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2005 Draft Snapshot

I was cataloguing some minor league cards before I put them away when I realized what a large bust Ralph Henriquez has actually been.

From there, it wasn't long before my curiosity took over and I made this:

Where We Stand With The '05 Draft
Round Player Position AVG/OBP/SLG/OPS, ERA/WHIP/K9 in 2007 Comments
1 Brian Bogusevic P 4.61 1.55 7.01,
  mostly at High A Salem,
  some at AA Corpus
Lefties take longer?
1 (S'wich) Eli Iorg OF .296 .350 .512 .863
  at High A Salem
Ended year in June with elbow injury
2 Ralph Henriquez C .185 .227 .280 .507
  at A Lexington
Worst second-round pick this century
3 Thomas Manzella SS .264 .324 .339 .663
  split between High A Salem
  & AA Corpus
Baseball America says Manzella is our best defensive infielder
3 (S'wich) Joshua Lindblom P
------
Never Signed; went to U Tennessee
4 Josh Flores OF .279.345 .422 .767
  split between High A Salem
  & AA Corpus
Kicked ass at Salem; not so good at Corpus
5 Billy Hart 3B .385 .451 .305 .836
  at High A Salem
Won Carolina League Batting Crown
6 Brandon Barnes OF .251 .336 .459 .795
  at Short A Tri-City
 
7 Timothy Johnson SS .186 .273 .248 .521
  at Rookie Greeneville
Has played three years of Rookie ball--you NEVER see that. Not particularly good defensively either
8 Koby Clemens 3B .252 .344 .412 .755
  at A Lexington
That switch to catcher previously dismissed still might make it work for him
9 Jordan Meaker P
------
Never Signed; went to Dallas Baptist
10 Allen Langdon OF
------
Released in June '07. Injuries took a toll as he never progressed past Rookie Greeneville
11 Cory Lapinski P
------
Released in March '07, having reached Short A Tri-City
12 Tip Fairchild P 10.29 .214 .514
  at AA Corpus
Made only two starts for Corpus before blowing out his elbow
13 Eric King SS .229.308 .291 .599
  at High A Salem
 
14 Mark Ori 1B .272.350 .395 .746
  at High A Salem
 
15 Eric Sheridan P
------
Released in June '06; pitched Single A ball in '07 with the A's

0 recs  |  Comment 10 comments

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Rough draft
Flores is the only player that is healthy and has progressed his talent.
Make the world a better place. Punch Tim Purpura in the face.

by Shamus on Nov 25, 2007 8:44 AM CST reply actions   0 recs

Koby
Do you think he would have a better chance of making it as a pitcher? I mean I know he's still young, but he's not exactly on the fast trac to super-star.
Go 'Stros!

by Stros Bro on Nov 25, 2007 3:47 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Shouldn't there be someone...
past AA after 2 years in the minors?

That's a sad, sad chart.

Other names drafted after the Astros first pick and already in the bigs: Travis Buck (A's - #36), Clay Buchholz (No Hitter for the Sawx - #42), Garrett Olsen (Orioles - #48), Yunel Escobar (Braves - #75), and Micah Ownings (D-backs, #83)... that's just the first few rounds.  

And those are just names I recognize.

by TexSkins on Nov 25, 2007 4:15 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I remember being ticked
When I heard the Astros drafted Bogusevic and Manzella out of Tulane, a decent team but not a great team.

I recall being even more disgusted when Bogusevic got hammered in the regional playoffs and Manzella was a non-factor.

Every so often a writer will tout these two as future major league stars.

They may be.

I'll believe it when (if) I see it.

 Put me in the camp that's thankful Astros changed scouting directors.  

Keeping Warm During Hot Stove Season

by Joe in Birmingham on Nov 25, 2007 8:33 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

I doubt they will be stars....
but I do think both of them will eventually make it to the majors.  Supposedly, Manzella's defense is major league ready, but his offense is more questionable, and it may always be questionable (like Adam Everett).  I wouldn't be surprised to see Manzella on the ML roster in 09.  Bogusevic pitched well in his last couple of games at AA; since he is one of the few LHP in the system, he has an easier path to the majors if he can make it to, and master, AAA.  But I agree with you about the sorry state of scouting in the Astros' organization in recent years.

I thought this passage from Richard Justice's Nov. 10 blog in the HC was interesting:

 "David Lakey recently was inducted into the Texas Scouts Associaton Hall of Fame. In eight years as scouting director of the Astros, he--and his assistant, Pat Murphy--drafted 35 big leaguers (with another three to five still in the pipeline). The MLB average is 2.5 players per draft. Lakey almost doubled that number, but he and Murphy were sent packing. Do you think the Astros regret those decisions?

