NL Wild Card Odds: Astros Looking More Like a Contender, Day by Day

As Houston begins its recovery process from Ike, the Astros are hitting the road to Milwaulkee to play the first two games of their scheduled series versus the Cubs.  While Ike has made the read hot Astros pause for two days, the Wild Card race has pushed forward.  The Cards have dropped two straight to the Pirates and the Phillies took one from the Brewers yesterday afternoon.


National League Wild Card Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Milwaukee 83 65 .560 0 Lost 2
Philadelphia 81 67 .547 2 Won 2
Houston 80 67 .544 2.5 Won 6
St. Louis 78 70 .527 5 Lost 0
Good God




(updated 9.14.2008 at 12:40 PM CDT)


Yes folks, you are reading correctly, the Astros are a scant 2.5 games out of the NL Wild Card.  Sometimes, it really is hard to fathom what the Astros have done over the last month, which truly speaks to what an amazing run this has been.  The play off landscape gets interesting now, because with the Mets continued struggles, the Phillies may not even chase down the Brewers, because they could easily just take the NL East title.  While this could conceviably make it easier for the Astros Wild Card hopes -- the Mets and the Brewers share the common achilles heel of an unstable pull pen and deteriorating rotation -- I sure would rather face the Mets, somehow, in the NLDS than the Phillies.  Before I get too far ahead of myself though, here's the updated Wild Card Odds:

Report Wild Card
BPro Unadjusted
11.52559%
BPro Schedule Adjusted
17.77279%
Cool Standings
11.9%
SCS Weighted
11.4%
SCS 50/50
13.4%

The odds keep becoming more legitimate by the day.

Here's a quick look at the match-up that matters:


Next Game

Milwaukee Brewers
@ Philadelphia Phillies

Sunday, Sep 14, 2008, 6:35 PM CDT
Citizens Bank Park

Jeff Suppan vs Brett Myers

 

Complete Coverage >

With the Brewers still the team controlling our elimination number, we have to root for a Phillies victory until the Brewers are knocked of their throne.  Myers had a bad outing last time out, partially because we all prayed to the baseball gods for it.  Thus, today we need to request that he go back to his old self and Suppan gets rocked.

That's all I have for today.  I hope everyone in Houston is safe, relatively unscathed, and hopefully gets a chance to catch tonight's game.

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