Saturday Grab Bag 'O Astros Links
A lot minor league talk this week, which isn't exactly my area of expertise (it's questionable whether or not I have an expertise at all), but Keith Law offered Astros' fans hope this week by ranking the Astros as having the 28th best farm system in MLB.
In other words- we're not last! Hopefully this can be the moment that we tell our grandchildren about, after decades of Astro dominance, the impetus of which was a couple of solid-good minor league drafts in 2008 and 2009. If nothing else, this is the point where the Astros stopped being a laughingstock among the prospect-knowledgeable bloggers among us. Next up: Ed Wade ignores his reliever fetish and goes after primarily starting pitching during an off season.
Baseball Prospectus projected the 2010 standings, and our Astros ended up at 74-88, good for fifth in the NL Cenrtral. Sure, PECOTA doesn't paint the rosiest of pictures for our guys, but considering how they had the 'Stros pegged for a tad under 67 wins last season, we're already ahead of the game.
This season, our offense looks comparable to the Giants and Nationals in terms of runs scored....yowza. It's a start. The Astros have outpaced their projected PECOTA records in each of the past two seasons, both times by at least seven win, so pencil us in for at least 81 wins! .500, or bust!
Other gazes into the future weren't near as pleasant.
When it comes to the friendliest countries on earth, we're number ten!
Jason Stark has his usual assortment of interesting early year stories, but his trivia question for the week is tops, because well, it's Astro related. He asks:
This season, Roy Oswalt and Lance Berkman will become only the fourth set of active teammates who have played together for at least the last 10 seasons. Can you name the other three?
Check out the tail end of Stark's article for the answers. When I first read the question, mentally I read it as: "Name the four sets of teammates who have played together for at least 10 seasons", only to be upset and confused as to why Bags and Bidge weren't included in the answers....I really need to work on my question reading skills before the Bar Exam.
A lot of us don't like Drayton McLane, and with good reason. Before last week though, he wasn't even the worst baseball owner in the state of Texas. Has to be frustrating for a Texas Rangers' organization to have all areas of club working so well...except for the man in charge.
Last, some February reading for Michael Bourn. Baseball has come a long ways in stolen base %! 54.7% success rate league wide in 1905? Almost like a certain catching prospect of ours was playing backstop for every team that season..
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54.7% stolen base percentage in 1905?
Wow. I did not know that. I would have thought players in the midst of the dead-ball era would have been very good at stealing bases.
I’d be interested to see the stolen base percentage from that era as a whole (1900-1919). Makes you wonder if some of they did some of the reduction in scoring to themselves by being too aggressive on the basepaths.
by OremLK on Jan 30, 2010 6:25 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
"Ed Wade ignores his reliever fetish....
and goes after primarily starting pitching during an off season"…that’s funny…I haven’t seen any starting pitching added to the team. I heard about Meyers (too many questions about his health?) & Lindstrom (whom I assume they think can close, with Valverde gone)…other than that, I’m not aware…somebody fill me in please?
by titansfan4ever on Jan 30, 2010 9:04 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
HLP was hoping that would happen in the future, not saying it already happened.
But yes, Myers is a starting pitcher, and he was added to the team.
by OremLK on Jan 30, 2010 9:44 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I wouldn’t mind that other gaze into the future. If the Jays get lucky and win a few extra games, then its “hello Anthony Rendon” time.
by seanbergmanrules on Jan 30, 2010 10:18 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
BP changed its projected standings over the last few days....
Earlier BP had the Astros ahead of the Brewers in the standings, with something like a 76 win record, and they had the Cubs below 80 wins. They had the Rays beating out the Yankees. Lots of people were questioning the BP projections, particularly Yankees fans, and I think that caused BP to make some changes.
by clack on Jan 30, 2010 10:50 AM CST reply actions 0 recs
right
the Astros had 75 wins, but eventually got knocked down to 74…..it looks like their RS/RA/BA/OBP/OPS numbers remained virtually the same though.
The Crawfish Boxes, Astros blogging at its finest.
by Evan Hochschild on Jan 30, 2010 10:51 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
This discussion at BBTF originally occurred after the first iteration of the BP projection….you can see some of the anomalies mentioned int he comments. And in a comment near the end, someone from BP (Wyers?) says that several problems were identified and would be fixed. I have to say that putting A’s as NL West champions seems a real stretch.
by clack on Jan 30, 2010 11:25 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
pitching, pitching, pitching
something about young, projectable arms that pecota seems to over estimate time and time again.
The Crawfish Boxes, Astros blogging at its finest.
by Evan Hochschild on Jan 30, 2010 11:37 AM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Sky Kalkman had said the problems came from double-counting defense with BABiP and unearned runs. That kind of indicates the Astros are expected to be a pretty good defensive team, I guess
by David Coleman on Jan 30, 2010 12:29 PM CST via mobile up reply actions 0 recs
Well, the most important position on defense is....
our starting pitcher. And if HLP was just hoping that Wade had added some, but that had not actually happened yet…….then we are SCREWED!!!
by titansfan4ever on Jan 30, 2010 3:05 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
Again, he added Brett Myers, who is a starting pitcher. And a good one, when he is healthy and keeps the ball in the park.
by OremLK on Jan 30, 2010 3:26 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
You're right, OremLK...
sorry to sound so negative. Years of watching my favorite team struggle from lack of quality pitching has got me a little sideways.
by titansfan4ever on Jan 30, 2010 4:30 PM CST up reply actions 0 recs
I don't know what's the worst thing about the Cairo prediction
That the Astros had the worst record in the National League
That it picked the Astros to finish behind the Priates
That I was indignant it picked the Astros behind the Pirates but accepted fifth place as a legitimate prediction
Astros fan for life
by Joe in Birmingham on Jan 30, 2010 7:19 PM CST reply actions 0 recs
I keep looking at the 2010 draft as the big hope for this franchise.
Picks, picks, picks!
Don’t screw them up, please.
Remember to retire Fin's number, Mark.
by jonthefon on Jan 30, 2010 8:11 PM CST reply actions 0 recs

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