Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Nevin Shapiro Vows To Bring Down Miami

Lance Berkman's Approach at the plate: The Astros' First Baseman Under the Microscope

**Update**: I just noticed that AstrosAndy made a fanpost a few days ago about Mr. Berkman. I think our approaches to looking at Lance's swing will reinforce one another's articles. Studying for finals has made me a little less observant around here. Andy, my sincerest apologies if I've stepped on your toes!

The struggles of Lance Berkman have been well chronicled. Our offense revolves around Lance, and with the improvements of Michael Bourn, and with Kaz Matsui coming on, it's imperative that Lance dig himself out of this hole he's been in. What do the number say about Puma's season thus far?

For starters, Lance is striking out much more than he ever has in his career. A 27.8% K rate is usually reserved for free swingers, not someone who chooses to swing at pitches meticulously. His BB% of 17.2 is Berkman's highest since 2004, but I'm not sure if this is a good thing or not. As I mentioned earlier, one of Lance's strengths is his plate discipline. He has become downright Bagwell-ian in his knowledge of the strike zone. However, there are limits to patience, and it seemed to me that throughout this season Berkman has been unwilling to take the bat off his shoulder in situations that warranted it. After taking a look at his swing percentages, my observation proved to be true nearly across the board:

O Swing % Z Swing % Swing % O Contact % Z Contact % Contact %
2009 Season 20.4 63.6 41.5 48.7 79.1 71.4
Career 17.9 72.0 43.8 44.6 86.2 77.4

 

Just as a reminder, Z Swing % is the percentage of pitches a batter swings at inside the strike zone, O Swing % is the percentage of pitches a batter swings at outside the strike zone, and the rest of the stats are pretty much self explanatory with the aforementioned two in mind.

His BB and K rates are directly related to this grouping of statistics. We can see that Lance is swinging much more frequently at pitches outside of the strike zone. Despite the fact that he's making contact with those pitches at a higher percentage than he ever has, those aren't the kind of pitches that hard hit balls usually come from. Usually when a hitter expands his hitting zone, he lunges at the ball to a certain extent, simply wanting to...make contact.

On the other side of things, Lance is letting strikes go right past him at a ridiculously high rate. On top of that, he's also making contact with those pitches at a historically low rate. This should go a long way to helping us figure out why he's striking out so much.

Lance's hit chart displays his pretty much all or nothing season so far. He has no doubles and no triples. 2009 hopefully isn't shaping up to be like 2007, a season where Berkman had only one double going into June.

Simply put, Lance is swinging more at balls and less at strikes than he ever has at at virtually any point in his career. For the Astros offense to sniff respectability, these numbers are going to have to adjust back towards his career lines. Being an aggressive, opportunistic hitter has helped Berkman become one of the greatest hitters, well, ever. At 33, he knows how to snap himself out of these mini slumps, and hopefully that will come sooner rather than later.

 

Comment 4 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

BABIP

What is Berkman’s Batting AVG of Balls in Play? Is there any correlation there. You can see the trend that he is being to patient at times and expanding the zone at others. Interesting stats.

by kelseywake on May 4, 2009 4:54 PM CDT reply actions  

His BABIP is currently sitting around .159

fangraphs.com is where we pulled all these stats from and they’ve got BABIP there too

by AstroAndy on May 4, 2009 5:31 PM CDT up reply actions  

BABIP

I just looked it up and now its at .190. Over the last few years its been above .300. I don’t think that .190 is sustainable. I think that maybe his luck will improve and he will quit expanding his zone. Just my opinion.

by kelseywake on May 5, 2009 10:30 AM CDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Welcome to the Crawfishboxes, the SBNation blog for the Houston Astros.

TCB Tweets!

    

Current Series

3 game series vs Rockies @ Minute Maid Park

Sat 04/07 6:05 PM CDT
Sun 04/08 1:05 PM CDT

NL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Chicago 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Cincinnati 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Houston 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Milwaukee 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Pittsburgh 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
St. Louis 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0

(updated 2.13.2012 at 6:03 AM CST)


Managing Editors

Tcb_icon_small Timothy De Block

Old_school_dome_logo_small David Coleman

Editors

Nsapcs13_large_small clack

H_astros_small Subber10

Astrobritrs2_small AstroB

Small conroestro

Small native_astro

Small CRPerry13

Authors

Astros_logo121009_small OremLK

This-is-my-boom-stick_small allphilla

Th_houston-astros-logo-3_small Will Bonn