM CDT reply actions 1 recs
I think he is ready for AAA
I just think it is going to take some time before he really starts to excel against that level of hitting rather than just holding his own . He’s still very young but his makeup and mound presence are such that I’m not worried he is there too soon and it will cause any harm.
http://www.crawfishboxes.com
He probably didn’t need to be promoted last year. Maybe it would have been better to have finished out the year strong in Corpus and then pitch in the AFL which is what somebody else mentioned in a previous post this week. I think that was just last year though. I don’t see any reason why he should have not been promoted to OKC this year since their would be no reason for him to repeat in Corpus.
I do think that the Astros were to aggressive with him this spring, making it appear that he was a legitimate contender for the final rotation spot. That could have been a big dissappointment for him and affected his physic which in turn could have carried over into these first three starts. He was so close to realizing his dream that maybe its taking him a little while to regain his focus.
The best thing the Astros could have did with him in spring would have probably greater him like J.D. Martinez and tell him he has no shot at making the club, but get your reps in and see how you stack up against better competition.
by conroestro on Apr 21, 2011 1:42 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Physic was supposed to be pysche.
by conroestro on Apr 21, 2011 1:45 PM CDT via mobile up reply actions
In the original post’s defense, if Lyles had a psychic who predicted he would make the major league roster, him failing to do so definitely could have affected his psychic.
Of course, that joke is way less funny now that I realise you wrote “physic” and not psychic.
by seanbergmanrules on Apr 21, 2011 9:12 PM CDT up reply actions
Well he did dominate ST
And I really believe the only reason he is getting touched up in AAA is because he’s refining his pitches and perfecting his technique which is not perfect, rather than just trying to get outs the easy way. If you can learn to get outs with your bad pitches then you’re a well rounded pitcher and hitters can never guess what’s coming next. If you just rely on your fastball then a full count hitters know what to swing at. I don’t think he’s struggling, I think he’s working
by Its Gonna Happen on Apr 21, 2011 4:03 PM CDT via mobile reply actions 1 recs
I tend to agree with you on the notion that he's working on his pitches and
his control. He’s would be doing the same thing here in Corpus if had been left here and against alot of inferior talent. Why not let him learn and struggle against more talented hitters? Most of the hitters in AAA have either spent time at the ML level or are just waiting in the wings for respective ball clubs. Besides, he;s got a pretty good pitching coach there at OKC in Burt Hooten. On a personal note I just wish Hooten would teach one of our pitchers his legendary knuckle curve. Having spoken with guys that grew up playing with and against Hooten, his knuckle curve was the nastiest thing they ever saw.
…as for the knuckle curve, I’ve been saying the same thing for awhile. As long as Hooten has been with the Astros’ organization, you would think he would have taught at least one pitcher how to throw his knuckle curve. On the other, Hooten began throwing his knuckle curve from a young age, and it’s not a typical knuckle curve. So, maybe it’s hard to teach to someone else.
by clack on Apr 22, 2011 2:10 PM CDT up reply actions 1 recs
That very well could be. I still think there has to be someone in
the system that he could try and help develop the pitch.
"its not a typical knuckle curve"
I’ve never even heard of a knuckle curve! Let alone a typical one…that just sounds I.mpressively crazy! Let’s think for a sec, a knuckle ball: floats around with no spin and an inconsistant pattern. A curve ball: an off speed pitch that has a dramatic drop towards the end of its destination. Together?: an off speed pitch that has no spin or specific pattern, but still somehow drops? I’m intrigued. Its definately not a common pitch.
by Its Gonna Happen on Apr 23, 2011 12:21 AM CDT via mobile up reply actions
Not very common at all. Which is one of these reasons Hooten made it
to the show. Ive been told it was truly something see when he had it working by guys that played with and against him. Nearly unhittable is what most of them had to say.
Mike Mussina is considered to be the prototypical knuckle curve pitcher; it was his out pitch. And the same kind of knuckle curve is thrown by several pitchers currently, mostly as an off-speed offering. But these typical knuckle curveballs are different than Hooten’s in terms of the way they are thrown and the movement. From what I recall reading about Hooten, he developed his own knuckle curve as a teenager without any instruction, just trial and error.
The typical knuckle curve is also called the “spike curve,” and looks similar to a curveball but with more movement. Besides Mussina, Phil Hughes, Dan Haren, and A.J. Burnett are among the pitchers who throw this pitch.
The knuckle curve thrown by Hooten has a grip similar to a knuckleball but can be controlled better than a knuckleball. The pitch has less predictable movement than a curve ball, but can be more deceptive than a curve ball because the pitch can be thrown with the same general motion as a fastball. According to wikipedia, Jason Isringhausen also threw this pitch.
by clack on Apr 24, 2011 10:07 AM CDT up reply actions 1 recs

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