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Oswalt Moves to 23-1 Against Reds and Astros Keep Hope Alive: NL Wild Card Odds (9/26/08)

Unfortunately, the Mets and the Brewers managed to find ways to win last night -- it should be noted that the Cubs used none of their big guys (Lee, Soto, Ramirez, Soriano).  Fortunately, on short rest, Roy Oswalt was able to continue making the Reds his whipping boys, even if the bull pen really wanted to make things interesting in the bottom of the ninth (five runs allowed, to pull the game within two).  With the fortunes of yesterday revealed, the facts stand at this: the Astros cannot lose and the Brewers and the Mets are going to have to be swept.  This seems rather unlikely given that the Cubs are seemingly resting their starters.  Alas, let's give this post one last time through -- in the hope that I'll have to update it tomorrow.


National League Wild Card Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Milwaukee 88 71 .553 0 Won 4
New York 88 71 .553 0 Won 1
Houston 84 74 .531 3.5 Won 2






(updated 9.26.2008 at 8:24 AM CDT)


So there it is.  Our can't lose and can't win hope for October baseball.  Whether or not we still get to dream about October baseball tomorrow, we should remind ourselves of this: it's the final Friday of the season and we're still alive in the Wild Card race.  That, is a good season right there.  There's not a whole lot more you can, ultimately, ask for as a fan.

With one in the elimination column, three more on the board for the Mets and the Brewers, four (possibly) left for us what do our odds look like?

Report Wild Card
BPro Unadjusted
0.02237%
BPro Schedule Adjusted
0.03797%
Cool Standings
<.1%
SCS Weighted
0.0%
SCS 50/50 0.0%

Sports Club Stats only had one result, in their Monte Carlo sim, that had in us winning the wild card.  The numbers just confirm how screwed we are.  But screw'em, let's take a look at the match-ups we need to root against tonight.


Next Game

Chicago Cubs
@ Milwaukee Brewers

Friday, Sep 26, 2008, 7:05 PM CDT
Miller Park

Ryan Dempster vs Jeff Suppan

Clear. Winds blowing in from center field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 70.

 

Complete Coverage >



Next Game

Florida Marlins
@ New York Mets

Friday, Sep 26, 2008, 6:10 PM CDT
Shea Stadium

Chris Volstad vs Mike Pelfrey

Mostly cloudy with a 100-percent chance of rain. Winds blowing in from center field at 10-20 m.p.h. Game Time temperature: Around 65.

 

Complete Coverage >


Dempster can surely make mince-meat of the Brewers and Mike Pelfrey is a CHUMP.

So there you go.  Savor today, it could be our last meaningful day in 2008.

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who was voted the astros’ team mvp? hopefully its darin erstad. i mean, the rays’ sportswriters voted Jason Bartlett their MVP, so an Erstad selection would be about on par with the Rays choice. Bartlett deserved it though. I mean its not like Matt Garza, James Shields, Scott Kazmir, Carlos Pena or Evan Longoria deserved it more.

by HighLeveragePerformer on Sep 26, 2008 11:26 AM CDT   0 recs

Or Blum or Loretta.

All are “scrappy” white guys who can’t hit.

Or Ausmus! That would be great!

If it’s not Berkman or maybe Wigginton, I’ll lose all faith in the Chronicle.

Oh, wait… I never had faith in the Chronicle.

by Only_A_Lad on Sep 26, 2008 12:20 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

I would vote for Berkman.

But I could see the Chronicle writers voting for Tejada. Berkman, Lee, Oswalt, and Valverde are players I would consider. Wigginton just hasn’t played enough this year for me to vote him MVP.

by clack on Sep 26, 2008 11:09 PM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Has to be Berkman

Tejada may be the club house leader(or maybe just the best cheer leader), but hitting into 1000 double plays in a season loses any thoughts of an MVP season for me… Oswalts was just too bad for the 1st part of the season. Valverde… closer for MVP? not likely. I agree about Wigginton..

Which leaves Lee and Berkman. If Lee finishes the season on the pace he was on… he’d be my vote… but unfortunately he got hurt and wasn’t able to overtake Berkman.. but man what a streak he was on…

Go 'Stros!

by Stros Bro on Sep 27, 2008 7:46 AM CDT to parent up   0 recs

Astros Post-Season Tickets; Get Your Astros Post-Season Tickets

The Astros recently announced National League Division Series ticket purchase opportunities. Tickets for Games 3 and 4, which would be played on Saturday, Oct. 4 and Sunday, Oct. 5, will go on sale to the general public on Monday, beginning at 8 a.m. CT. They can be purchased at astros.com or at the Minute Maid Park Box Office.

Astros fan for life

by Joe in Birmingham on Sep 26, 2008 4:37 PM CDT   0 recs

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NL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Chicago 97 64 .602 0 Lost 4
Milwaukee 90 72 .555 7.5 Lost 1
Houston 86 75 .534 11 Won 1
St. Louis 86 76 .530 11.5 Won 6
Cincinnati 74 88 .456 23.5 Lost 5
Pittsburgh 67 95 .413 30.5 Won 1

(updated 1.8.2009 at 4:10 AM CST)


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