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Astros Pitchin' in the Dominican: Life's a Beach

Although the Arizona Fall League finished up play this past Saturday, there is still professional-ish baseball going in the world. Take the Caribbean Leagues, for instance.  Much like the AFL, the four nations which comprise the CWL (Venezuela, Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic and Mexico) play host to a myriad of baseball talent- ranging from established major leaguers like Conor Jackson, to familiar faces who are hoping against hope for one more shot. There are no Strasburgs, Ackleys or Castros (Jason or Starlin), but there are stories worth following especially for Astros fans.

While the Astros are hoarding arms on their 40 man roster like some sort of defiant rogue state, young pitchers Wesley Wright, Fernando Abad and Jose Capellan are performing well in the Dominican. Growing pains would be expecting for someone like Wesley Wright who is attempting to morph from just another left handed reliever to a 25 year old starting pitching candidate.

So far, the results have been thought provoking if nothing else. Outside of his last start, Wesley has been good if not great- striking out 10 batters in one relatively short outing. Promising also is his ground ball-fly ball out ratio against right handed hitters: 4.43:1. Sample size probably should be the reoccurring objection to that statistic, and looking at his fellow pitchers the DWL looks to be a pitching heavy league. I think the Astros should be commended for stretching Wesley out and seeing what they have with the youngster. The man threw four different pitches as a reliever- a skill that should not be wasted as a middle reliever. Wright will join Wilton Lopez and Felipe Paulino as candidates for the fifth starter's slot.

Also pitching in the Dominican are Fernando Abad and Jose Capellan. Abad was recently added to the 40 man roster, so I would assume that the Astros think there's potential in his left arm. He has displayed exceptional control as a minor leaguer (92:11 K:BB ratio this past season), and managed to survive the hitter's paradise that is Lancaster to be promoted to Corpus Christi. Projecting minor league talent is always tough, and something I try to avoid, but I do know that 1) being left handed 2) having good control and 3) striking more than one batter out per inning, are all positives. Heading into his first full AA season in 2010, something to look for with Abad is his ability to continue missing bats with his pitches. The leap from A to AA is a big one, moreso than from rookie ball to A. The Texas League is full of studly hitters, and Fernando will need to continue this upward trend if he wants to live to see Dell Diamond.

Jose Capellan was in the running to be our fifth starter just 8 months ago, but Russ Ortiz was kind enough to not only beat him out, but stink up the joint once he donned an Astro uniform. To his credit. Cappy has done well to put a terrible 2009 regular season behind him and has done his best to at least end 2009 on a good note. Unlike Abad and Wright, Cappellan is getting a bit long in the tooth for a minor leaguer and his window is quickly closing as it doesn't look like there will be many open spots on the Astros roster in 2010. His greatest skill may be getting from Round Rock to Houston in less than 2.5 hours, in the event of injury.

A month is left in the season, so Wes, Jose and Fernando should have many more opportunities to impress the team and give us reason to discuss the state of our pitching staff well into the Holiday Season.

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Jose Capellan is a mystery. In 09, he came off a good winter league performance to get signed by the Astros. And he looked good in spring training. But as soon as he went to Round Rock, he just laid an egg. He was horrible in the PCL, with a 7+ ERA. That seems to be Capellan’s career in a capsule. He will show good performances in spurts, until he gets onto the big league stage, where he isn’t good. The fact that the inconsistency showed up in AAA last year seems like he is regressing.

by clack on Nov 23, 2009 7:01 AM CST reply actions  

just a thought

if we dont sign a quality third starter in free agency, we should look into trading wandy

he is already 30, and his value is arguably at its peak right now, plus he has an attractive contract to most teams, and being a lefty only raises his value

maybe the marlins would want him in exchange for Andrew Miller, Matt Dominguez, and Sean West?

or the angels, for a package of Mark Trumbo, Trevor Reckling and Sean O’Sullivan

or the phillies for, kyle kendrick, Trevor May, Scott Matheison, and Sebastion Valle

what do yall think, isnt it pointless for the stros to keep wandy if they are just going to be bad, and the reason you look to trade him rather than roy or lance is because he is coming off a big year rather than a down year

by strosfan31 on Nov 23, 2009 3:53 PM CST reply actions  

Not a bad idea

It depends entirely on what we’d get for him, but if we could get a nice haul of top pitching and/or infield prospects, I’d be for it. He’s probably our best trade candidate, then Oswalt after him.

by OremLK on Nov 23, 2009 4:07 PM CST up reply actions  

Drayton would never approve

trading wandy would throw up the white flag for the season and nobody would come to games…worse than now…and payroll would shrink more.

