Astros Hitter Projections by CHONE
CHONE is another projection system, and right now only the 2010 hitter projections are released. The CHONE projections are a good deal more pessimistic for the Astros than Bill James' projections. In fact, for Astros' fans they are downright depressing: a below .900 OPS for Berkman; a plunge in Bourn's offensive stats (.700 OPS); Kaz Matsui falling further, etc. Tejada isn't shown...I assume because he is a free agent. Keppinger, Lee, J.R. Towles and Pence have reasonably decent projections. These projections show the ML projections for a good number of minor leaguers, and that isn't very pretty either. Some guys expected to contribute this year: Chris Johnson with a .288 OBP and mid-.600's OPS, Maysonet with a similar projection to Johnson, Manzella with a low .600's OPS, Jason Castros with a mid-.600's OPS and a .248 batting average. Drew Locke is the only minor leaguer with a projection over .700 (barely), and his numbers are on the edge of being bench-worthy. I don't agree with some of these projections...but here they are.
about 2 years ago
clack
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It's not so different from 2009, overall
Even though some guys are projected to be down next season, for each one there seems to be a player who is up.
Overall the picture looks bad, as it did in 2009.
CHONE seems to aim low in terms of projections.
I think it overstates down years for previously good hitters, but hey, I’ve got no material evidence of that whatsoever.
Remember to retire Fin's number, Mark.
I know it pegged us to be a 72 win team before last season
But I don’t know the it’s trends in terms of batters, pitchers, etc.
The Crawfishboxes
A good friend of mine used to say, "This is a very simple game. You throw the ball, you catch the ball, you hit the ball. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, sometimes it rains." Think about that for a while.
by Stephen Higdon on Nov 16, 2009 9:59 AM CST up reply actions






















