Astros Draft Preview - Part Six: The Texas Connection
It's hard enough to pick who is going to go in the top 10 draft picks, much less at the Astros' #21 slot. But since half the fun of the draft is wild speculation, I thought I'd go whole hog and try to name some guys who might land in the Astros' laps after the first round. One thing we saw last year was that two of our prize draftees were Texas kids: Ross Seaton and Brad Dydalewicz. In that vein, here are three guys with Texas/local roots that the Astros might grab with pick #69 or beyond.
Randal Grichuk, OF, Lamar Consolidated HS -- BaseballAmerica has linked us to him. He's a kid from Lamar HS who plays left field and hits with a lot of power. BA did a profile on him (unfortunately behind a subscriber wall) and it appears he modeled his playing style and batting stance after Jeff Bagwell. Now, I've looked at some youtube video of this kid, and it looks like someone has talked him out of actually using Bagwell's stance. But still, some of Grichuk's favorite baseball memories were when his Little League team was being shown around Minute Maid Park and he got to meet and speak with his heroes, Jeff Bagwell and Craig Biggio.
The reason I suggest keeping an eye on him is because of his commitment to college. He's got a scholarship to Arizona and he's mentioned that one of his goals is to go to the College World Series. His mom seems to be big on him going to college, too. So it's possible that signability could drop him into later rounds.
But he's suggested he's open to skipping college if he goes high enough in the draft and if the money is right. Perhaps the possibility of playing for his hometown team could be the edge that Houston needs to get him drafted and signed at a point in the draft where others might not risk it (think Ross Seaton). If I had to guess, I'd say maybe look for it in the 2nd round, because if Astros fail to sign him, they could get a supplemental 2nd round pick in the 2010 draft as compensation.
A. J. Morris, RHP, Kansas State - Though he went to K-State to play college ball, this right-hander went to Humble High School, just a half-hour's drive from Minute Maid Park. He flipped a light switch this year, going from a 4W-4L season and a 6.00+ ERA in 2008 to an 14W-1L season with a 2.28 ERA this season. This stellar performance earned him the Big 12 Pitcher of the Year Award for 2009.
He's got a 91+mph fastball and a solid slider and has great command of both. Bobby Heck, in a recent interview, mentioned the Big 12 as a place that is particularly stocked with college pitching. Like Grichuk, Morris is a possibility for the ‘stros in the second round (though it's entirely possible he's off the board by the time our pick rolls around).
Slade Heathcott, CF/LHP, Texas HS - BA has us connected with Heathcott, too. He's been out much of his senior season with various injuries, but he's a potential 5-tool guy, with speed and power as his calling cards. Most everybody who does a write-up of him mentions his "makeup" and suggests that he might have some off-the-field character issues. Thankfully, the baseball media gives the kid a break and doesn't ever mention what those issues are, so we can't really evaluate them ourselves. His arm strength is so good that he's begun throwing off the mound and throws in the low-90's with a good curveball. Rumor has it that he'll require $1mil to break his commitment to LSU, which would be above slot if the Astros took him in the second round. However, last year, the ‘stros showed that they were willing to go above slot when the talent warrants it with Ross Seaton (3Supp Round) and Brad Dydalewicz (8th round). He is, however, a Red Sox fan, so who knows.
Other Potential 2nd or 3rd Round Texans: Alex Wilson (RHP, Texas A&M), Brooks Raley (LHP, Texas A&M), Victor Black (RHP, Dallas Baptist), Aaron Miller (LHP, Baylor), Todd Glaesman (OF, Midway HS in Waco), Colton Cain (LHP/1B Waxahachie HS), Ryan Berry (RHP, Rice...also a HS teammate of A.J. Morris), and just because Louisiana doesn't have a major league ballclub, Zack Von Rosenberg (RHP, Zachary HS in Zachary Louisiana)
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Updates and Rumors
Yesterday, Alyson Footer blogged about the workout the Astros held at MMP for potential draftees. These are important. Bobby Heck puts a good amount of weight in these kinds of workouts. They give the team a chance to speak one on one with a number of prospects and see them face off against other potential top selections. A strong workout from Jordan Lyles last year vaulted him into the supplemental round, despite not being seen as a prime prospect. So who shows up at these workouts could be a good clue as to who the Astros might pick.
Also from Footer:
The list of participants included players from the high school, junior college and college levels, and they traveled from all over: by my count, there were 17 states represented, and one country — Puerto Rico — from which three players traveled for this workout. The states included California (11), Florida (6), South Carolina (2), Georgia (3), Massachusetts (1), Alabama (2), New York (1), Missouri (1), Texas (7), Illinois (1), West Virginia (1), Louisiana (1), Oklahoma (1), Indiana (1), Pennsylvania (1), Arizona (2) and North Carolina (2).
By school level, there were 24 high school players, 17 college and five junior college.
In the above post, I added Louisiana high schooler Zack Von Rosenberg to the list of “local guys” that the Astros might think about selecting. Mr. Von Rosenberg reportedly is one of the guys who worked out with the Astros yesterday, which would mean that we know who the one guy from Louisiana was. He’s an impressive kid, starting and winning the state championship game all four years in high school. He’s 6’5" with a low 90’s fastball, but has three good pitches and way more polished and poised than one would expect from a high schooler. This quote from an interview with NoMaas Yankees really makes me like this kid:
I’m not a nice guy on the mound, I’ll say that. The guys that are hitting are trying to prevent me from fulfilling my dream and possibly playing in the big leagues, so if they get a hit off me I guess you could say I’m not too happy. I hate to put it this way, but they’re the enemy – they’re preventing you from reaching your goals, so that’s good motivation for me.