We still have wandy and will for a few more years and have a chance at winning something with him around. I’d rather keep him, our rotation has potential to be pretty good although it has potential to crash and burn. I’m confident we’ll be better than last year mostly because the clubhouse will probably be behind mills and not torn apart because of cooper. If we can get a 3b with a little offensive ability we might not be horribly out of contention.

by Subber10 on Nov 23, 2009 4:08 PM CST up reply actions  

No one is going to the games now

by Timothy De Block on Nov 23, 2009 5:13 PM CST up reply actions  

Ed Wade said the team intends to be “competitive;” so I doubt that happens, since trading Wandy would pretty much send the team’s pitching into a tail spin.

I’m not very optimistic about the team at this point, even though I probably should withhold judgement until Wade actually creates an opening day roster. At this point, I’m not in favor of trading Wandy, because I think the Astros need to be solidifying the rotation and not going to other direction. I would require a very significant bounty in exchange for Wandy if he were traded. Of the trade proposals you suggest, the only one which seems like it might be in the range is the Marlins, but I don’t think the Marlins would take Wandy’s salary (he will be in 2d year of arb eligibility). Maybe Andrew Miller and Dan Uggla for Wandy? That would allow them to lose some salary. In any event, I don’t see it happening.

by clack on Nov 23, 2009 6:04 PM CST up reply actions  

even if it doesnt happen

it has to be explored right?

the thought is if we are going to go young, wandy might as well be traded for quality prospects, so we have some legitimate guys we can be excited about going young with

what would be the point of keeping wandy AND going young? you can make the same argument about roy and lance, but there value isnt at its peak right now

if they both have good first halves of the season and are team is out of contention, as much as i like those guys, i will make the same argument that they should be traded, IF we are trying to create a youth movement

now if drayton and wade want to try to piece together old guys and reclamation projects on the team, you might as well keep them and try to compete

by strosfan31 on Nov 24, 2009 12:25 AM CST reply actions  

So long as Lance, Oswalt, and Lee have no trade clauses, Wade probably doesn’t think he has any choice but to try to piece together a competitive team. In the NL Central, it certainly isn’t impossible that the Astros could contend, particularly if Wade gets lucky with some free agent reclamation projects. But I can’t really say that Wade is going “young” when the infield has Blum/Keppinger at 3d, Matsui at 2d, and Berkman at 1st.

by clack on Nov 24, 2009 1:33 AM CST up reply actions  

i agree that there are enough reclamation projects out there, especially at some positions they need (pitching, 3rd base etc.) that if they get the right ones they could definitely can contend

if the astros got a top end three, who would want to face them in a five game series when they can pitch roy and wandy twice? thats why im more of a fan, of trying to sign Bedard for 8 million or sheets for 6 to 8, and at least give yourself a chance to have a great top of the rotation, and really if you are going to look at spending 10 million on valverde, why not spend it on bedard or sheets at a position of more importance instead?

but, im saying if they dont go the route of trying to at least be good, and have a rotation with paulino, norris, and wright in it, there is no way they will be able to compete and they should trade wandy while they still can, instead of having him be a good pitcher on a team going nowhere

by strosfan31 on Nov 24, 2009 2:19 AM CST up reply actions  

well, I actually like Paulino and Norris in the rotation. Young pitchers are less predictable. But I wouldn’t be surprised if Paulino had a break out year. I wouldn’t mind replacing Moehler with a project type pitcher.

by clack on Nov 24, 2009 7:31 AM CST up reply actions  

at the end, you should do a positional rankings of all the rule 5 candidates, that would make it a little easier to organize

by strosfan31 on Nov 24, 2009 2:21 AM CST reply actions  

While the Astros are hoarding arms on their 40 man roster like some sort of defiant rogue state

Bravo!

by Danyah on Nov 24, 2009 4:47 AM CST reply actions  

I love this line. Kim Jong Il would be proud!

by jmike on Nov 25, 2009 8:18 AM CST up reply actions  

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