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The Astros bullpen in 2011: Not just good for Ed Wade jokes

Whether it's actual good play, luck, randomness or a combination of all three, the Astros' post Trade Deadline winning has brought positive attention to a group that at its best was forgotten and at its worst was named the worst organization in baseball by Dave Cameron and Fangraphs. Dave's own ability to grade organizations notwithstanding, I, like I'm sure most of you, am much more enthused to think about and discuss the state of the Houston Astros than I was even a month ago.

While much of the Astros success of late has come from players that have been on the Astros for an extended period of time such as Wandy Rodriguez, Brett Myers, Hunter Pence, Bud Norris and Michael Bourn, there at least appears to be a renewed commitment to building a winner, rather than mixing and matching pieces of major league scrap.

This past Tuesday's 16 inning victory against the Phillies brought to everyone's attention a future strength of the Astros: the bullpen. Ed Wade snark aside, he really has done a nice job assembling this group while turning over much of the roster simultaneously. Matt Lindstrom while recovering from injury right now, has improved his strikeout and walk rates, while posting a career best ground ball percentage. His contract should be an extremely reasonable amount next season (around $2 million, perhaps?), and would fit in well as our closer again in 2011.

For all of the (deserved) hub bub about Brandon Lyon's bad contract coming into the season, we haven't had to listen to much about it during the season. Lyon is what he is: a pretty good relief pitcher who doesn't strike out many but has limited the home run ball ridiculously well. Couple that with his pitching in some very high leverage situations for this team, and the versatile Lyon almost certainly will be pitching eighth innings for this team next season.

These two were the big name additions to the bullpen in 2010, but the less heralded Wilton Lopez has been a revelation to Astro fans. He walks guys damn well next to never and until he gave up the tying home run with two outs in the ninth in the aforementioned 16 inning marathon vs. Philly, Lopez hadn't given up a run since July 18th. That's right: July 18th! If he were a Tampa Bay Ray, the blogging community would have named a star after him. Since he's an Astro, well, even a blind squirrel...

After the late inning men, the 2011 edition of our bullpen will not be short on options to be used as the two Brads see fit. Younger relief pitchers Mark Melancon and Fernando Abad will compete for a roster spot next spring training after getting their first sniffs at life as an Astro this season. The injured troika of Alberto Arias, Sammy Gervacio and Chia Jen Lo haven't been mentioned a ton because they haven't pitched in quite some time, but if healthy, all three can contribute positively for a major league bullpen. To cap it off, what if Henry Villar, Matt Navarez or Wesley Wright figure something out this off season and impress the Astros in February and March?

Options are never a bad thing, and this team should have many coming out of the pen to begin the 2011 season. Jeff Fulchino was a lauded newcomer to the Astros in 2009, but he will have to really improve upon his 2010 campaign to even have a chance at a roster spot next season. It's amazing what can change in just two seasons, and the Astros bullpen is just a microcosm of the holistic changes surrounding this team. With much of 2010 yet to play, auditions begin now for a chance to play on one of the more interesting Astros teams in recent seasons.

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It's kind of funny

Ed Wade takes a lot of crap about his love for relief pitchers, but he’s actually really, really good at finding them on the cheap. It is an area of strength, and he actually deserves praise for his ability to pluck productive middle relievers off the scrap heap, not scorn.

I think Wade would actually be one of the better general managers in the game if he was never, ever allowed to sign a free agent. I’d say that’s his only significant area of weakness (there are other quibbles about the job he’s done, but no one area he’s been consistently bad in other than free agency).

by OremLK on Aug 28, 2010 6:18 AM CDT reply actions  

Free Agents

Are you talking about misreading free agents from a talent perspective – a la Pedro Feliz? Or misreading the market and overpaying – a la Brandon Lyon? Or maybe both. The good thing is that Wade hasn’t given out any deals over 3 years that I can remember so far with the Astros, so at least he’s limiting his mistakes.

