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CHONE is another projection system, and right now only the 2010 hitter projections are released. The CHONE projections are a good deal more pessimistic for the Astros than Bill James' projections. In fact, for Astros' fans they are downright depressing: a below .900 OPS for Berkman; a plunge in Bourn's offensive stats (.700 OPS); Kaz Matsui falling further, etc. Tejada isn't shown...I assume because he is a free agent. Keppinger, Lee, J.R. Towles and Pence have reasonably decent projections. These projections show the ML projections for a good number of minor leaguers, and that isn't very pretty either. Some guys expected to contribute this year: Chris Johnson with a .288 OBP and mid-.600's OPS, Maysonet with a similar projection to Johnson, Manzella with a low .600's OPS, Jason Castros with a mid-.600's OPS and a .248 batting average. Drew Locke is the only minor leaguer with a projection over .700 (barely), and his numbers are on the edge of being bench-worthy. I don't agree with some of these projections...but here they are.

2 months ago Nsapcs13_large_tiny clack 5 comments 0 recs  | 

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It's not so different from 2009, overall

Even though some guys are projected to be down next season, for each one there seems to be a player who is up.

Overall the picture looks bad, as it did in 2009.

by OremLK on Nov 16, 2009 1:46 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

CHONE seems to aim low in terms of projections.

I think it overstates down years for previously good hitters, but hey, I’ve got no material evidence of that whatsoever.

Remember to retire Fin's number, Mark.

by jonthefon on Nov 16, 2009 4:44 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Do we have a report card on how well CHONE did at predicting the Astros’ 2009?

by AstroAndy on Nov 16, 2009 9:03 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

I know it pegged us to be a 72 win team before last season

But I don’t know the it’s trends in terms of batters, pitchers, etc.

The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.

by DyingQuail on Nov 16, 2009 9:59 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

And is it pronounced “Shawn”?

Sorry, couldn’t resist.

by Danyah on Nov 16, 2009 8:01 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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