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Around SBN: Ellenberger vs. Sanchez Heats Up, Hughes Talks Retirement

Rookie Review: Angel Sanchez

I hope you're all enjoying prospect week as much as I am contributing to it. The dazzling Angel (AnHell) Sanchez is our next study. Last month I compared him and Tommy Manzella, with the conclusion that both players would be nothing more than replacement level players at the shortstop position. We'll explore what he's done for the season and see if an increase in sample size has changed that analysis.

It appears that the Astros have gone with a bit of a rotation at the shortstop position. Getting time to those young enough and capable enough to handle the position. Manzella, Sanchez, and the recently acquired Matt Downs appear to be in a bit of a competition for the shortstop position through the end of this season. Needless to say having a good final month of the season will go a long way in determining who will have a leg up at the shortstop position heading into the offseason.

Trade

With Manzella on the shelf, our worst fears were realized with Geoff Blum and Jeff Keppinger manning the shortstop position. On July 1st the Astros traded the, previously designated for assignment, Kevin Cash to the Boston Red Sox for Angel Sanchez. Having been in 3 other organization (Boston, Toronto, and Royals) Sanchez brought over a career .279/.334/.351 line in nine minor league seasons. To get something for Kevin Cash was pretty good, but to get an adequate starting shortstop is amazing. An Angel appeared.

Star-divide

July

Angel endeared himself to Astros fans by posting a .302/.353/.397 line for a .750 OPS in his first 17 games with the Astros. Solid numbers for a short stop and certainly an offensive upgrade over Manzella who had been flirting with .200 for much of the season. He lacked the range of Manzella but still seemed to dazzle fans with his defense, and seemed to have a knack for getting that big hit. This prompted Mills to move Sanchez into the number two spot of the lineup, allowing Keppinger's bat to strength the lower part of the order. Sanchez posted a .269/.313/.346 slash line in 21 games, for the month.

Highlight: "Spectacular play!"

 

August

Sanchez posted a .266/.286/.321 line in 27 games for the month of August. His on base percentage took a bit of a hit this month. He had four walks and a HBP in July but only three walks in August with more games played. Which is the problem with dealing with sample sizes like these, but it is what it is. By the end of month his OBP had fallen slightly below .300 which is never good for a hitter, especially one who lacks the defensive brilliance to off set his mediocre offensive stats. At the end of August he had an OPS of .629, and with a higher than normal batting average on balls in play (BABiP) he was in danger of following below .600 OPS.

Highlight: Sanchez spanks the Cardinals

 

September and beyond

He has however avoided this by returning  to his dazzling ways, posting a .500/.545./.900 line in 11 plate appearances (PA) so far this month. A large part for a such a high slugging percentage (.900) from a light hitting shortstop is that in his 10 at bats he has 2 triples. He had two triples total in the previous two months. You could say he's on a mini-tear lately. His OBP is above .300, and his batting average is above .270 again. Getting off to a good start, and having a good September is going to help his chances for next year.

Highlight: Sanchez drives in Myers

 

Final Thoughts

Sanchez is carrying a relatively high BABiP, and has carried a high BABiP for much of the season. His LD% of 24.4% indicates he could have a BABiP over the .300 mark, allowing him to be a .260-.270 hitter. Even being able to sustain a high BABiP may not be enough for Sanchez to be even an average hitter, though. Currently with his high BABiP Sanchez has a .297 weight on base average (wOBA), which is considered a slightly below average hitter. His Wins Above Replacement (WAR) has dropped slightly below replacement level and has joined Manzella in negative territory. 

WAR takes into account a players defense, currently across the board Sanchez is considered a below average fielder. We are dealing with a small sample size as far as defense goes, so take his current standings with a grain of salt. He does provide Mills with a good option for replacing Keppinger defensively in late close games.

As a starter I don't like Sanchez, he doesn't provide enough offensively or defensively to be valuable. Move him to the bench and I like him a lot more coming off the bench. While he lacks range at short he's the second best option on this team defensively behind Manzella. He's also shown a knack for getting a hit in key situations, and coming off the bench that can be very valuable.

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Sanchez impresses me as a heady player who does a lot of little things well. His plate approach is decent, with average contact ability and BB rates over his career. He has had some minor league seasons (OBP: 2010 Pawtucket AAA .348, Blue Jays AAA 2009 .363, Royals AA .338) which might suggest that his OBP ability could be decent in a larger sample size. So I think the jury is still out on whether he be a No. 2 type hitter in the majors. I agree with you that Sanchez’s best role probably is as a utility infielder. However, I think he has shown this season that he can be an acceptable starter replacement for periods of a month or more if a starting middle infielder is injured.

by clack on Sep 9, 2010 10:41 AM CDT reply actions  

Nice writeup.

I may be in the minority, but I’d take Sanchez as a starter at SS over Manzella. Just my opinion though…It sounds like you have done a lot of statistical research and analysis on this.

I know that doesn’t mean that Sanchez will be an average/above avg. MLB starting SS, but I think that Sanchez can be. Give me Sanchez/Downs at SS and Keppinger/Downs at 2B.

by PeteyNhtown on Sep 9, 2010 11:53 AM CDT reply actions  

Sanchez’s defense is just so horrible compared to Manzella it doesn’t make me comfortable having him out there

by FAMFlames on Sep 9, 2010 1:17 PM CDT reply actions  

If only there was a way to merge Manzella’s defense with Sanchez’s ability to hit, especially in key situations.

by Timothy De Block on Sep 9, 2010 1:21 PM CDT up reply actions  

From observation, I don’t think Sanchez’s defense is terrible at shortstop, but it isn’t as good as Manzella’s. I suspect that Sanchez’s best defensive position might be 2d base if he was given more time at that position but you really would like to have a better offensive player than Sanchez at 2d base.

by clack on Sep 9, 2010 7:33 PM CDT up reply actions  

I would agree with that. That’s why his best role is as a utility infielder.

Ideally, one of your utility guys would be more of a corner bat who can play first base and fake third, and gets a lot of pinch at bats (I’m thinking along the lines of Russ Branyan, Jorge Cantu, etc).

The other utility guy would be a middle infielder who plays pretty good defense in case of injury at 2B/SS. I think Sanchez fits the second role fairly well.

That said, something is very wrong when he gets 215 plate appearances in only a half season with the big league club. On a good team it would mean somebody was injured for an extended period. In our case, unfortunately, it’s the complete lack of viable starting shortstop options.

by OremLK on Sep 10, 2010 12:23 AM CDT up reply actions  

All of that said I think Matt Downs is likely a better utility infielder than Angel Sanchez, and may even be a better starting second baseman than Jeff Keppinger (which could move Keppinger back to the utility role).

by OremLK on Sep 10, 2010 12:27 AM CDT reply actions  

Or you can trade Keppinger, his stock is fairly high atm.

by Timothy De Block on Sep 10, 2010 8:21 AM CDT up reply actions  

I’m surprised his lack of arm strenght is not mentioned. I’m nervous every time he plays SS because I know he can’t put some heat on his throw on a close play.

by renaudTN on Sep 10, 2010 1:32 PM CDT reply actions  

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