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Jose Valverde Rejects Arbitration Offer- Who Closes Now?

The Astros and GM Ed Wade were handed a great piece of news on Monday night, as closer Jose Valverde declined arbitration choosing instead to remain a free agent. Valverde made his intent to test the market in free agency known early on, and despite the extension of an arbitration offer from the Astros, Jose has decided to take the plunge and see if he can parlay his strong recent seasons into a big money free agent contract.

Almost certainly this means the end of his tenure as the last man out the Astros 'pen. While he was certainly a positive contributor, he is a luxury that the organization cannot afford. If nothing else, we can remember Jose Valverde's as a rock of consistent, if not spectacular play, a welcome relief from the often turbulent ninths we saw from Brad Lidge. People jump all over Ed Wade and his penchant for bringing in relievers, often over cost, and rightfully so especially with a team lacking in talent like our Astros have been. At least we can say in Valverde's case that the big name reliever was as good as advertised once he got to town.

Now the question that need be answered is who will step into the vacated closer's position? Rafael Soriano, whom the Astros had reported shown interest in, has accepted the Braves' offer of arbitration, while set up man Mike Gonzalez has chosen to take the opposite route in rejecting the Braves' advances. On the Braves' front, the back end of their bullpen will be full of former and current closers, with Soriano joining Takashi Saito and Billy Wagner after the latter two recently joined Atlanta in free agency. I don't know if Braves' GM Frank Wren anticipated that Soriano would decline arbitration, but he will have a large sum of $ invested in three men who will pitch at most 190 innings combined. That's an almost Astro-like utilization of resources. To the point, Gonzalez will be an option for Ed Wade to check in on. A multi year deal would most likely be what it takes to reign in the man with the awesome windup.

Of course, LaTroy Hawkins is an option, but he has been sought after by more than just the Astros. If anything, I would expect Ed Wade to amp up his charge to sign Hawk to a one year contract for 2010. If I had to place a wager, I believe he will be re-signed and given the opportunity to be our closer. Without great strikeout stuff, Hawkins will have to overcome his lack of a killer fastball to get hitters out. Our budget may necessitate this more than anything else.

Kevin Gregg, Brandon Lyon and Fernando Rodney are out there, and I hope the Astros do nothing more than kick their tires and pass. J.J. Putz, however, would be an interesting sign, and could probably be had on the cheap after coming off injury and poor performance.

The Astros were given a gift last night. Who knows what can be done with it. A free agent starting pitcher and/or an affordable third base option are more realistic than last week, in terms of ability of the Astros to sign a player or two. In the long term, Bobby Heck has produced a solid draft class from 2009, and if Valverde as expected does not re-sign with the club, two draft choices will come his way. All in all, a good night for the Astros. The next couple days could be even better as a result.

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Odds are that the Astros re-sign Hawkins. Wade told Hawkins’ agent over the weekend that he would wait until Valverde’s arbitration decision before resuming negotiations. That sounds like both sides want to work something out. I just hope that Wade doesn’t overpay for Hawkins. I like Hawkins, but his performance last season probably won’t be repeated.

I’ll say it again—-I don’t understand why anyone would want to sign Putz. The guy had not one, but two, elbow surgeries last season. Considering that he will have to rely on velocity as a closer, I have to think that he is too risky to be worth more than $1 million or so, and he is likely to cost a lot more.

Rodney is from the Houston-area, isn’t he? I wouldn’t be surprised if he is a possible Astros’ signee if Hawkins doesn’t work out. Like so many closers, Rodney teeters on the bring of too many walks. Gonzalez was the Pirates’ closer at one time, if I recall. He may be too expensive, though. Octavio Dotel is available, and I wouldn’t mind seeing him in a return to the Astros. Gregg would have to be fairly cheap to warrant a signing; he isn’t that good a closer. Lots of options, which is good. But, really, Hawkins doesn’t looks so bad compared to this group. You know, with any of these guys, I might try a closer committee approach, hoping that someone like Arias can get closer experience and perhaps transition into the role by season’s end. All of these pitchers have some closer experience but are better as set up pitchers.

by clack on Dec 8, 2009 6:44 AM CST reply actions  

I want none of those guys

For more than $4 million or more than a year.

Putz, as you say, would have to be a low ball offer with incentives, but I also think the following applies:

Reclamation project + Relief Pitcher = Ed Wade’s wheel house

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Dec 8, 2009 11:00 AM CST up reply actions  

as I think about it, one advantage for Gonzalez is that he is lefthanded. He could be a platoon mate for the 8th/9th inning (depending on batter situations) with Arias. The Astros’ LH relief pitching isn’t very good. Byrdak’s ERA is OK, but I don’t think he is very effective, given his control. Wright may no longer be used as a reliever.

by clack on Dec 8, 2009 11:14 AM CST up reply actions  

Gonzalez would be a great fit as a lefty platoon

But I don’t know how kindly he’d take to that role. Could we lure him in on false pretenses?

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Dec 8, 2009 12:41 PM CST up reply actions  

Further

Is the front office smart enough to think along these lines?

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by Stephen Higdon on Dec 8, 2009 12:42 PM CST up reply actions  

Craig Calcutarra who used to have a legal blog about baseball...

is now a blogger for NBCSports.com. He is at the baseball winter meeting for the first time, and gives a lot of interesting impressions. Here is an example:

The Japanese reporters don’t go anywhere without each other. Ever watch the “Planet Earth” documentaries? You know the amazing scenes showing the schools of fish dashing around in perfect unison, darting left and right as if guided by a hive mind? That’s the Japanese reporters. They’re mostly interested in where Hideki Matsui is going and they really want to know why anyone would not want to sign Hideki Matsui.

by clack on Dec 8, 2009 7:29 AM CST reply actions  

This is bad for Astros 2010

You can put all the positive spin you want on this story but losing Valverde will hurt the Astros in 2010. It may help sometime down the road if the extra draft picks pan out, but the unraveling of the last three innings of games in 2010 will be painful.

Other than adding a super pitching coach (who now has no closer), and maybe a very good manager, Astros have done nothing to get me excited about their chances in 2010.

Astros fan for life

by Joe in Birmingham on Dec 8, 2009 11:13 AM CST reply actions  

I think it is possible that the Astros could sign a late inning reliever who is, say, 95% as effective as Valverde, for perhaps 50% – 60% of the cost. If the additional money is used to feel another gap on the team, it can be a good move. Now if the Astros proceed without acquiring a closer, I agree the net effect is bad. But, based on Wade’s comments, I don’t see that happening. On many occasions, Wade has talked about the need to acquire a closer. Of course, it depends on whom he can actually sign, before we can say it’s good or bad.

by clack on Dec 8, 2009 11:19 AM CST up reply actions  

I hope this gives us a moment to look at an in house option as a closer...

It would be great to see someone who is under team control for several more years.. like Alberto Arias or Sammy Gervacio… take on the closer’s role.

Plus, I hope this means we can bring Tejada back at a reduced contract to play third base.

by entropic soul on Dec 8, 2009 1:45 PM CST up reply actions  

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