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Something you may not have known: Wandy being clutch

It would be tough to argue that Wandy Rodriguez is the best starting pitcher in baseball. While his stock has definitely risen in 2009, he still has a ways to go in order to get into the conversation dealing with being a part of the "baseball's best starter" conversation.

Still, it bears mentioning that there is more than one way for a starting pitcher to have value. Wandy's FIP, ERA, K/BB and VORP may not be of the highest caliber, but he is tops in one interesting stat- Clutch.

This isn't the sort of clutch that color commentators like to opine about. Rather, it's a stat developed by who else but the folks at FanGraphs which tells us which players step up their performances in high leverage situations as compared to average leverage situations.

It's a little bit of a kooky stat since it doesn't compare players to a league baseline of "clutchness", but what the Clutch stat does illustrate is which players step their games up when the games are close/runners are on base/etc. Then again, finding an "average" high leverage situation would most likely prove difficult as no two clutch situations are the same for any two players on any given day. TangoTiger has put together a chart detailing the different high/low leverage situations in a game.

Back to Wandy. Here is the list of the most clutch starting pitchers in baseball. As you can see, there are some great pitchers at the top of the list, such as Zach Greinke, Matt Cain and Johan Santana. There are others who are, um...not as good. What puts Wandy ahead of them all? Well, as I mentioned earlier, he isn't at the very top of starting pitchers. Cain, Greinke and Santana have all been better. Whereas Wandy has excelled overall in terms of helping the Astros' chances of winning games he's started, he has only been above average when the different leverage situations are taken out of the equation.

Figuring that Rodriguez is great in high leverage situations and just pretty good in "average situations", his high Clutch score makes more sense. This is a stat that doesn't mean a whole lot in terms of predicting the future, but it is interesting and another way to evaluate a player's past performances.

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5 of top 8 clutch pitchers are lefthanded....

does that mean anything? considerably less than half the population of pitchers is lefthanded.
lefthanders do a better job of holding runners on base? more balls hit to left side of infield, increasing double plays or putting the ball into LF which produces a shorter throw to 3d and home plate? just throwing out ideas.

by clack on Aug 24, 2009 12:15 PM CDT reply actions  

I remember that Mike Hampton

used to (maybe still does) have a lower OPS-against with runners on base than with the bases empty. That was partly explained his groundball-inducing abilities, though.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Aug 24, 2009 7:35 PM CDT up reply actions  

Wandy is No. 4 in the NL in number of DP’s induced. And 3 of the top 4 pitchers for DPs are lefthanded. However, you can’t conclude much about leftnaders and double plays without controlling for groundball ratio in some way. Wandy is the only one of the top 4 DP pitchers who doesn’t have a high groundball rate. Wandy and John Garland are the only pitchers with more than 20 DPs who are flyball pitchers (i.e., GB/FB ratio less than 1).

by clack on Aug 25, 2009 2:59 AM CDT up reply actions  

What's so great...

about being able to quantify how “clutch” Wandy has been this year is that, earlier in his career, his major struggle was dealing with those higher leverage situations. He could cruise along well, but he didn’t deal well with pressure situations. It seemed like just about anything could throw him off his game. Anyone else remember that ridiculous run-in with Angel Hernandez a few years ago?

Wandy has matured immensely as a player. The confidence he’s shown and his ability to bounce back from weak starts has been wonderful to see.

by BTastros on Aug 24, 2009 6:14 PM CDT reply actions  

I'm going to schedule a meeting to brainstorm about this conversation.

I need you to start making mission statements.

Your friendly neighborhood Dream Shake mod.

by Only_A_Lad on Aug 25, 2009 11:06 AM CDT up reply actions  

wait wait wait

did the committee sign off on that first?

by AstroAndy on Aug 25, 2009 4:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

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