On the other hand, Brett Myers has to be one of the FA signings of the year in all of major league baseball. And Wade refused to overpay Latroy Hawkins, which turned out pretty well.

by jmike on Aug 28, 2010 10:34 AM CDT up reply actions  

Yeah, he seems to have trouble with all facets of free agency

I’ll grant that he’s made some solid pickups, particularly pitchers. He seems better with pitching in general. I have a hypothesis that scouting is more effective when it comes to pitcher than position players, so it kind of makes sense that this would be the case. Statistical analysis seems more reliable for hitters.

But yeah, I’m glad that he seems to make sure not to mess up big, at least.

by OremLK on Aug 28, 2010 10:44 AM CDT up reply actions  

The Feliz thing was worth the punt

Sometimes these payoff for you, sometimes they don’t.

You only have to look at what Aubrey Huff has done with the Giants this season to see the logic in that (go and have a look, you’ll be surprised).

by AstroB on Aug 28, 2010 2:42 PM CDT up reply actions  

Who knows? Maybe the Feliz signing will look like a great signing, in hindsight, if young Mr. Carpenter turns into the next Carlos Marmol.

by clack on Aug 28, 2010 3:23 PM CDT up reply actions  

Of course, Wade had the reputation for paying too much for relievers in Philadelphia. But I have a feeling that he may have refined his ability to construct a bullpen when he moved on to San Diego. The Padres’ front office had a reputation for constructing great bullpens on the cheap. And Wade is identifying potential relief pitchers off the scrap heap much like they do in San Diego. (In fact, Wilton Lopez came from the Padres after San Diego had to remove him from the 40 man roster.) Bloggers can laugh about Wade’s self-described obsession with the bullpen, but it is almost a “Moneyball” approach to pitching. What the Padres recognized is that great bullpens can be assembled much more cheaply than starting rotations. The Padres showed that an average starting rotation plus a great bullpen can produce the results of a good pitching staff.

by clack on Aug 28, 2010 7:52 AM CDT reply actions  

Wade Vindicated

with the rotation he’s put together. Its missing one piece, and the lineup quite a few, but he’s quietly repaired a creaking franchise.

Wilton Lopez (CJ withstanding), best Astros rookie over the whole of 2010.

by AstroB on Aug 28, 2010 8:27 AM CDT reply actions  

I will give Wade credit

He does know his relief pitchers. But, should Arnsberg get some credit too? This guy might be in the top 5 of all pitching coaches, he’s REALLY made our pitching staff one to reckon with, right up there with the Pads. I wouldnt mind this team being like this year’s Pads, next year. I think we do need a true #3 power/avg hitter though. Be nice if Rendon slips! Haha..

by Logan Haire on Aug 28, 2010 9:55 AM CDT reply actions  

Arnsberg

Big fan. Best pitching coach the Astros have had in a long time. Although, I do worry that Mills will burn out Lopez soon if he keeps pitching him so much, and warming him up in other games that he doesn’t get into.

by jmike on Aug 28, 2010 10:36 AM CDT up reply actions  

Big W. Lopez fan here.

Abad has been really nice so far too.

by PeteyNhtown on Aug 28, 2010 12:06 PM CDT reply actions  

Yeah, all of us are big fans of Lopez. Out of the whole pen, the only two guys that make me go “Oh, boy” on entering are Byrdak and Chacin. And Byrdak has been good since the ‘stache so can’t really complain.

He thought the wind generated by his bat would carry the ball out of the park. --Braves fan comments on Ryan Howard's 0-7, 5K night vs HOU

by RocketsAstros on Aug 28, 2010 1:38 PM CDT up reply actions  

Geoff Geary had a very good season in 2008, as did Doug Brocail (well at least in the first half of the year), Hawkins allowed 1 run in that 2008 stretch. Oscar Villareal, not so much.

by AstroB on Aug 28, 2010 2:46 PM CDT reply actions  

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