TCB Podcast Episode 26
Sponsored by Leiturgia Communications
TCB Podcast ready and willing to invade your thoughts and tickle your ear drums.
In this episode David Coleman, Sean Fiest, Terri Schlather from Tales From The Juice Box and myself discuss:
- The firings of Ed Wade and Tal Smith
- Searching for a new GM
- Searching for a shortstop
- Winter Meetings including the rule 5 draft
- Replacing Junction Jack
So as usual the day after we record a podcast a bit of news comes out that we either could of covered in the podcast or nullifies some of our conversation. In this one we spent almost 10 minutes discussing the possibility of Andrew Friedman coming to Houston. I've decided to cut it out so we can move on.
We're going to get into some Minor League talk for the next podcast, hence the poll. If you have anything specifically you want us to discuss in regards to the minors shoot us an email.
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Still trying to understand the love for Komatsu, Danks, and Barnese. Draft stock aside (ancient history now), there are either:
A) Other guys available who have performed better, or
B) Guys the Astros already have that look like identical players.
So what if identical players exist in the system? Having more of the identical players improves the probability that one of them will make it. That would be my thinking with Komatsu or Danks, for instance. (I like Komatsu more than Danks, but the point is the same.) Neither Shuck or Shafer are sure-fire bets to succeed as major leaguers. The probability likely is less than 50% (and in Shuck’s case, probably a lot less than that). Redundancy in the competition for the position improves the odds that you will get a successful major league player.
My issue is that there are OTHER players available in the Rule 5 draft that are better than the other options the Astros have in the back of the rotation and bullpen.
Why create a redundant system deep with underperforming and largely irrelevant players when you can draft a couple guys that will actually be a decent 4th/5th starter or short relief power pitcher?
Because those players could become the next Shane Victorino or Dan Uggla. Both being way more valuable than a 4th or 5th starter.
Follow my ramblings on Twitter .
by Timothy De Block on Dec 7, 2011 3:28 PM CST up reply actions
Well they all have flaws and shortcomings. That’s true of every relief power pitcher or 4/5 pitcher in the draft. That’s why they are available to be drafted. I would be happy if Komatsu was drafted. (And I think he has a higher ceiling than Shuck.) I would be happy if one of the several attractive relief pitchers or starting pitchers were drafted. The odds aren’t likely to be a lot better than 50-50 on any of them staying on the team’s roster instead of being sent back. The Rule 5 draft is intriguing because of the idea that a diamond in the rough can be found. But it also has elements of a lottery ticket.
This isn’t the best year to have the first pick in the Rule 5. Too bad that there are no Josh Hamilton type players available in this draft.
Well, I’m sure they didn’t know Josh Hamilton would become JOSH HAMILTON when they left him off the 40 man, so you never know…there COULD be another JH out there (diamond in the rough)
by Its Gonna Happen on Dec 8, 2011 1:04 AM CST via mobile up reply actions
Tampa Bay thought Hamilton’s drug history and absence from baseball would keep him from being drafted; they made the mistake of leaving him off their 40 man roster. But everyone knew he was a former first pick in the draft with incredible skills. Teams were working on trades with the top 3 teams in the Rule 5 draft and otherwise chomping at the bit to get a chance to acquire Hamilton. The Cubs picked Hamilton, but already had a deal in place to trade him to the Reds. The Marlins, with the third pick, were pissed because they had been working to try and ensure that they could draft him.
lol
My favorite part is the “can you hear us” conversation about 30 seconds after the podcast was officially over. Nice!


