Another local product reportedly working out for the Astros is Matt Graham, RHP, of Oak Ridge HS in Conroe. His fastball has had roller-coaster velocity over the course of the season in the mid-90’s on good days, and mid-80’s on others. Other than that, the reports on him are all over the map, ranging from lukewarm descriptions of his secondary pitches to being the second coming of Roy Halladay.
Another name (but not a Texan) linked to the Astros workout has been Chad James, an Oklahoma HS lefty. He’s got a fastball, curveball, and a changeup (which is considered particularly well developed for a high schooler). If taken, he’d be an early selection, with BA projecting him going in the second half of the first round.
Some guesses
Alex Wilson (RHP from Texas A&M) is originally from West Virginia, so I bet he’s the 1 WV Kid. I’d bet Chad James (mentioned above) is the Oklahoma guy. My guesses on the Mass guy is either Chris Dwyer (first ever draft-eligible freshman from Clemson) or, and I hope I’m wrong about this, Boston College catcher Tony Sanchez. Wouldn’t make much sense to draft him. Eric Arnett (big RHP from U of Indiana) is my guess for the fella from Indiana, as it wouldn’t make sense for Kyle Gibson (also from Indiana originally) to be working out. Then again it could also be Notre Dame outfielder AJ Pollock or Stanford closer Drew Storen. That’s a state to keep your eye on. From New York, as far as a 1st round pick would go, RHP Ben Tootle from Jacksonville State is originally a New Yorker and has been linked to the Astros in the past. Maybe the guy from Missouri is Jacob Turner (rumored to be demanding Porcello-like bonus)? Not many 1st round guys coming from that state, and the aforementioned Gibson wouldn’t make any sense seeing that he’s got a stress fracture in his arm. As far as people from Pennsylvania, there doesn’t seem to be any 1st round talent coming from that state, so maybe that is a sleeper pick in the mold of Jordan Lyles? That’s all I got. The other states there are way too many possibilities.
by astrosfanforever on Jun 7, 2009 11:01 AM CDT up reply actions
OK, here it is in a more readable form, my guesses
as far as 1st round guys, I think the guys the ’Stros were trying out were:
California: too many, sorry
Florida: Bobby Borchering (3B, HS), Mychal Givens (SS/RHP, HS), Austin Maddox (C, HS), Ryan Jackson (SS, Miami), Nick Franklin (SS, HS)
South Carolina: Chris Dwyer (LHP, Clemson), USC RHP Sam Dyson doesn’t make sense as he’s at a Super Regional right now and so does Dwyer…so this one’s a toss-up. Hey, Jordan Lyles is from SC.
Georgia: Kyle Heckathorn (RHP, Kennesaw St.), Chad Jenkins (RHP, Kennesaw St.), Donavan Tate (HS) or Rich Poythress (1B, UGA)
Massachusetts: Tony Sanchez (C, BC)
Alabama: I honestly have no idea who it could be from Alabama, maybe U-Tenn OF Kentrail Davis?
New York: Ben Tootle (RHP, Jacksonville State)
Missouri: Jacob Turner (RHP, HS) is the only 1st rounder that’d make sense, because Kyle Gibson is hurt, but Turner won’t last to the Astros unless he’s demanding too much
Texas: so many choices, see California
Illinois: only good one was Jason Kipnis (OF, ASU), at Super Regional
West Virginia: Alex White (RHP, Texas A&M)
Louisiana: Zack Von Rosenberg (LA HS)
Oklahoma: Chad James (LHP, OK HS)
Indiana: Eric Arnett (RHP, IU) or AJ Pollock (OF, UND)
Pennsylvania: see Alabama
Arizona: this one’s also tough, my guess would be Jake Barrett (RHP, HS)
North Carolina: another tough one, maybe Brian Goodwin (OF, HS)?
Guys, keep in mind this is pure speculation, I just went on MLB DraftTracker to figure out where people were from, and again this is only well-known, possible 1st round choices. So a “Jordan Lyles” wouldn’t be in the above people, and as many of us know, Lyles proved his worth in a private workout in Houston. So. Chances are a few of the aforementioned guys were there, but definitely probably not even half of them. Just speculation. Enjoy.
by astrosfanforever on Jun 7, 2009 5:03 PM CDT up reply actions
I saw that as well...
and I here Houston was very impressed. Heck has said that he may lean away from catchers, but that’s only if he is considering two equal catchers and one of them is a catcher. I don’t think there is anything wrong with taking a HS catcher, and Garfield should be available in the third or later.
Everett Williams OF McCallum HS (Texas)
Athletic outfielder, with possible power speed combo, first round possibility.
Kendal Volz RHP Baylor
Was considered a first rounder not too long ago. Three solid pitches give me hope he can still be developed as a starter. Second/Third round consideration.
Jake Cowan RHP San Jacinto JC
Best junior college prospect in the draft. Possible third round consideration.
























