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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Game Hero/Game Chart

The Pitcher Formerly Known As Eny Cabreja
Wandy Rodriguez
  • Mostly, 'cause we needed it
  • Got through six with Wheeler and Qualls
         unavailable
  • Even when he probably should've been
        pulled after five
  • Backe's not the only one who can
        work around six walks :)
  • Second major league win
         6 IP, 2 ER, 3 K's, 6 BB

Astros win their third straight, fourth of their last five, and ninth of their last fourteen. They climb out of the NL Central cellar, as Cincinnati loses, and almost inconceivably, we have a fifth starter with not just one, but TWO wins.

*********

Ahh, I couldn't help myself. Did another WPA chart. I hadn't tried messing with defense last night, and figured I might try to introduce fielding, but after a bit of a search, it doesn't seem as if anybody involved with this stuff has figured out how to allocate between the pitcher, the shortstop, the second baseman, and the first baseman on a 6-4-3 DP. Less complex plays are apparently divvied up with a team-by-team pitcher/fielder split, the same on every defensive chance, which really doesn't make sense to me.

So, just understand this is offensive only, OK?

Game started on an upswing and kept getting better. The chart says what all us Astro fans watching knew: the 'Stros were in control the entire way. Nice to see the individual tables generated validated my choice of Wandy as game hero, just shows what a keen observer I am. . . or how I sometimes get lucky with my guesses, more likely.

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Top Five Astros
W Rodriguez   0.296
Everett    0.096
Springer   0.077
Lidge   0.076
Taveras   0.072
Bottom Five Astros
Ausmus -0.011
Berkman -0.020
Biggio -0.025
Quintero -0.034
Burke -0.053
Top Three Blue Jays
G Zaun   0.177
A Hill   0.089
R Adams   0.074

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Bagwell's return?

I couldn't help but notice Jeff Bagwell at last night's game, there to cheer on his team. I could see a lot of emotions on his face.
" I wish I was out there."
"When will I be able to be back out there ?"
"Will I be able to be back out there, even if for one more precious season."
I've only been watching the Astros for about 6 years, but I've grown attached to Bagwell and Biggio. They're like Hawkeye and Trapper, Butch and Sundance,Astaire and Rogers, we Astros fans can hardly imagine one without the other. Yet, here we are, almost half way through 2005's season, and Bige is out there without his pally, Bagwell. It's tough, but tougher for Bagwell. Kudos to Lamb and Berkman who do their best to fill some pretty big shoes.

I ask you, what you think the chances are of Bagwell coming back? Do the team and owners want him back? If he returns in tip-top shape, is it good for the team, or should they be looking to rethink the team ?

by cool75 on Jun 11, 2005 5:19 PM CDT reply actions  

Thank you Cool 75
I too caught it when the camera peeked over at Bagwell, and I thought he looked grim, unhappy.

I'm not a doctor, nor do I play one at this website, but my understanding is that this was last ditch surgery with not a great likelihood of doing enough good that Bags will be able to play again.  

Tht having been said, Brownie was saying how Bagwell was pleasantly surprised at the range of motion that was returned.

With that in mind, I'd guess at a 35 - 40% chance for Bagwell to play in 2006, and none at all for 2005.  

Some doctor types would probably place that percentage lower, but they were the same ones who were amazed that he could brush his teeth when he was playing 150 major league games a year.

If Bagwell wants to play, certainly Drayton McLane, Craig Biggio, Lance Berkman and the entire coaching staff would welcome him big time.  As far as the other younger players, my guess is them, too.

That having been said, what is best for the team is not always what makes you feel best sentimentally.  I'm thinking of a vocal member over at Speedy's who thinks we should trade Biggio immediately to get Burke where he belongs immediately.  Someone like that might feel the same way about, for example, Todd Self being blocked by the return of Bagwell. . . .

I definitely don't think opinions like that are invalid.  They're just not mine.  I am hoping that Bagwell maximizes whatever career he may have left with the Astros.

by rastronomicals on Jun 11, 2005 5:32 PM CDT reply actions  

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Current Series

3 game series vs Rockies @ Minute Maid Park

Sat 04/07 6:05 PM CDT
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NL Central Standings

W L PCT GB STRK
Chicago 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Cincinnati 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Houston 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Milwaukee 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
Pittsburgh 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0
St. Louis 0 0 .000 0 Lost 0

(updated 2.15.2012 at 12:04 AM CST)


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