This Is It
As we all know, and have all complained about, 2012 is the Astros final year in the National League Central. The players union wanted every team to have the same number of teams to beat out for a playoff spot. That's a fair request. At the moment, NL Central teams have to squeak by 5 other teams to win the division, while AL West teams need only beat out 3 other teams. That's just not fair. The odds aren't even. I get it and even agree with it. The Astros still have one more season in the unfair division. I'm sure you guys see where I'm going with this. Most sane folks would jump to the same conclusion... the Astros need to go all in! Win now! Win now!
Pretty soon we are going to be buried under the Angels and the Rangers out west, and what about that extra wild card spot? I'm sure the Rays, Yankees, and Red Sox will be able to figure out who gets it without so much as consulting the poor little Astros. So 2012, however inconvenient, is the year for the Astros make their move...also, according to advanced metrics (in this case an archaic calender with a fuzzy starting date), the world ends some time after the 2012 season.
I don't care about about half-baked, new-age baseball ideas like logic, reason. statistics, math, and science. I am a firm believer in traditional baseball alchemy. So don't tell me I'm crazy or else the Baseball Inquisition, led by Joe Morgan, will burn you as a heretic.
The playoffs are within grasp, my friends! We must take them as if they were Poland. Albert is gone. Prince is gone. Braun is gone for 50 games. There's an extra playoff spot not utilized by the Yankees, Rays, Red Sox, Rangers, or Angels. Now is our time...even when our current lineup suggest otherwise. Now is the time to add payroll! We've already dragged our feet and missed out on Albert, Reyes, and Wilson, but we can still build a winner. As Jim Crane* has said, "Money is not an issue." We need to set our sights on Prince Fielder, Aramis Ramirez and Hanley Ramirez to solidify our infield. Yu Darvish and Roy Oswalt will fit into our rotation. The outfield will be tougher to fill. Maybe Carlos Beltran in right and Coco Crisp in center (if he hasn't already been signed). It's slim pickins out there, but that's the hand we were dealt with this timeline. Maybe we can work out trades for Franklin Gutierrez and Carlos Quentin instead...the lower minors are all expendable. The last thing that needs to be taken care of is the bullpen. My strategy here is simple: throw a ton of money at it.
The lineup will be old overall, there's little that can be done about that. Maybe our lower minors will have enough trade chips to get some of the sexier names on the starting pitching trade market like Gio Gonzales. The trade details are not my job. I'm more of a big picture kind of guy. Everything is aligned right now (except for the minor detail that is our roster). We have to make our move now! Now damn it! Now! The NL Central is up for grabs. There's an extra playoff spot. We don't play in the super power league yet. There is nothing wrong with our team that $300 million won't fix.
And the world ends in about a year.
*My goldfish is named Jim Crane.
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300 mil sounds about right
-#1 pitcher
-Closer
-Either a LF or 1B
-2B
-3B
-SS
-CF
-RF
Yeah if we signed a good player at ALL of those positions we could be in contention come October.
We could also probably use another top of the rotation starter since Wandy is as good as his curve which occasionally disappears, Norris may or may not build on last season, and Myers is a workhorse 3 starter.
Oh and before you mention Altuve, Martinez, Paredes, Bogusevic, Schafer, Castro etc…. they should all be in AAA. They all have major holes in their game that need work and still have work to do if they want to be average ML regulars, much less the quality players a team with playoff aspirations needs to succeed.
I know your post was tongue in cheek… but it disheartens me to realize that the NL Central will(likely) be the weakest division in baseball next season and yet we are almost guaranteed to be in the 100 loss range yet again.
To contend, they’d need to sign Fielder ($40M), Aramis ($20M), Crisp ($10M), Rollins ($30M), and Snyder ($3M) for the offense and Oswalt ($15M), Kuroda ($20M), and Madson ($15M) for the pitching staff. Those estimates are what I think it’d take to get each player on a 1 year deal.
Lineup:
Crisp CF
Rollins SS
Ramirez 3B
Fielder 1B
Lee LF
Bogusevic/Martinez/Bourgeois RF
Altuve/Downs/Paredes 2B
Snyder/Castro C
Rotation: Oswalt, Kuroda, Wandy, Myers, Norris
Bullpen: Happ, F Rod, Carpenter, Abreu, Lopez, Melancon, Madson
That team would be a likely winner, but would probably not be favored to win the pennant. It could certainly be competitive in the NL Central. That would be a $200M payroll, poised to drop to under $30M next year.
Imagine all of the Comp picks
we would receive when all of those players left in free agency…
Or all of the prospects we could swing in trades at the deadline?
The new collective bargaining agreement will make it harder to obtain compensation picks when free agents leave the team.
Not only that, can you imagine Houston offering arbitration to Fielder, Rollins, and Ramirez at $40, $30, and $20 million respectively? LOL.
by Snake Diggity on Dec 12, 2011 10:40 AM CST up reply actions
I don’t think that FA arbitration will exist after this year. If a team wants compensation, it has to offer the departing free agent a contract equal to a minimum amount based on the average salary of the top X% of players. (I can’t remember the percentage, but I have read that it would currently be something like $12 million…)
Doesn't this really hurt small market teams?
In theory, comp picks help a team like Tampa/Oakland/Florida (pre-Miami) who aren’t going to be able to pay the $15-20mm salaries their players will demand in free agency.
We could pull a Marlins, win the world series, next year trade off all talent.
We would just have to sign all players to contracts that enable us to trade them later.
Easy
peasy.
I do like the comp pick idea though.
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 12, 2011 2:32 PM CST up reply actions
We would get the entire first round :D too bad we would not be able to sign them all with the money pool in the new CBA
by Woodlands'stro on Dec 12, 2011 9:51 PM CST via mobile up reply actions
Haha
Draft all college seniors!
by McCutchenIsTheTruth on Dec 13, 2011 12:51 AM CST up reply actions
Come 2012, we shouldn't be chanting "Win now! Win now!" but rather
“Luhnow! Luhnow!”.
by reillocity on Dec 12, 2011 6:57 PM CST reply actions 1 recs
I see what you did there; I'm no Luhnotic.
It is better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to open one's mouth and remove all doubt.

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