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Around SBN: Ellenberger vs. Sanchez Heats Up, Hughes Talks Retirement

Felipe Paulino's Struggles

Right-hander Felipe Paulino struggled again on Monday, giving up five hits, three earned runs and walking five in three innings of work. The 24-year old hasn't made it out of the fifth inning since returning to Round Rock last week. Interestingly enough, his pitch count has been high in all three appearances. He's thrown at least 70 pitches in all three, but has thrown just 54% of his pitches for strikes, which is right in line with how many strikes he threw in his brief stint with Round Rock in April.

In 14 starts with the Astros, Paulino threw strikes 62% of the time, but that percentage plummeted once he went into the bullpen in May. It rose again once he rejoined the starting rotation through the first of July. His walks, however, have also hurt him. In April, Paulino averaged 2.73 walks per 9 innings between both Round Rock and Houston. In May, that number jumped to 5.89 before falling back to 1.89 for the rest of his tenure with the Astros. Since rejoining Round Rock, Paulino has allowed 9.25 walks per 9 innings.

We can even look further into his strike data in the majors. Paulino got 16.4% swinging strikes in his time with the Astros, but had just eight in his final two appearances. I don't have the same type of data for his three Round Rock starts, but I can say that two of his seven strikeouts have been looking. He's obviously still missing bats, so it's hard to say whether his problem is mechanical, mental or due to an injury. His control seems to come and go this season, starting when he was demoted to the bullpen in May. Hopefully, he can get right soon.

David C.

Minor Musings

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Hard to say what’s going on. There is no question in my mind that Paulino was handled poorly in Houston, particularly when he was sent to the bullpen. But that probably isn’t the complete problem. In my view, Paulino has to be successful throwing his breaking pitches / offspeed pitches for strikes; and I think he has trouble getting into a rhythm doing that when he is in the bullpen. I wonder if there is a significant difference in the umpires’ strike zones, comparing AAA and the major leagues?

by clack on Jul 28, 2009 12:12 PM CDT reply actions  

I wish we had Pitch F/X data for Triple-A so we could tell what the strike zone was like and what pitches Paulino is throwing down there. Alas, though, we are not quite there yet.

by David Coleman on Jul 28, 2009 12:13 PM CDT up reply actions  

He may be forcing himself to throw his breaking pitches and offspeed stuff a lot, which he is uncomfortable doing. Sometimes when you know what you need to do to fix it… it will get worse before it gets better if you force yourself to do it.

by Irish Pete on Jul 28, 2009 7:21 PM CDT reply actions  

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