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Before Astros spring game #3, Check out some linky goodness

Have you always wanted to combine your love of both sabermetrics and school? Well, here's your chance to meld the two together. Looking at the class intro, I realized that I hadn't seen VORP utilized in quite some time. It's times like this that I miss Fire Joe Morgan.

ESPN's Rob Neyer has an interesting take on Tim Marchman's article which ranks MLB's GMs. Neyer makes a decent point about why we're forced to sometimes read articles like this:

But for a nuanced take, you would literally have to make dozens and dozens of phone calls to figure out which of the stupid things were done because (among other possible reasons) the owner demanded it. Everyone inside baseball can tell you about a stupid move ordered by the owner, or a smart move vetoed by the owner. Or vetoed by a layer of administration between the owner and the general manager....

I'm talking about a book ... and by the time the book is published, three or four of the general managers will have retired or been promoted or been fired....

So what we get instead are lists on the fly, like Marchman's. And that's okay.

Honestly, I had never thought of it this way. Ranking a GM isn't like ranking MVP candidates or draft picks. There is much, much more to analyze and research when it comes to everything that a GM does and does not do.

Nothing is done in a vacuum, and to be honest, nobody, not Tim Marchman, Keith Law or the FanGraphs boys, know every detail that goes on in a major league front office. Sure, guys like Law have held jobs in baseball, and writers have ties to the various clubs, but as Neyer notes, owners and front office personnel can give the thumbs up to a brilliant idea overriding what a GM may think, or quash a superb idea that a GM may have had. We just don't know a lot of what happens, and its foolhardy to think otherwise.

Bernardo Fallas keys us in to a few important positional battles happening in Florida. As we've touched on before, there aren't a whole lot of opportunities for turnover this spring, but with a month to go before real baseball begins a lot can certainly happen.

What would be amusing to me (or really frustrating), is if Chris Johnson, Edwin Maysonet and Jason Bourgeois absolutely tore the cover off the ball but had to head back to Round Rock so the Astros could play Pedro Feliz, Kaz Matsui and Jason Michaels. I can't envision a situation where one of the millionaire veterans was told to step aside because a younger player outperformed them in the Grapefruit League. Even if there is little change with how we believe the roster will be constructed, it's worth noting that our AAA affiliate will boast usable pieces for the first time in recent memory.

Offensively,  all of the starting outfield spots for Round Rock (Yordany Ramirez, Brian Bogusevic and Jason Bourgeois), Chris Johnson, Edwin Maysonet, and Jason Castro could conceivably play a role on the 2010 or 2011 Houston Astros. It's not saying much, and it's not as if these players are the most talented in the world, but at least it will enable Ed Wade to look inward rather than outward (Chris Coste, 2009) when seeking help mid season.

It's only been two games, but which non pitchers are having the best start?

  • J.R. Towles, is 4/5 out of the gate, which is probably a good thing for someone who's in competition with arguably the organization's top prospect. I wonder how much defense figures into the decision that Brad Mills and co. will have to make concerning catcher? Jason Castro is supposedly a fine defender already behind the plate, for what it's worth. Jason is 3/7 so far if you were interested.
  • Chris Johnson hates singles. Just hates 'em, apparently.
  • Yordany Ramirez is perfect so far at the plate.

Yea, yea. I know we can't take anything away from two games, but baseball is here and I want to read too much into the boxscores and dream about Chris Johnson putting it all together!

Last, if you have nothing else to do this weekend, you can read up on the top 2000 prospects in baseball. Seriously though, what's the difference between the 1,678th best prospect and the 1,890th? It would have been fitting for someone in our organization to be ranked last, but we lucked out- one of ours (Jarrod Holloway) is only second to last. It is a little suspicious how three of the last seven prospects are in fact property of the Astros. I mean, we're bad, but this is ridiculous!

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Towles has a Spring Training OPS of 2.233

I guess that means he’s worth two Albert Pujols at the plate going forward!

by OremLK on Mar 6, 2010 7:04 AM CST reply actions  

Here is a good point from yesterday’s spring training loss: the Astros’ offense finally took a walk. Three walks, actually. (3TO king, Chris Shelton, with two walks, and Michaels with one walk.) I was intrigued by this FanShot which pointed out that the Astros brought 44 men to the plate and scored 15 runs in the first spring game without taking a single walk. This would have been a near record, if it were a regular season game. And when you think about the fact that it was the first spring game for the Nats’ pitchers, and they didn’t give up a walk, it becomes even more surprising.

It’s worth noting Mills’ comment that he actually liked the loss yesterday better than the win in the first game. He said that the Astros’ offense wasn’t selective enough in the first game and showed a better effort at working the count in the second game. I think I like this manager. (I can imagine Cooper congratulating his hitters on aggressive first pitch swings after the first spring win.) Mills also thought the Astros’ fielders made fewer fundamental mistakes in the second game.

by clack on Mar 6, 2010 7:54 AM CST reply actions  

That is a beautiful story.

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Mar 6, 2010 8:07 AM CST up reply actions  

tangent

Mills and long odds: I believe that Mills, Macha, and Manuel warmed the bench together in Toronto. When do you ever look at 3 bench warmers and think, hey, 3 future major league managers.

by ol Pete on Mar 6, 2010 9:06 AM CST up reply actions  

From the department of who knows

Melvin is routinely criticized for problems and things that go wrong on the farm and Jack Z is routinely praised for the same team and time period. I give credit to Bud Selig’s kid, Wendy, who hired Jack Z.

by ol Pete on Mar 6, 2010 9:11 AM CST reply actions  

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