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TCB's Players of the Week and Astros Spring Notes

Our friends over at The Dream Shake have a sponsor for their player of the week award. Before we could get a sponsor for TCB, I figured we'd need to create something worth supporting. Hence, the newly created Player of the Week awards, where we'll pick the top hitter and pitcher for the previous week and discuss it each Monday.

This week, we only have four games worth of spring data to work with, but I've come up with a couple reasonable choices. In the future, we'll post a poll Sunday night with some good options and we can come to a consensus on who the awardees should be.

First up?

Hitter of the Week: RF Hunter Pence - After going 3 for 3 against Washington with two home runs, Pence was 1 for 3 with two runs, one RBI, two walks, one strikeout, a double and a triple. He finished with a slash line of .667/.750/2.167, had 10.53 Runs Created, a BABiP of .667 and a wOBA of .838. Not a bad start to the spring.

Pitcher of the Week: LHP Wesley Wright - No Astro pitcher had more than two innings of work in the first four games, but Wright had the best FIP and WHIP of the bunch. In his two innings, Wright picked up one save, allowed one hit while striking out two with a 3-1 GO/FO ratio. Wright has also not given up a walk.

Who were your POWs for the first four games?

Star-divide


Berkman a-okay: Lance Berkman played Saturday and Sunday's games against Atlanta after missing the first two of the spring season with a swollen knee. All the talk about how serious it might be seems to be for naught now, as Berkman went 2 for 4 with one run scored, one RBI, one walk, two strikeouts and two doubles.

His knee is still a concern, but could safely be faded into the background for the time being. The type of injury (possible arthritic condition) can reveal itself quickly or slowly, depending on a number of factors. I'm guessing Berkman doesn't miss much if any time this season.

What's interesting to consider is what happens if the knee is arthritic, yet Berkman goes out and hits like he did in 2008 when he was in the MVP talk. Would the Astros think about an extension at that point, or are they more concerned about his knee than they are letting on?


Lyon throwing well: Zach Levine tweeted today that Brandon Lyon threw 30 pitches earlier and felt file. He may move up to throwing BP by the middle of this week. The pitching staff is struggling early, but it will be very nice to get Lyon back into the fold with enough time to be ready for opening day.


Left behind: While the offense was prolific over the weekend, the Astros also left 60 men on base. Compare that to their 29 runs and they could have done a lot more damage in their two losses. The biggest culprit was Cory Sullivan, who left nine men on base while going 0 for 5 with one strikeout. T.J. Steele, Brian Bogusevic, Yordany Ramirez and Wladimir Sutil are the only Astros with at-bats who did not leave a man on base.

While that stat is not saber-friendly (it's all about context and who's in front of you), I think it shows both the good and the bad about the offense. Yes, you'd like for the hitters to come through with a few more hits with men on base. At the same time, those hitters won't always fail to get hits in those situations and that means the offense could get good in a hurry. Through four games, the Astros have scored ???? runs per game, which is over their average of 3.97 from the 2009 season.


Pitching woes: The pitching hasn't been great in the past four games. Outside of the shutout on Saturday, the Astros have given up just over 10 runs a game. Of course, that also includes a 17-run game against Detroit where Polin Trinidad didn't get an out while giving up six runs.

As a group, the pitchers have an ERA of 6.88, an FIP of 4.64, a WHIP of 2.03 and a BABiP of .347 in 34 total innings. It's safe to assume, however, that their team BB/9 rate of 6.88 won't stay that high forever, so the run totals should fall.

One positive sign here is that the staff has only given up one home run, from Yorman Bazardo. They also have a 44/34 GO/FO ratio and haven't hit a batter yet. So, there are some good signs here. This group won't struggle as much as the spring goes along (we hope) and at the very least, some of these roster-fillers will get weeded out by opening day.


Hitting stars: Individually, Hunter Pence wasn't the only Astros hitting the ball well. In addition to Berkman's two doubles, Chris Johnson had a good start with three doubles and a home run. Jason Michaels had two doubles and ahome run while generating 5.43 Runs Created. J.R. Towles was second to Pence with Runs Created at 5.96.

As a team, the Astros have 31.75 Runs Created with a slash line of .350/.383/.594 and a BABiP of .369. Yordany Ramirez was also a big contributor to this, going 3 for 4 with two runs and four RBIs. He is also the only Astro that's been caught stealing this spring. Speaking of stolen bases, the Astros only have two attempts this spring, with Pence being the only successful base thief. Mills was concerned about the Astros selectivity after the Washington game. Since then, Houston has walked seven times in three games while striking out 15 times.


Positional battles: It's early and spring stats are not good predictors of regular season success. However, they do matter for guys battling for roster spots or starting jobs. Using Runs Created, let's break down the open spots:

Fifth Outfielder: Yordany Ramirez, 3.00 RC

Catcher: J.R. Towles, 5.96 RC

Backup infielder: Edwin Maysonet, 2.50 RC

We'll keep an eye on these battles all spring. Who do you have in the lead for each spot?

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1. Off the top of my head, I thought Yordany Ramirez or Chris Johnson might be a good choice for hitter. But after looking at the stats, and thinking about Yordany’s few at bats (in only 4 at bats his OBP is .750 with 1.5 SLG), Pence is probably the best choice.
2. I might go with Gervacio in the pitcher slot, but truthfully choosing from among pitchers with 2.0 IP and 0 ERA makes for pretty meaningless distinctions.
3. I think the discussion of “arthritic” condition with respect to Berkman’s knee isn’t well supported, or is certainly premature, given that Dr. Lintner’s diagnosis seemed to convince Berkman that this is a temporary or minor condition. After googling a lot of articles on arthritic knee conditions, I couldn’t find anything that supported Will Carroll’s diagnosis. The only thing I can see which might lend credence to it is that chicken comb injections, which Berkman received, are sometimes used for arthritic conditions (although not exclusively—it is used to cushion and lubricate the knees and could be used for other conditions). Also, Carroll’s conclusion seemed to based on “bruising without trauma” but I haven’t seen any specific statement that there was no trauma. Berkman said he didn’t know what caused it during base running drills. But, did he slide into bases as part of those drills? Couldn’t he have a bruise from doing that without specifically recalling it?

by clack on Mar 8, 2010 12:33 PM CST reply actions  

One of my good friends is into his intern rotations at a hospital in Massachusetts (so he’s not a doctor quite yet, but he’s getting there). I talked with him about Berkman’s knee and he confirmed that the knee bruising without apparent injury is a sign of arthritis. However, he seemed to indicate that was one of many diagnoses and didn’t rule out a tear. But, if the Astros were that worried about it, he said they’d do a CT scan.

So, I guess what I’m saying is I don’t think there is much of a problem, but if it was arthritic, we might not know for a while. The team and/or Berkman may be putting off finding out for sure until his contract status is a little more firm. Or it all could be for nothing.

by David Coleman on Mar 8, 2010 12:42 PM CST up reply actions  

when I googled knee bruise without trauma, I got long lists of possible conditions, including osteoarthritis, but also including many other possibilities. That sounds like it might be consistent with what your friend told you.

by clack on Mar 8, 2010 1:29 PM CST up reply actions  

I told him the other day he’s becoming the ‘official’ TCB medical advisor. We’ll see how that works out…

by David Coleman on Mar 8, 2010 1:43 PM CST up reply actions  

Chicken combs – yipes. My research (watching too much tv) tells me that some people eat those fried.

by ol Pete on Mar 8, 2010 1:41 PM CST up reply actions  

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