When Ed Wade interviewed for the GM job, he told Drayton McLane that one bad draft can set an organization back three years. The Astros had about three bad ones in a row under Paul Ricciarini. Wade's first important hire was to replace Ricciarini with Bobby Heck."

by clack on Nov 25, 2007 9:26 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

More Info
Number of players from the '05 draft to have reached the majors - 26/1501

Number of Teams with a pick from '05 having reached the majors - 20/30

Number of picks that reached the majors taken before Bogusevic - 10/26

So, basically half the teams dealing with a pick worse than our best have hit paydirt.

Not to exonerate our scouting staff or try to nominate Ricciarini for sainthood, but I was a little surprised at the vehement response in the comments.  

Cortisone shots: Not just for overpaid athletes anymore.

by rastronomicals on Nov 28, 2007 5:35 PM CST reply actions   0 recs

Richard Justice has been blaming...
a lot of the Astros' problems on Riccarini lately.  Wade probably needed to shake up the scouting system, but I doubt that Ricciarini is totally to blame for everything.  Last year it seemed like McLane's devotion to Selig may have undercut what Ricciarini could do with the draft.  I recall that Justice wrote, around the time of the previous reorganization in the front office, that McLane wanted to cut the scouting budget, which likely didn't help either.  In a diary, I linked to Baseball America's article on the Astros' prospects.  This passage from that article is interesting:

"The Astros built a consistent winner through their farm system. Few teams worked the now-defunct draft-and-follow system or the Venezuelan market as well, and they also had a knack for finding quality, low-cost college seniors. But the talent has dried up this decade, and Houston has had to invest heavily on free agents to keep winning. That approach has proved costly, not only in terms of big league salaries but also in its affect on the club's drafts.

In three of the last five drafts, the Astros have forfeited their first-round pick as free-agent compensation. McLane has become more reluctant to offer arbitration to his own free agents, so only once during that period has Houston received bonus choices of its own. He also has been increasingly unwilling to buck MLB's slot recommendations. All three of these factors resulted in a disastrous draft in 2007.

By signing Carlos Lee and Woody Williams as Type A free agents, the Astros surrendered their first two draft choices. Offering arbitration to three of their own Type A free agents--Aubrey Huff, Andy Pettitte and Russ Springer--was a low-risk proposition that could have yielded three first-round picks and three supplemental first-rounders, but Houston declined to do so. The Astros couldn't try to compensate by drafting players with high price tags because McLane refused to exceed MLB's guidelines.

Houston thought it had signing parameters in place with its first two choices, third baseman Derek Dietrich (third round) and righthander Brett Eibner (fourth), as well as righty Chad Bettis (eighth). But they all asked for more than slot money and wound up opting for college over pro ball. The Astros spent just $1.584 million on the draft, $3.6 million below the average of the other 29 teams.

They also haven't been aggressive internationally, especially since former director of Venezuelan scouting and development Andres Reiner left the organization in February 2006. Reiner, a pioneer in establishing a Venezuelan pipeline, helped sign players such as Bobby Abreu, Carlos Guillen and Johan Santana, as well as the club's current top pitching prospect, Felipe Paulino. The Astros haven't brought in any comparable foreign talents in recent years."

by clack on Nov 29, 2007 7:58 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Speaking of Venezuela
check out this article from ESPN on the situation in Venezuela if you haven't already done so.

Because of Reiner--who was a genius at what he did--the Astros were first (and for a long time best) in Venezuela.

Now, because of some  of the comments that Hugo Chavez has made--and face it, because of his all around flakiness--some teams are backing out.

The Astros remain in Venezuela as other teams take off, and this is a risk that could end up paying off handsomely if Chavez stays reasonable, or that could set us back further if he does not.

Cortisone shots: Not just for overpaid athletes anymore.

by rastronomicals on Dec 1, 2007 11:00 AM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Interesting...
and my instinct is to think that you may be right that it could help the Astros.  Last year, when Chavez made some of his comments about regulating baseball, the Astros indicated that they wouldn't back off of their academy in Venezuela and would attempt to increase their efforts there.  I think that is the right tact to take.  Chavez talks a lot and a lot of what he says is bluster.  I would imagine that shutting down the ability of Venezuelans to play MLB would be unpopular.  Maybe the Grocer can meet with Chavez and become a diplomatic hero. (LOL)  BTW, Melvin Mora, who is quoted frequently in that article, came through the Astros' Venezuelan academy.

by clack on Dec 1, 2007 6:05 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

Can Ed Wade Lure Andres Reiner Back?
I understand Reiner left because of  a major disagreement with - ta dah - Tim Purpura on Latin American player development programs. Tim Purpura thankfully is no longer the GM.

Reiner is 70 and currently working for Tampa Bay Rays, but he still lives in Houston.  I'd imagine his days of scouting Venezuela are done, but his contacts must be so great that some protege of his  (with his advice and his reputation) could rejuvenate the Latin American scouting and player development operations. (I say that without knowing the state of the Astros operations down there - it may be okay)

Keeping Warm During Hot Stove Season

by Joe in Birmingham on Dec 1, 2007 10:34 PM CST up reply actions   0 recs

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